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NPK

BEARISH
$139.84 Live
National Presto Industries, Inc. · NYSE
$77.63 52W Range $149.86

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$1.0B
P/E
30.2
ROE
8.7%
Profit margin
6.6%
Debt/Equity
0.08
Dividend yield
0.72%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NPK exhibits severe financial weakness with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($76.02) and Intrinsic Value ($32.41). While the company shows strong revenue growth and a massive increase in defense backlog to $1.75B, this is offset by declining earnings (-27.8%) and a concerning Forward P/E of 160.74. Insider selling and a bearish technical trend further dampen the outlook. The disparity between the current price and fundamental value suggests a high risk of a price correction.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY Revenue Growth of 21.70%
Substantial Defense contract backlog growth ($1.75B in 2025 vs $564M in 2023)
Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08
High liquidity as evidenced by a Current Ratio of 4.25
Diversified revenue streams across Housewares and Defense segments

Key Risks

Weak financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Severe overvaluation with current price ($139.84) far exceeding intrinsic value ($32.41)
Negative earnings growth (-27.8% YoY) despite rising revenues
Poor liquidity quality; Quick Ratio (0.98) is significantly lower than Current Ratio (4.25), indicating heavy inventory reliance
High sensitivity to U.S. Government funding and regulatory compliance in the Defense segment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$54.22
-61.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
32
Weak
Value
15
Future
55
Past
40
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued & Financially Weak
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Forward P/E expansion to 160.74, Price/Intrinsic Value gap, Negative EPS growth
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E 30.20, Forward P/E 160.74, Graham Number $76.02

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price is 84% above Graham Number
  • Price is 332% above Intrinsic Value
  • Forward P/E suggests an earnings collapse
Future
55/100

Ref Revenue Growth 21.7%, Earnings Growth -27.8%

Positives
  • Strong revenue growth
  • Explosive growth in defense backlog
Watchpoints
  • Declining earnings growth
  • Material and shipping cost volatility
Past
40/100

Ref Historical EPS surprises and 1Y return

Positives
  • Strong 1Y price performance (+67%)
Watchpoints
  • Inconsistent earnings surprise history
  • Negative Q/Q EPS growth (-35%)
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity 0.08

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
  • Quick Ratio below 1.0
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield 0.72%, Payout 21.6%

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (21.6%)
Watchpoints
  • Very low dividend yield (0.72%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$139.84

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NPK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NPK
National Presto Industries, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+61.2%
3Y
+120.0%
1Y
+67.0%
6M
+33.5%
1M
+2.0%
1W
-0.1%
AEB
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
Peer
5Y
+15.5%
3Y
+15.5%
1Y
+15.5%
6M
+5.8%
1M
-16.5%
1W
-5.5%
SAT
Satellogic Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.8%
3Y
+224.4%
1Y
+78.2%
6M
+154.8%
1M
+134.1%
1W
-5.5%
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited
Peer
5Y
+136.1%
3Y
+85.8%
1Y
+96.3%
6M
+50.5%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-1.8%
BKS
BlackSky Technology Inc.
Peer
5Y
-68.5%
3Y
+95.7%
1Y
+126.8%
6M
+36.9%
1M
+27.6%
1W
-1.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.2
Forward P/E
160.74
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.52
P/S Ratio
1.99
EV/Revenue
2.05
EV/EBITDA
21.45
Market Cap
$1.0B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.57%
Operating Margin 11.38%
Gross Margin 15.95%
ROE 8.67%
ROA 5.63%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +21.7%
Earnings Growth -27.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +21.74%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -27.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.08
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.25
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.98
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.52

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
16.9%
Op. Margin
11.4%
Net Margin
9.2%
Total Assets
$0.5B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
0.27x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
89%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-08
$N/A
2015-05-15
$1.17
+18.7% surprise
2015-03-16
$1.8
+20.2% surprise
2014-11-07
$0.74
-34.2% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing NPK against 528 companies in the Industrials sector (43 bullish, 199 neutral, 286 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.2
This Stock
vs
91.96
Sector Avg
-67.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.67%
This Stock
vs
0.59%
Sector Avg
+1372.1% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
6.57%
This Stock
vs
6.33%
Sector Avg
+3.7% (Better)
Debt to Equity
0.08
This Stock
vs
2.73
Sector Avg
-96.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
21.7%
This Stock
vs
64.56%
Sector Avg
-66.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.25
This Stock
vs
3.0
Sector Avg
+41.6% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PEUSE DAVID J
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
500 shares · $70,078
LIEBLE RANDY F
Director
Sell
2026-03-11
2,417 shares · $347,975
FREDERICK DOUGLAS J
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
386 shares
MORGAN JEFFERY ALAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
234 shares
PEUSE DAVID J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
327 shares
MACKENZIE JOHN RODERICK JR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
327 shares
LIEBLE RANDY F
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
100 shares
QUINN PATRICK J
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
100 shares
STIENESSEN JOSEPH G
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
100 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2026-04-14

NPK filed a definitive proxy statement on April 14, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-27

NPK filed a Form 8-K on March 27, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
FORM 10-K
2026-03-13

National Presto Industries, Inc. operates in the Housewares/Small Appliance and Defense segments, expanding its workforce to 1,200 employees by year-end 2025. The company faces financial risks from consumer spending volatility, rising material and shipping costs, and potential labor disruptions within its unionized workforce. Additionally, the Defense segment is subject to significant risks regarding U.S. government funding and strict regulatory compliance.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-04

NPK filed a Form 8-K on March 4, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-05

NPK filed an 8-K likely to announce its financial results for the most recent fiscal period.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-06
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-29

NPK filed an 8-K on December 29, 2025, likely reporting year-end financial results or changes in corporate governance.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-25
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-11-07

NPK filed its quarterly Form 10-Q on November 7, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for analysis.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-27

NPK filed an 8-K on October 27, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-01
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-08-08
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-04
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-28
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NPK from our newsroom.

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