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NSA

BEARISH
$42.56 Live
National Storage Affiliates Trust · NYSE
Target $38.59 (-9.3%)
$27.43 52W Range $44.02

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$6.26B
P/E
61.68
ROE
7.1%
Profit margin
9.9%
Debt/Equity
1.27
Dividend yield
5.36%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NSA presents a high-risk profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a severe valuation disconnect. The stock is trading at $42.56, which is nearly 4x its Graham Number ($11.04) and double its Intrinsic Value ($20.35). Most critically, the dividend payout ratio of 330.43% indicates that the current yield is fundamentally unsustainable. While YoY growth metrics are strong, the combination of extreme valuation multiples and dangerously low liquidity (Current Ratio 0.16) outweighs the growth narrative.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY Revenue Growth of 18.00%
Exceptional YoY Earnings Growth of 236.60%
High Gross Margins (75.92%) and Operating Margins (35.80%)
Consistent recent earnings beats (3 of last 4 quarters)
Diversified portfolio of 1,063 properties across 37 states

Key Risks

Unsustainable Dividend Payout Ratio (330.43%)
Extreme Valuation (Forward P/E of 112.87)
Severe Liquidity Risk (Current Ratio 0.16, Quick Ratio 0.10)
Significant premium to Intrinsic Value ($42.56 vs $20.35)
Environmental and regulatory liabilities (CERCLA and ADA compliance)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.5
-49.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
36
Weak
Value
15
Future
65
Past
55
Health
35
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued / High Risk
Key drivers: Dividend sustainability, Valuation multiples, Liquidity ratios
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Trading significantly above Graham Number ($11.04) and Intrinsic Value ($20.35).

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/E 61.68
  • Forward P/E 112.87
  • Price/Book 5.42
Future
65/100

Growth is impressive but already priced in at an extreme premium.

Positives
  • Strong YoY earnings growth
  • Revenue growth of 18%
Watchpoints
  • Slight Q/Q revenue decline (-1.62%)
Past
55/100

Recent recovery is strong, but historical volatility remains.

Positives
  • Strong 6-month price performance (+52.1%)
  • Recent trend of earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • History of significant earnings misses between 2021-2023
Health
35/100

Stable health score but critical lack of short-term liquidity.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio 0.16
  • Quick Ratio 0.10
Dividend
10/100

Dividend is not covered by earnings, suggesting a high probability of a cut.

Positives
  • Attractive 5.36% yield
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 330.43% is a major red flag

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$42.56
Analyst Target
$38.59
Upside/Downside
-9.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NSA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NSA
National Storage Affiliates Trust
Primary
5Y
+24.4%
3Y
+34.8%
1Y
+23.1%
6M
+52.1%
1M
+12.8%
1W
-2.4%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+2.5%
3Y
+14.9%
1Y
+25.0%
6M
+1.1%
1M
+9.1%
1W
-0.9%
MAC
The Macerich Company
Peer
5Y
+98.4%
3Y
+142.6%
1Y
+54.4%
6M
+31.5%
1M
+18.0%
1W
+2.9%
COM
Compass, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-56.4%
3Y
+204.3%
1Y
+6.7%
6M
-2.2%
1M
-0.9%
1W
-3.6%
FSV
FirstService Corporation
Peer
5Y
-4.5%
3Y
+5.8%
1Y
-12.7%
6M
-20.5%
1M
-2.3%
1W
+4.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
61.68
Forward P/E
112.87
PEG Ratio
1.66
P/B Ratio
5.42
P/S Ratio
8.39
EV/Revenue
8.03
EV/EBITDA
13.19
Market Cap
$6.26B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 9.9%
Operating Margin 35.8%
Gross Margin 75.92%
ROE 7.05%
ROA 3.17%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +18.0%
Earnings Growth +236.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -1.62%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +213.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.27
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.16
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.1
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.25

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
72.5%
Op. Margin
38.5%
Net Margin
12.2%
Total Assets
$5.1B
Liabilities
$3.5B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
3.75x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
80%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.17
+63.8% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.18
+31.0% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.19
+18.8% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing NSA against 214 companies in the Real Estate sector (10 bullish, 43 neutral, 161 bearish)
P/E Ratio
61.68
This Stock
vs
39.97
Sector Avg
+54.3% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.05%
This Stock
vs
-27.06%
Sector Avg
-126.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.9%
This Stock
vs
10.56%
Sector Avg
-6.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.27
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-47.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
18.0%
This Stock
vs
13183.06%
Sector Avg
-99.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.16
This Stock
vs
8.25
Sector Avg
-98.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

FISCHER TAMARA D.
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
21,827 shares · $764,382
NORDHAGEN ARLEN DALE
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
6,289 shares · $220,241
TOGASHI BRANDON S
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
11,382 shares · $398,598
CRAMER DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
22,606 shares · $791,662
KENYON TIFFANY S
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
3,403 shares · $119,173
COWAN WILLIAM S JR.
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
7,074 shares · $247,731
ESBENSHADE JOHN
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-27
2,294 shares · $80,336
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-17
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-16

NSA filed a Form 8-K on March 16, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-managed REIT operating a diversified portfolio of 1,063 self-storage properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico, totaling approximately 69.4 million rentable square feet as of December 31, 2025. Key risks include potential unanticipated expenses for ADA compliance and strict environmental liabilities under CERCLA for the remediation of hazardous substances on its properties. Additionally, the company is subject to complex state insurance laws and federal privacy regulations.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

NSA likely announced its financial results for the most recent fiscal period.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

NSA filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-03

NSA announced its quarterly financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05

NSA filed its 10-Q on August 5, 2025, though specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpt. The filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-04

NSA filed an 8-K on August 4, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06

NSA filed its 10-Q on May 6, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to Risk Factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk descriptions were provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-05
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-03-28
10-K
10-K
2025-02-27
8-K
8-K
2025-02-26
8-K
8-K
2025-02-13
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
11 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-17
up
Underperform In-Line
Barclays
2026-03-05
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-27
Maintains
Underperform Underperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-05
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Wolfe Research
2026-01-26
up
Underperform Peer Perform
Truist Securities
2026-01-20
Maintains
Hold Hold
Mizuho
2026-01-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-01-08
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2025-12-17
Maintains
Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NSA from our newsroom.

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