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NTR

BULLISH
$76.0 Live
Nutrien Ltd. · NYSE
Target $80.08 (+5.4%)
$53.03 52W Range $85.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$36.57B
P/E
16.31
ROE
9.2%
Profit margin
8.7%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
2.89%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
NTR presents a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($76.00) trading nearly in line with its Graham Number ($74.22) and significantly below its intrinsic value ($137.47). The company exhibits strong value characteristics, highlighted by a highly attractive PEG ratio of 0.58 and a P/E ratio well below the sector average. While the technical trend score is bearish, the underlying fundamentals and recent price performance suggest a strong recovery. The balance sheet is healthy with a low debt-to-equity ratio, supporting a sustainable dividend payout.

Key Strengths

Significant undervaluation relative to intrinsic value ($137.47)
Highly attractive PEG ratio (0.58) suggesting growth is underpriced
Strong balance sheet with low Debt/Equity (0.47) compared to sector average (1.10)
Sustainable dividend profile with a payout ratio of 46.78%
P/E ratio (16.31) is significantly lower than the Basic Materials sector average (38.17)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable, not strong, financial health
Low Quick Ratio (0.58) suggests potential short-term liquidity pressure
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises with frequent misses
Cyclical exposure to agricultural input pricing and demand
Technical trend indicator is currently bearish (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$105.85
+39.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
72
Strong
Value
90
Future
85
Past
50
Health
60
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play
Key drivers: Low PEG ratio, Price proximity to Graham Number, Strong Debt/Equity ratio, High intrinsic value gap
Confidence
85%
Value
90/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E 16.31 vs Sector 38.17
  • PEG 0.58
  • Price near Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Trading slightly above defensive fair value
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Explosive YoY Earnings Growth (414.7%)
  • Positive analyst target price ($80.08)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth may be cyclical/unsustainable
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 1Y price return (+35.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise track record (many misses in 2023-2024)
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.47)
  • Current Ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
  • Low Quick Ratio (0.58)
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (46.78%)
  • Consistent yield (2.89%)
Watchpoints
  • Yield is modest compared to some high-yield materials peers

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$76.0
Analyst Target
$80.08
Upside/Downside
+5.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NTR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NTR
Nutrien Ltd.
Primary
5Y
+57.7%
3Y
+20.1%
1Y
+35.5%
6M
+40.9%
1M
+0.7%
1W
+5.3%
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation
Peer
5Y
+370.2%
3Y
+529.7%
1Y
+107.5%
6M
+32.5%
1M
+6.7%
1W
-4.8%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+79.0%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
+22.0%
6M
-0.4%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+0.4%
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
Peer
5Y
+449.5%
3Y
+215.5%
1Y
+107.2%
6M
+23.4%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-7.8%
MT
ArcelorMittal S.A.
Peer
5Y
+106.7%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+88.6%
6M
+44.6%
1M
+15.3%
1W
-8.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.31
Forward P/E
14.75
PEG Ratio
0.58
P/B Ratio
1.45
P/S Ratio
1.41
EV/Revenue
1.85
EV/EBITDA
8.86
Market Cap
$36.57B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.74%
Operating Margin 12.68%
Gross Margin 32.17%
ROE 9.22%
ROA 4.17%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.7%
Earnings Growth +414.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +5.14%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +405.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.34
Good
Quick Ratio
0.58
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.46

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$5.3B
Gross Margin
35.4%
Op. Margin
14.4%
Net Margin
10.7%
Total Assets
$52.3B
Liabilities
$26.9B
Equity
$25.3B
Debt/Equity
1.06x
Operating CF
$3.0B
CapEx
$-0.8B
Free Cash Flow
$2.2B
FCF Yield
75%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.83
-8.6% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.97
+0.7% surprise
2025-08-06
$2.65
+9.7% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing NTR against 181 companies in the Basic Materials sector (21 bullish, 69 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.31
This Stock
vs
37.42
Sector Avg
-56.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.22%
This Stock
vs
-5.13%
Sector Avg
-279.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.74%
This Stock
vs
-3.29%
Sector Avg
-365.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
1.08
Sector Avg
-56.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.7%
This Stock
vs
37.64%
Sector Avg
-84.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.34
This Stock
vs
4.58
Sector Avg
-70.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-31
16,979 shares · $1,275,292
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-31
16,978 shares · $1,278,052
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
33,957 shares
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
16,603 shares · $1,274,944
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
16,597 shares · $1,275,827
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-30
33,200 shares
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-27
17,050 shares · $1,274,487
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-27
17,105 shares · $1,275,126
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-27
34,155 shares
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-26
17,004 shares · $1,274,619
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-26
16,994 shares · $1,274,482
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-26
33,998 shares
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-25
16,635 shares · $1,274,740
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-25
16,671 shares · $1,274,764
Nutrien, Ltd.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-25
33,306 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
20 analysts
CIBC
2026-04-30
Maintains
Outperformer Outperformer
Barclays
2026-04-27
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Oppenheimer
2026-04-22
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Scotiabank
2026-04-20
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-03-26
down
Neutral Sell
B of A Securities
2026-03-18
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
BMO Capital
2026-03-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
CIBC
2026-03-17
Maintains
Outperformer Outperformer
Wells Fargo
2026-03-13
up
Equal-Weight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NTR from our newsroom.

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