NXRT
BEARISH
$28.89
Live
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. · NYSE
Target $30.4
(+5.2%)
$23.79
52W Range
$38.93
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$1.49B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-9.7%
Profit margin
-12.7%
Debt/Equity
5.65
Dividend yield
7.34%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
95%
NXRT exhibits severe fundamental distress, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating profound weakness in financial health. The company is burdened by extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.65, far exceeding the sector average of 2.38. Most alarming is the dividend payout ratio of 4743.15%, which is mathematically unsustainable and suggests the dividend is being funded by debt or capital reserves rather than earnings. Despite a recent short-term price recovery, the long-term trend is negative with stagnant revenue growth (0.50%) and consistent negative net profit margins.
Key Strengths
Strong Gross Margin of 60.63%
Healthy Current Ratio (2.96) providing short-term liquidity
Recent quarterly earnings beats relative to low analyst expectations
Attractive nominal dividend yield of 7.34%
Positive short-term price momentum (1-month change +15.6%)
Key Risks
Extreme financial leverage (Debt/Equity 5.65)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (4743.15%)
Negative Profit Margin (-12.66%) and negative ROE
Stagnant revenue growth (0.50% YoY)
Severe fundamental decay as evidenced by Piotroski F-Score of 1/9
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.5
-56.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
14
Weak
20
10
25
5
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Unsustainable Payout Ratio, Excessive Debt/Equity, Negative Earnings
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price is below 52-week high
Watchpoints
- Negative Forward P/E
- High Price/Book (2.70) relative to negative earnings
- Inefficient PEG ratio (26.92)
Future
10/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth
Watchpoints
- Near-zero YoY Revenue Growth (0.50%)
- Negative earnings trajectory
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Recent 1-month price recovery
Watchpoints
- 5-Year return of -28.2%
- Consistent history of earnings volatility
Health
5/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 1/9
- Debt/Equity 5.65 (Sector Avg 2.38)
- Negative ROE
Dividend
10/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- High nominal yield (7.34%)
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 4743.15% indicates imminent risk of cut
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$28.89
Analyst Target
$30.4
Upside/Downside
+5.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NXRT and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-30
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
Primary
|
-28.2% | -19.5% | -17.0% | -1.9% | +15.6% | +11.1% |
|
KW
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-29.9% | -21.8% | +75.3% | +41.4% | +0.4% | 0.0% |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
|
+58.2% | +26.3% | +25.3% | +16.0% | +0.5% | -0.5% |
|
HBNB
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp.
Peer
|
-40.2% | -40.2% | -40.2% | +89.9% | -20.4% | -16.2% |
|
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
Peer
|
+10.5% | +54.9% | +41.9% | +7.1% | +11.1% | +5.6% |
NXR
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-28.2%
3Y
-19.5%
1Y
-17.0%
6M
-1.9%
1M
+15.6%
1W
+11.1%
KW
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.9%
3Y
-21.8%
1Y
+75.3%
6M
+41.4%
1M
+0.4%
1W
0.0%
ALE
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+58.2%
3Y
+26.3%
1Y
+25.3%
6M
+16.0%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-0.5%
HBN
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp.
Peer
5Y
-40.2%
3Y
-40.2%
1Y
-40.2%
6M
+89.9%
1M
-20.4%
1W
-16.2%
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.5%
3Y
+54.9%
1Y
+41.9%
6M
+7.1%
1M
+11.1%
1W
+5.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-14.97
PEG Ratio
26.92
P/B Ratio
2.7
P/S Ratio
5.91
EV/Revenue
9.05
EV/EBITDA
18.25
Market Cap
$1.49B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-12.66%
Operating Margin
13.5%
Gross Margin
60.63%
ROE
-9.66%
ROA
0.98%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+0.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+0.52%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
5.65
High debt
Current Ratio
2.96
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.42
Good
Cash/Share
$1.09
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
58.7%
Op. Margin
13.4%
Net Margin
-10.6%
Total Assets
$1.9B
Liabilities
$1.6B
Equity
$0.3B
Debt/Equity
5.86x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-28
$N/A
2026-04-28
$-0.27
+29.8% surprise
2026-02-24
$-0.34
+13.0% surprise
2025-10-28
$-0.31
+19.1% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing NXRT against 214 companies in the Real Estate sector
(10 bullish, 43 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-9.66%
This Stock
vs
-27.06%
Sector Avg
-64.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-12.66%
This Stock
vs
10.56%
Sector Avg
-219.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.65
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
+133.0%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
0.5%
This Stock
vs
13183.06%
Sector Avg
-100.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.96
This Stock
vs
8.25
Sector Avg
-64.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.49B | - | -9.7% | -12.7% | $28.89 | |
|
KW
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.51B | - | 1.5% | 0.9% | $10.9 | Compare |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.51B | 20.54 | 7.3% | 32.4% | $20.75 | Compare |
|
HBNB
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp.
|
BEARISH | $1.53B | - | -% | -63.2% | $6.51 | Compare |
|
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
|
BULLISH | $1.43B | 8.57 | 9.7% | 9.8% | $28.12 | Compare |
NXRT
NexPoint...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
-
ROE
-9.7%
Price
$28.89
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Option Exercise | 123,900 | $3,013,248 |
| 2026-03-27 | DONDERO JAMES DAVID | President | Stock Award | 16,506 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | MITTS BRIAN D | Director | Stock Award | 3,730 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Stock Award | 15,870 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR | General Counsel | Stock Award | 2,073 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | RICHARDS PAUL | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 948 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Purchase | 2,000 | $48,740 |
| 2026-03-20 | RICHARDS PAUL | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 1,700 | $42,037 |
| 2026-03-13 | MITTS BRIAN D | Director | Stock Award | 3,540 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Stock Award | 22,350 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR | General Counsel | Stock Award | 2,478 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | RICHARDS PAUL | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,416 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Purchase | 1,000 | $26,140 |
| 2026-03-09 | MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN | Chief Investment Officer | Purchase | 1,000 | $26,390 |
| 2026-03-09 | RICHARDS PAUL | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 2,000 | $52,680 |
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-04-02
123,900 shares
·
$3,013,248
DONDERO JAMES DAVID
President
2026-03-27
16,506 shares
MITTS BRIAN D
Director
2026-03-27
3,730 shares
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-03-27
15,870 shares
SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR
General Counsel
2026-03-27
2,073 shares
RICHARDS PAUL
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-27
948 shares
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-03-20
2,000 shares
·
$48,740
RICHARDS PAUL
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-20
1,700 shares
·
$42,037
MITTS BRIAN D
Director
2026-03-13
3,540 shares
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-03-13
22,350 shares
SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR
General Counsel
2026-03-13
2,478 shares
RICHARDS PAUL
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-13
1,416 shares
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-03-11
1,000 shares
·
$26,140
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
2026-03-09
1,000 shares
·
$26,390
RICHARDS PAUL
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-09
2,000 shares
·
$52,680
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
10-Q
8-K
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
5 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-03-12
Hold
Hold
Raymond James
2026-02-27
Market Perform
Underperform
Truist Securities
2026-01-20
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-11-17
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning NXRT from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.