OBDC

NEUTRAL

$11.72 Live

Blue Owl Capital Corporation · NYSE

Target $13.79 (+17.7%)

$10.52 52W Range $15.19

OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

OBDC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Financial Services • Asset Management

Current Price Live

$11.72

Analyst Target

$13.79

+17.7% Upside

52W High

$15.19

52W Low

$10.52

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026

Market cap

$5.82B

P/E

9.45

ROE

9.4%

Profit margin

33.9%

Debt/Equity

1.26

Dividend yield

12.88%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

OBDC presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.79). While the Graham Number suggests a defensive fair value of $20.33, this is heavily offset by a concerning earnings collapse (-40.90% YoY) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 125.81%. The stock is currently caught between strong asset-based valuation and deteriorating fundamental earnings performance, resulting in a bearish technical trend.

Key Strengths

Trading at a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.79)

Strong operating margins (75.88%) and profit margins (33.89%)

Positive year-over-year revenue growth (13.50%)

Low P/E ratio (9.45) relative to financial sector averages

Consistent history of meeting or beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (125.81%), indicating a high risk of a dividend cut

Severe decline in year-over-year earnings growth (-40.90%)

Negative quarterly momentum in both revenue (-19.36%) and earnings (-23.10%)

Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)

Low current ratio (0.73) suggesting tight short-term liquidity

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$12.2

+4.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Cautionary Hold

Key drivers: Earnings deterioration, Dividend sustainability, Book value discount

Confidence

90%

Value

75/100

Strong asset-based value but weak growth-based value.

Positives

P/B of 0.79
P/E of 9.45
Graham Number $20.33

Watchpoints

Intrinsic value estimate ($8.68) is below current price

Future

30/100

Growth metrics are trending sharply downward.

Positives

YoY Revenue growth remains positive

Watchpoints

Earnings growth -40.90%
Negative Q/Q trends

Past

60/100

Long-term growth is positive, but short-term momentum has stalled.

Positives

5Y Change +39.3%
Long track record of earnings beats

Watchpoints

1Y Change -5.7%

Health

50/100

Financial health is stable but not strong; typical for BDC structures.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Current ratio < 1.0
Debt/Equity 1.26

Dividend

20/100

Dividend is currently funded by capital or debt rather than earnings.

Positives

High absolute yield (12.88%)

Watchpoints

Payout ratio 125.81% (exceeds earnings)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$11.72

Analyst Target

$13.79

Upside/Downside

+17.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OBDC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corporation Primary	+39.3%	+29.0%	-5.7%	-2.5%	+6.0%	+3.3%
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association Peer	-54.7%	-44.1%	+24.9%	+16.0%	+5.7%	-4.2%
HWC Hancock Whitney Corporation Peer	+78.4%	+106.5%	+48.3%	+24.4%	+13.2%	+2.6%
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. Peer	+33.3%	+63.0%	+14.7%	+4.3%	+9.8%	+2.5%
UBSI United Bankshares, Inc. Peer	+36.3%	+50.8%	+31.3%	+21.7%	+6.5%	-1.8%

OBD

Blue Owl Capital Corporation

Primary

+39.3%

+29.0%

-5.7%

-2.5%

+6.0%

+3.3%

FLG

Flagstar Bank, National Association

Peer

-54.7%

-44.1%

+24.9%

+16.0%

+5.7%

-4.2%

HWC

Hancock Whitney Corporation

Peer

+78.4%

+106.5%

+48.3%

+24.4%

+13.2%

+2.6%

ESN

Essent Group Ltd.

Peer

+33.3%

+63.0%

+14.7%

+4.3%

+9.8%

+2.5%

UBS

United Bankshares, Inc.

Peer

+36.3%

+50.8%

+31.3%

+21.7%

+6.5%

-1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

9.45

8.75

N/A

0.79

3.14

7.9

N/A

$5.82B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 33.89%

Operating Margin 75.88%

Gross Margin 100.0%

ROE 9.4%

ROA 5.67%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +13.5%

Earnings Growth -40.9%

Q/Q Revenue Growth -19.36%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -23.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

1.26

Moderate

Current Ratio

0.73

Weak

Quick Ratio

0.67

Poor

Cash/Share

$1.04

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.1B

Net Margin

87.4%

Total Assets

$17.2B

Liabilities

$9.8B

Equity

$7.4B

Debt/Equity

1.32x

Operating CF

$0.8B

Free Cash Flow

$0.8B

FCF Yield

100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06

$N/A

2026-02-18

$0.37

+4.3% surprise

2025-11-05

$0.37

-5.7% surprise

2025-08-06

$0.42

+6.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing OBDC against 975 companies in the Financial Services sector (156 bullish, 425 neutral, 394 bearish)

P/E Ratio

9.45

This Stock

34.86

Sector Avg

-72.9% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

9.4%

This Stock

0.29%

Sector Avg

+3115.9% (Excellent)

Profit Margin

33.89%

This Stock

88.25%

Sector Avg

-61.6% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

1.26

This Stock

1.32

Sector Avg

-4.6% (Lower)

Revenue Growth

13.5%

This Stock

33.02%

Sector Avg

-59.1% (Slower)

Current Ratio

0.73

This Stock

3.69

Sector Avg

-80.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corporation	NEUTRAL	$5.82B	9.45	9.4%	33.9%	$11.72
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association	NEUTRAL	$5.84B	-	-0.7%	-2.9%	$14.03	Compare
HWC Hancock Whitney Corporation	BULLISH	$5.66B	12.23	11.3%	33.3%	$69.35	Compare
ESNT Essent Group Ltd.	NEUTRAL	$5.98B	9.22	12.1%	54.7%	$63.62	Compare
UBSI United Bankshares, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$5.99B	12.18	9.3%	40.3%	$43.49	Compare

OBDC Blue Owl Capital...

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$5.8B

P/E

9.5

ROE

9.4%

Price

$11.72

FLG Flagstar Bank,...

Compare with OBDC

Compare with OBDC

ESNT Essent Group Ltd.

Compare with OBDC

UBSI United Bankshares, Inc.

Compare with OBDC

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-02-27	NICHOLSON LOGAN	President	Purchase	10,000	$113,200
2026-02-25	KAYE ERIC A	Director	Purchase	1,000	$11,913
2025-11-26	REDDY NEENA	Officer	Purchase	7,890	$103,065
2025-11-18	PACKER CRAIG W	Chief Executive Officer	Purchase	83,200	$977,924
2025-11-18	NICHOLSON LOGAN	President	Purchase	25,000	$293,690
2025-11-12	TEMPLE CHRISTOPHER M	Director	Purchase	8,000	$96,240
2025-11-10	WEILER MELISSA	Director	Purchase	10,000	$119,900

NICHOLSON LOGAN

President

Buy

2026-02-27

10,000 shares · $113,200

KAYE ERIC A

Director

Buy

2026-02-25

1,000 shares · $11,913

REDDY NEENA

Officer

Buy

2025-11-26

7,890 shares · $103,065

PACKER CRAIG W

Chief Executive Officer

Buy

2025-11-18

83,200 shares · $977,924

NICHOLSON LOGAN

President

Buy

2025-11-18

25,000 shares · $293,690

TEMPLE CHRISTOPHER M

Director

Buy

2025-11-12

8,000 shares · $96,240

WEILER MELISSA

Director

Buy

2025-11-10

10,000 shares · $119,900

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-04-16

OBDC likely reported its first-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated April 16, 2026.

DEF 14A

2026-04-01

OBDC filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on April 1, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the company's upcoming meeting.

8-K

2026-04-01

10-K

2026-02-18

OBDC filed its annual 10-K report on February 18, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not included in the provided excerpts, the filing contains detailed management analysis and risk assessments essential for evaluating the company's annual performance.

8-K

2026-02-18

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) filed an 8-K on February 18, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K

2026-01-07

8-K

2025-12-02

8-K

2025-11-19

Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) filed a current report on November 19, 2025, likely announcing its quarterly financial results or a dividend declaration.

8-K

2025-11-05

8-K

2025-11-05

OBDC filed an 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results or announce a dividend declaration.

10-Q

2025-11-05

OBDC filed its 10-Q on November 5, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a detailed section on Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K

2025-10-01

8-K

2025-08-18

8-K

2025-08-06

10-Q

2025-08-06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

12 analysts

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

2026-04-16

Maintains

Market Perform Market Perform

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

2026-02-23

Maintains

Market Perform Market Perform

Truist Securities

2026-02-23

Maintains

Buy Buy

RBC Capital

2026-02-20

Maintains

Outperform Outperform

RBC Capital

2025-11-26

Maintains

Outperform Outperform

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

2025-11-10

Maintains

Market Perform Market Perform

Wells Fargo

2025-11-07

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Citizens

2025-11-07

Maintains

Market Outperform Market Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning OBDC from our newsroom.

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OBDC

OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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