OGS
NEUTRAL
$89.22
Live
ONE Gas, Inc. · NYSE
Target $92.38
(+3.5%)
$70.87
52W Range
$90.78
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$5.6B
P/E
20.42
ROE
8.1%
Profit margin
10.9%
Debt/Equity
0.98
Dividend yield
3.05%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
OGS presents a stable operational profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating a healthy but not exceptional financial state. However, the stock is currently trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($73.45) and Intrinsic Value ($69.92), suggesting overvaluation at the current price of $89.22. While the company maintains a better debt-to-equity ratio than its sector peers, severe liquidity constraints (Current Ratio 0.60) and bearish insider sentiment create a cautious outlook. The stock is trading near its 52-week high despite a very weak technical trend score, indicating a potential price correction.
Key Strengths
Debt/Equity ratio (0.98) is significantly lower than the sector average (1.68)
Consistent revenue growth of 9.30% YoY
Strong 1-year price performance (+17.6%)
Stable Piotroski F-Score (5/9) indicating baseline financial health
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 61.33%
Key Risks
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.60 and Quick Ratio of 0.35
Bearish insider activity with multiple sell transactions and zero buys
Weak technical trend (10/100) suggesting a loss of momentum
Poor recent earnings track record with only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$74.5
-16.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
35
60
75
55
65
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stability
Key drivers: Valuation gap, Liquidity risk, Sector-relative debt strength, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, Graham Number, Intrinsic Value
Positives
- Forward P/E (17.88) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Price ($89.22) is ~21% above Graham Number ($73.45)
- Price is ~27% above Intrinsic Value ($69.92)
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Steady revenue growth (9.3%)
- Positive Q/Q earnings growth (12.1%)
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth (6%) lags behind revenue growth
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 1Y (+17.6%) and 5Y (+31.7%) returns
- Consistent long-term price appreciation
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings surprises have been mostly negative or flat
Health
55/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score, Current Ratio, Debt/Equity
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
- Debt/Equity lower than sector average
Watchpoints
- Critical liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.60)
- Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
65/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Consistent 3.05% yield
- Manageable payout ratio (61.33%)
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score is only 50/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$89.22
Analyst Target
$92.38
Upside/Downside
+3.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OGS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-30
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OGS
ONE Gas, Inc.
Primary
|
+31.7% | +29.0% | +17.6% | +12.3% | +3.6% | +0.5% |
|
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
Peer
|
+56.7% | +22.2% | +19.7% | +28.2% | +2.5% | -0.3% |
|
BIPC
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
Peer
|
+23.0% | +12.8% | +12.4% | +11.4% | -2.0% | -0.1% |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
|
+43.4% | +15.9% | +30.7% | +29.1% | +3.2% | -2.3% |
|
ENIC
Enel Chile S.A.
Peer
|
+89.7% | +113.0% | +27.3% | +13.9% | +13.3% | -1.4% |
OGS
ONE Gas, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+31.7%
3Y
+29.0%
1Y
+17.6%
6M
+12.3%
1M
+3.6%
1W
+0.5%
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
+56.7%
3Y
+22.2%
1Y
+19.7%
6M
+28.2%
1M
+2.5%
1W
-0.3%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
Peer
5Y
+23.0%
3Y
+12.8%
1Y
+12.4%
6M
+11.4%
1M
-2.0%
1W
-0.1%
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.4%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+30.7%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-2.3%
ENI
Enel Chile S.A.
Peer
5Y
+89.7%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+27.3%
6M
+13.9%
1M
+13.3%
1W
-1.4%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
20.42
Forward P/E
17.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.63
P/S Ratio
2.31
EV/Revenue
3.69
EV/EBITDA
11.55
Market Cap
$5.6B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
10.88%
Operating Margin
20.31%
Gross Margin
35.84%
ROE
8.07%
ROA
3.32%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.3%
Earnings Growth
+6.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+9.3%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+12.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.98
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.6
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.35
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.21
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
35.2%
Op. Margin
20.3%
Net Margin
12.5%
Total Assets
$8.9B
Liabilities
$5.4B
Equity
$3.4B
Debt/Equity
1.57x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-271%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-18
$1.42
-0.4% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.44
+3.8% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.53
-0.6% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing OGS against 77 companies in the Utilities sector
(4 bullish, 45 neutral, 28 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.42
This Stock
vs
26.67
Sector Avg
-23.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.07%
This Stock
vs
0.07%
Sector Avg
+12084.7%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
10.88%
This Stock
vs
6.82%
Sector Avg
+59.7%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.98
This Stock
vs
1.66
Sector Avg
-40.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.3%
This Stock
vs
22.3%
Sector Avg
-58.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.6
This Stock
vs
1.15
Sector Avg
-47.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OGS
ONE Gas, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.6B | 20.42 | 8.1% | 10.9% | $89.22 | |
|
NJR
New Jersey Resources Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.68B | 17.43 | 13.7% | 15.2% | $56.31 | Compare |
|
BIPC
Brookfield Infrastructure...
|
BEARISH | $5.45B | - | 34.8% | -4.3% | $45.55 | Compare |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.41B | 18.1 | 7.9% | 12.5% | $71.68 | Compare |
|
ENIC
Enel Chile S.A.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.99B | 11.1 | 10.7% | 11.8% | $4.33 | Compare |
OGS
ONE Gas, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.6B
P/E
20.4
ROE
8.1%
Price
$89.22
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO A | Director | Sale | 850 | $73,389 |
| 2026-02-24 | BRUMFIELD BRIAN F | Officer | Sale | 1,000 | $86,440 |
| 2026-02-13 | DINAN CURTIS L | Chief Operating Officer | Option Exercise | 7,168 | $616,793 |
| 2026-02-13 | MCCORMICK JOSEPH L. J.D. | General Counsel | Option Exercise | 3,803 | $327,279 |
| 2026-02-13 | MCANNALLY ROBERT S | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 25,367 | $2,182,591 |
| 2026-02-13 | BENDER MARK A | Officer | Option Exercise | 3,584 | $308,444 |
| 2026-02-13 | KOUPLEN ANGELA E. | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,901 | $249,607 |
| 2026-02-13 | SHORTRIDGE WILLIAM KENT | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,205 | $189,768 |
| 2026-02-13 | BRUMFIELD BRIAN F | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,846 | $158,867 |
| 2026-02-13 | SIGHINOLFI CHRISTOPHER P. | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 1,959 | $51,391 |
| 2025-12-04 | HUTCHINSON MICHAEL G | Director | Sale | 3,000 | $236,574 |
RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO A
Director
2026-03-06
850 shares
·
$73,389
BRUMFIELD BRIAN F
Officer
2026-02-24
1,000 shares
·
$86,440
DINAN CURTIS L
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-13
7,168 shares
·
$616,793
MCCORMICK JOSEPH L. J.D.
General Counsel
2026-02-13
3,803 shares
·
$327,279
MCANNALLY ROBERT S
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
25,367 shares
·
$2,182,591
BENDER MARK A
Officer
2026-02-13
3,584 shares
·
$308,444
KOUPLEN ANGELA E.
Officer
2026-02-13
2,901 shares
·
$249,607
SHORTRIDGE WILLIAM KENT
Officer
2026-02-13
2,205 shares
·
$189,768
BRUMFIELD BRIAN F
Officer
2026-02-13
1,846 shares
·
$158,867
SIGHINOLFI CHRISTOPHER P.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
1,959 shares
·
$51,391
HUTCHINSON MICHAEL G
Director
2025-12-04
3,000 shares
·
$236,574
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-21
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2026-04-21
Buy
Stifel
2026-02-24
Hold
Hold
UBS
2025-12-17
Neutral
Neutral
B of A Securities
2025-12-04
Buy
Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-03
Outperform
Outperform
Mizuho
2025-11-18
Outperform
Outperform
UBS
2025-11-18
Sell
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning OGS from our newsroom.
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