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ONL

BEARISH
$2.87 Live
Orion Properties Inc. · NYSE
Target $3.0 (+4.5%)
$1.63 52W Range $3.05

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$163.1M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-20.0%
Profit margin
-102.6%
Debt/Equity
0.76
Dividend yield
2.79%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
The company exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a disastrous profit margin of -102.56%. While the stock trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.26), this is likely a value trap given the -36.60% YoY revenue decline and consistent negative earnings. Recent short-term price momentum is disconnected from the underlying fundamental decay and long-term 5-year decline of 80.1%. The lack of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive bankruptcy trigger, but the deterministic health metrics are critically low.

Key Strengths

Extremely low Price-to-Book ratio (0.26) suggesting deep asset discounting
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.64
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.76 compared to sector averages
Recent 1-year price recovery of +62.6%
Positive Quick Ratio (1.37) indicating ability to cover short-term liabilities

Key Risks

Severe negative profitability with a profit margin of -102.56%
Significant revenue contraction (-36.60% YoY)
Critically low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) indicating poor financial health
Negative Return on Equity (-20.04%) and Return on Assets (-0.45%)
Bearish long-term technical trend with an 80% loss over 5 years
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.5
-12.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
40
Future
20
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Fundamental Value Trap
Key drivers: Negative profit margins, Declining revenue, Weak Piotroski score, Asset-heavy but earnings-poor
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Trades far below book value, but Graham Number is unavailable due to negative earnings.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.26 is exceptionally low
Watchpoints
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • Lack of earnings to support valuation
Future
20/100

Growth metrics are consistently negative across multiple timeframes.

Positives
  • Recent 1-month price surge (+33.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is sharply negative (-36.60% YoY)
  • Q/Q revenue continues to slide (-8.20%)
Past
30/100

Long-term destruction of shareholder value despite recent volatility spikes.

Positives
  • 1-year return of +62.6%
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -80.1%
  • Highly volatile earnings history
Health
20/100

Piotroski score indicates a high probability of continued financial weakness.

Positives
  • Current Ratio 2.64
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Negative ROE and ROA
Dividend
20/100

Payout is likely funded by capital or debt rather than earnings.

Positives
  • Current yield of 2.79%
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score 20/100
  • Unsustainable given -102% profit margins

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.87
Analyst Target
$3.0
Upside/Downside
+4.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ONL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
ONL
Orion Properties Inc.
Primary
5Y
-80.1%
3Y
-42.0%
1Y
+62.6%
6M
+16.6%
1M
+33.5%
1W
+14.8%
MDV
Modiv Industrial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-64.6%
3Y
+103.0%
1Y
+4.4%
6M
+14.6%
1M
+12.3%
1W
+0.7%
DOU
Douglas Elliman Inc.
Peer
5Y
-82.0%
3Y
-31.7%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+20.9%
1W
+1.6%
ACR
ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
Peer
5Y
+57.5%
3Y
+101.6%
1Y
+11.1%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-10.1%
1W
-1.9%
SEV
Seven Hills Realty Trust
Peer
5Y
+9.1%
3Y
+15.5%
1Y
-17.9%
6M
-14.4%
1M
+3.8%
1W
-0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-8.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.26
P/S Ratio
1.2
EV/Revenue
4.52
EV/EBITDA
12.67
Market Cap
$163.1M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -102.56%
Operating Margin -44.41%
Gross Margin 51.61%
ROE -20.04%
ROA -0.45%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -36.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -8.2%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.76
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.64
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.37
Good
Cash/Share
$0.4

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
56.8%
Op. Margin
-14.1%
Net Margin
-101.7%
Total Assets
$1.2B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
0.88x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-124%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.07
+49.0% surprise
2022-11-02
$-0.94
-487.5% surprise
2022-08-03
$-0.13
+12.0% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing ONL against 214 companies in the Real Estate sector (10 bullish, 43 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-20.04%
This Stock
vs
-27.06%
Sector Avg
-25.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-102.56%
This Stock
vs
10.56%
Sector Avg
-1071.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.76
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-68.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-36.6%
This Stock
vs
13183.06%
Sector Avg
-100.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.64
This Stock
vs
8.25
Sector Avg
-68.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DAY CHRISTOPHER HAVILAND
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
99,372 shares
SCHMIDT REVEA LYNN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
62,762 shares
MCDOWELL PAUL H
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
217,573 shares
HUGHES PAUL C
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-12
73,222 shares
BRANDON GAVIN B
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
115,063 shares
DAY CHRISTOPHER HAVILAND
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-15
10,938 shares
SCHMIDT REVEA LYNN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-15
2,734 shares
MCDOWELL PAUL H
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-15
52,513 shares
HUGHES PAUL C
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-01-15
8,204 shares
BRANDON GAVIN B
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-15
15,042 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-20

ONL filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 20, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-05

ONL filed its annual 10-K report on March 5, 2026. Due to the absence of detailed text in the provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be determined.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

ONL filed a current report on March 5, 2026, likely to announce financial results or a material corporate development.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

OnLogic (ONL) filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the most recent fiscal period.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-26

OnLogic (ONL) filed an 8-K on January 26, 2026, likely to report its quarterly or annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

ONL filed an 8-K on November 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

ONL filed its 10-Q on November 6, 2025, which includes sections detailing the company's business operations and risk factors. No specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

OnLogic (ONL) filed an 8-K on November 6, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-22
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-08-06

OnLogic (ONL) filed an 8-K on August 6, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-14
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-07
8-K
8-K
2025-05-07
8-K
8-K
2025-04-11
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Jones Trading
2026-01-26
up
Hold Buy
Jones Trading
2026-01-09
init
Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ONL from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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