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MDV

BEARISH
$16.01 Live
Modiv Industrial, Inc. · NYSE
Target $17.75 (+10.9%)
$13.8 52W Range $16.74
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$165.21M
P/E
N/A
ROE
0.3%
Profit margin
2.3%
Debt/Equity
1.29
Dividend yield
7.5%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MDV exhibits severe financial fragility, anchored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a catastrophic dividend payout ratio of 459.98%. While the company maintains high short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 9.32), this is offset by crashing earnings growth (-78.50% YoY) and a consistent failure to meet analyst expectations (0/4 beats in the last year). The stock appears to be a value trap, trading near book value (P/B 1.01) but lacking the fundamental growth or profitability to sustain its current dividend or price level.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high current ratio (9.32) indicating strong short-term liquidity
Strong operating margins (41.50%) suggesting efficient core property management
Price/Book ratio of 1.01 indicates the stock is not trading at a significant premium to assets
Attractive nominal dividend yield of 7.50%
High gross margins (92.66%) typical of industrial REIT structures

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (459.98%) suggesting a high probability of a dividend cut
Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -78.50%
Weak Piotroski F-Score (2/9) signaling deteriorating fundamental health
Consistent earnings misses with an average surprise of -583.44% over the last 4 quarters
Negative revenue growth trends both YoY (-4.10%) and Q/Q (-5.59%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.5
-9.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
23
Weak
Value
40
Future
15
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Dividend Payout > 400%, Negative Earnings Growth, Consistent Earnings Misses
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, P/B

Positives
  • P/B ratio near 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 123.15 is excessively high
  • Lack of Graham Number due to poor earnings
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent short-term price momentum (1M change +12.3%)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue and Earnings growth are both negative
  • 0/4 earnings beats in recent quarters
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 3Y recovery (+103%)
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change is -64.6%
  • Long-term trend of missing estimates
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Very high Current and Quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically low
  • ROE is nearly zero (0.27%)
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High yield (7.50%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 459.98% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$16.01
Analyst Target
$17.75
Upside/Downside
+10.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MDV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MDV
Modiv Industrial, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-64.6%
3Y
+103.0%
1Y
+4.4%
6M
+14.6%
1M
+12.3%
1W
+0.7%
DOU
Douglas Elliman Inc.
Peer
5Y
-82.0%
3Y
-31.7%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+20.9%
1W
+1.6%
ACR
ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
Peer
5Y
+57.5%
3Y
+101.6%
1Y
+11.1%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-10.1%
1W
-1.9%
SEV
Seven Hills Realty Trust
Peer
5Y
+9.1%
3Y
+15.5%
1Y
-17.9%
6M
-14.4%
1M
+3.8%
1W
-0.6%
ELM
Elme Communities
Peer
5Y
-27.4%
3Y
-8.3%
1Y
-7.1%
6M
-14.8%
1M
+8.0%
1W
+3.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
123.15
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.01
P/S Ratio
3.5
EV/Revenue
9.58
EV/EBITDA
13.16
Market Cap
$165.21M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.27%
Operating Margin 41.5%
Gross Margin 92.66%
ROE 0.27%
ROA 2.55%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -4.1%
Earnings Growth -78.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -5.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -22.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.29
Moderate
Current Ratio
9.32
Strong
Quick Ratio
8.26
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.39

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
92.1%
Op. Margin
40.2%
Net Margin
11.0%
Total Assets
$0.5B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.69x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-25
$0.05
-0.2% surprise
2025-11-14
$N/A
2025-08-07
$-0.32
-1166.7% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing MDV against 197 companies in the Real Estate sector (9 bullish, 41 neutral, 147 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.27%
This Stock
vs
-28.9%
Sector Avg
-100.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.27%
This Stock
vs
11.67%
Sector Avg
-80.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.29
This Stock
vs
2.39
Sector Avg
-45.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-4.1%
This Stock
vs
14310.31%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
9.32
This Stock
vs
8.76
Sector Avg
+6.4% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MDV Modiv Industrial, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$165M
P/E
-
ROE
0.3%
Price
$16.01
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$174M
P/E
11.6
ROE
8.3%
Price
$1.97
 Compare with MDV
ACR ACRES...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$148M
P/E
21.4
ROE
7.0%
Price
$19.94
 Compare with MDV
SEVN Seven Hills...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$184M
P/E
8.1
ROE
5.2%
Price
$8.14
 Compare with MDV
ELME Elme Communities
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$191M
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$2.15
 Compare with MDV

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

NOLAN THOMAS H. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,047 shares · $15,000
SMITH KIMBERLY J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,047 shares · $15,000
TIRONDOLA CONNIE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,047 shares · $15,000
GINGRAS CHRISTOPHER RAYMOND
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,047 shares · $15,000
NOLAN THOMAS H. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
1,042 shares · $15,000
SMITH KIMBERLY J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
1,042 shares · $15,000
TIRONDOLA CONNIE
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
1,042 shares · $15,000
GINGRAS CHRISTOPHER RAYMOND
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
1,042 shares · $15,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

10-K
10-K
2026-03-25

MDV filed its annual 10-K report on March 25, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-25
8-K
8-K
2026-03-19
8-K
8-K
2026-01-22

MDV filed a current report on January 22, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-20
8-K
8-K
2025-12-11
8-K
8-K
2025-11-14

MDV filed an 8-K on November 14, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-14

MDV filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 14, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-17

MDV filed an 8-K on October 17, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-12
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-07-25
8-K
8-K
2025-06-18
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
6 analysts
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-04-07
reit
Overweight Overweight
Freedom Broker
2025-11-24
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MDV from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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