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PEN

NEUTRAL
$325.33 Live
Penumbra, Inc. · NYSE
Target $365.79 (+12.4%)
$221.26 52W Range $362.41

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 02, 2026
Market cap
$12.8B
P/E
71.98
ROE
13.8%
Profit margin
12.7%
Debt/Equity
0.15
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Penumbra exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an exceptionally strong balance sheet characterized by low debt and high liquidity. While the company demonstrates impressive growth metrics, including 38.3% earnings growth and a PEG ratio of 0.74, the current price of $325.33 represents a massive premium over its Graham Number ($60.84) and Intrinsic Value ($133.34). The bullish growth trajectory is currently offset by bearish insider sentiment and a negative technical trend, suggesting the stock may be overextended in the short term.

Key Strengths

Strong growth profile with 38.3% YoY earnings growth and 22.1% revenue growth
Excellent liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 6.64 and Quick Ratio of 4.01
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.15
High profitability margins, specifically a Gross Margin of 67.14%
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates over the last 4 quarters

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Bearish insider activity with 9 sell transactions and 0 buys in the last 6 months
High P/E ratio of 71.98 makes the stock sensitive to any growth deceleration
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Significant gap between current market price and growth-based intrinsic value
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$158.5
-51.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
52
Moderate
Value
25
Future
88
Past
82
Health
65
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-Growth Premium
Key drivers: Strong EPS growth, Low debt, Extreme valuation gap, Insider selling
Confidence
90%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E 71.98, PEG 0.74, Graham Number $60.84

Positives
  • PEG ratio of 0.74 suggests growth justifies some premium
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 71.98 is very high
  • Price is >5x the Graham Number
Future
88/100

Ref Revenue Growth 22.10%, Earnings Growth 38.30%

Positives
  • Strong YoY Revenue and Earnings growth
  • Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • High expectations baked into price
Past
82/100

Ref Historical Earnings Track Record and Price Performance

Positives
  • Strong 6-month price performance (+43.1%)
  • Long-term history of earnings beats
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week and 1-month price dip
Health
65/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.15

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.15)
  • Exceptional Current Ratio (6.64)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$325.33
Analyst Target
$365.79
Upside/Downside
+12.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PEN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-05-01
PEN
Penumbra, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+9.1%
3Y
+15.6%
1Y
+11.5%
6M
+43.1%
1M
-1.1%
1W
-1.4%
GME
Globus Medical, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+30.6%
3Y
+61.2%
1Y
+29.0%
6M
+48.1%
1M
+11.8%
1W
-3.2%
ALG
Align Technology, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-70.7%
3Y
-45.5%
1Y
-2.1%
6M
+33.1%
1M
+6.6%
1W
-9.2%
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care AG
Peer
5Y
-34.1%
3Y
+6.8%
1Y
-3.1%
6M
-16.4%
1M
+2.3%
1W
-2.7%
ION
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+83.9%
3Y
+101.9%
1Y
+181.4%
6M
+7.4%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
71.98
Forward P/E
51.01
PEG Ratio
0.74
P/B Ratio
8.94
P/S Ratio
9.12
EV/Revenue
8.86
EV/EBITDA
60.24
Market Cap
$12.8B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.66%
Operating Margin 15.37%
Gross Margin 67.14%
ROE 13.78%
ROA 7.04%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +22.1%
Earnings Growth +38.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +22.14%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +40.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.15
Low debt
Current Ratio
6.64
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.01
Excellent
Cash/Share
$13.88

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
68.0%
Op. Margin
15.4%
Net Margin
12.3%
Total Assets
$1.8B
Liabilities
$0.4B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
79%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-13
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.18
+6.1% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.97
+5.3% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.86
+4.7% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing PEN against 595 companies in the Healthcare sector (36 bullish, 188 neutral, 371 bearish)
P/E Ratio
71.98
This Stock
vs
71.35
Sector Avg
+0.9% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.78%
This Stock
vs
-87.4%
Sector Avg
-115.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.66%
This Stock
vs
-15.81%
Sector Avg
-180.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.15
This Stock
vs
2.56
Sector Avg
-94.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
22.1%
This Stock
vs
118.3%
Sector Avg
-81.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
6.64
This Stock
vs
4.36
Sector Avg
+52.5% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GREWAL HARPREET SINGH
Director
Sell
2026-04-02
100 shares · $32,822
YUEN MAGGIE S.
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
2,432 shares · $832,474
ROBERTS JOHANNA
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-17
5,260 shares
YUEN MAGGIE S.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
5,260 shares
SHIU LAMBERT
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
4,600 shares
NARAYAN SHRUTHI
President
Stock Award
2026-02-17
5,260 shares
GREWAL HARPREET SINGH
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
WILDER THOMAS C III
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
O'ROURKE BRIDGET A
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
LEEDS JANET
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
SARNA SURBHI
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
BOSE ARANI
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
589 shares
GREWAL HARPREET SINGH
Director
Sell
2026-01-06
186 shares · $58,151
WILDER THOMAS C III
Director
Sell
2026-01-02
186 shares · $57,794
BOSE ARANI
Director
Sell
2025-12-11
15,000 shares · $4,632,292
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-29

PEN filed a definitive proxy statement on April 29, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25

PEN filed its annual 10-K report on February 25, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures to evaluate the company's current performance or risk profile.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

PENN Entertainment reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-05

PEN filed its 10-Q on November 5, 2025, though the provided excerpt contains no specific financial performance highlights. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, indicating the disclosure of potential operational or market risks.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-05

Penn Entertainment, Inc. (PEN) filed an 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-27

PENN Entertainment filed an 8-K on August 27, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-29

PEN filed its 10-Q on July 29, 2025, though the provided excerpt contains no specific financial highlights. The filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-29

PENN Entertainment filed an 8-K on July 29, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-30
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-23
8-K
8-K
2025-04-23
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-16
8-K
8-K
2025-02-21
10-K
10-K
2025-02-18
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
14 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-26
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-01-20
down
Outperform Sector Perform
Canaccord Genuity
2026-01-20
down
Buy Hold
Jefferies
2026-01-16
down
Buy Hold
Needham
2026-01-16
down
Buy Hold
Citigroup
2026-01-16
down
Buy Neutral
Leerink Partners
2026-01-16
down
Outperform Market Perform
Baird
2026-01-16
down
Outperform Neutral
BTIG
2026-01-16
down
Buy Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-01-16
down
Buy Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PEN from our newsroom.

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