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PEP

NEUTRAL
$154.85 Live
PepsiCo, Inc. · NYSE
Target $169.78 (+9.6%)
$127.6 52W Range $171.48

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
PepsiCo exhibits a stable but mediocre deterministic health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a high Debt/Equity ratio of 2.58. While the company maintains an exceptional earnings beat record over 25 quarters and a strong ROE of 42.85%, these are offset by a dangerously high dividend payout ratio of 93.71% and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.85). The stock currently trades below its growth-based intrinsic value of $177.0, but bearish insider activity and a 0/100 technical trend suggest limited immediate upside.

Key Strengths

Exceptional ROE of 42.85% indicating high efficiency in generating profit from equity
Consistent earnings track record with beats in nearly all of the last 25 quarters
Strong gross margins (54.46%) reflecting significant brand pricing power
Attractive dividend yield of 3.65% for income-focused investors
Positive forward P/E compression (16.94 vs 25.81) suggesting expected earnings growth

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 93.71%, leaving little room for error or reinvestment
Weak liquidity position with a current ratio of 0.85 and quick ratio of 0.64
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.58, increasing vulnerability to interest rate shifts
Bearish insider sentiment, specifically sales by the CEO and other officers
Technical trend is currently 0/100, indicating strong bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$162.5
+4.9% above current price

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