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PEP PepsiCo, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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PEP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Current Price Live
$146.32
Analyst Target
$156.0
+6.6% Upside
52W High
$160.15
52W Low
$127.6

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
PepsiCo's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. The company trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($40.94) and intrinsic value ($36.82), with a high current price of $146.32, though this is partially justified by its defensive sector positioning and dividend yield. Profitability metrics like ROE (37.16%) and gross margin (54.27%) are strong, but earnings growth is negative (-10.80% YoY), and recent earnings surprises have been sharply negative, raising concerns about execution. While the dividend yield is attractive at 3.88%, the payout ratio exceeds 100%, signaling potential sustainability issues.

Key Strengths

High gross margin of 54.27% reflects strong pricing power and cost control
Strong ROE of 37.16% indicates efficient use of shareholder equity
Attractive dividend yield of 3.88%, above sector average
Large market cap ($200.32B) provides resilience and access to capital
Forward P/E of 17.09 suggests reasonable future earnings expectations

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational instability
Negative YoY earnings growth of -10.80% and declining profitability trend
Payout ratio of 105.61% exceeds earnings, threatening dividend sustainability
Poor recent earnings performance: 0 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with average surprise of -27.34%
High debt/equity ratio of 2.60 increases financial risk, especially in rising rate environments
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$40.94
-72.0% below current price

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