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PG The Procter & Gamble Company - Fundamental Analysis

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PG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Household & Personal Products
Current Price Live
$144.53
Analyst Target
$165.68
+14.6% Upside
52W High
$179.99
52W Low
$137.62

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) exhibits a mixed financial profile with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, while profitability metrics like ROE (31.90%) and gross margin (51.28%) remain strong. The stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value of $202.37 but above the conservative Graham Number of $58.89, suggesting reasonable valuation for a stable cash generator. However, bearish insider sentiment, deteriorating short-term price performance (-7.6% over 1Y), and weak liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.71) raise concerns despite solid earnings growth and dividend reliability. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a target price of $165.68, implying moderate upside.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with ROE of 31.90% and gross margin of 51.28%, well above sector averages
Strong free cash flow generation implied by high operating cash flow and consistent earnings beats
Attractive dividend yield of 2.92% with a sustainable payout ratio of 60.24%
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.67, significantly below sector average of 1.82, indicating conservative capital structure
Earnings growth momentum: YoY EPS growth of 21.40% and recent Q/Q EPS surge of +34.5%

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health, particularly in leverage, liquidity, and operating efficiency trends
Poor liquidity position with Current Ratio (0.71) and Quick Ratio (0.47) below 1.0, indicating potential near-term solvency pressure
Bearish insider activity: net selling by insiders over last 6 months totaling $0.11M, signaling lack of confidence
Underperformance in price: -7.6% 1-year return vs sector peers like PM (+25.8%) and KO (+18.9%)
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and stock is trading well below its 52-week high of $179.99
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.68
+14.6% above current price

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