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POST

NEUTRAL
$103.4 Live
Post Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Target $122.43 (+18.4%)
$94.13 52W Range $117.28
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 02, 2026
Market cap
$4.96B
P/E
19.01
ROE
8.7%
Profit margin
3.8%
Debt/Equity
2.15
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
Post Holdings presents a mixed profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($103.40) trading slightly above its Graham Number ($93.94) and significantly above its growth-based intrinsic value ($38.08). While the company demonstrates a remarkable track record of earnings beats and strong revenue growth (10.10% YoY), these are offset by high leverage (Debt/Equity 2.15) and bearish insider activity. The divergence between strong top-line growth and inconsistent earnings growth suggests margin pressure, though the forward P/E of 12.53 indicates analyst expectations for recovery.

Key Strengths

Consistent history of earnings beats with high average surprises (20.63% over last 4 quarters)
Strong top-line revenue growth of 10.10% YoY in a defensive sector
Attractive Forward P/E (12.53) compared to current P/E (19.01)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.59) suggesting efficient revenue generation relative to market cap
Healthy liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 1.90

Key Risks

High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.15, exceeding the sector average
Significant gap between current market price and growth-based intrinsic value ($38.08)
Bearish insider sentiment with multiple sales and zero buys in the last 6 months
Thin net profit margins (3.82%) leaving little room for operational error
Negative Q/Q earnings growth (-14.60%) despite revenue increases
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$94.5
-8.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
55
Future
60
Past
85
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Hold
Key drivers: Strong earnings beat history, High debt levels, Bearish insider activity, Revenue growth vs Earnings contraction
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E is significantly lower than sector average (19.01 vs 35.23)
  • P/S ratio is very low (0.59)
Watchpoints
  • Price is above Graham Number
  • Price is nearly 3x the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue growth (10.10%)
  • Positive analyst target price ($122.43)
Watchpoints
  • Negative Q/Q earnings growth
  • Earnings growth lagging behind revenue growth
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Exceptional 25-quarter track record of beating estimates
  • Consistent upward EPS progression from 2022-2025
Watchpoints
  • 1-year price return is negative (-8.1%)
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio is strong (1.90)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
  • Debt/Equity is high at 2.15
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$103.4
Analyst Target
$122.43
Upside/Downside
+18.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for POST and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-05-01
POS
Post Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+37.5%
3Y
+14.5%
1Y
-8.1%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-0.2%
PSM
PriceSmart, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+98.9%
3Y
+121.2%
1Y
+74.5%
6M
+33.4%
1M
+14.4%
1W
+3.0%
GHC
Graham Holdings Company
Peer
5Y
+85.6%
3Y
+104.2%
1Y
+24.2%
6M
+12.4%
1M
+7.1%
1W
+0.6%
AKO
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
5Y
+198.5%
3Y
+156.0%
1Y
+67.2%
6M
+38.1%
1M
+12.6%
1W
+2.4%
LAU
Laureate Education, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+393.8%
3Y
+168.3%
1Y
+55.2%
6M
+9.4%
1M
-6.8%
1W
-5.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
19.01
Forward P/E
12.53
PEG Ratio
1.17
P/B Ratio
1.43
P/S Ratio
0.59
EV/Revenue
1.45
EV/EBITDA
8.54
Market Cap
$4.96B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.82%
Operating Margin 10.66%
Gross Margin 28.51%
ROE 8.67%
ROA 4.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +10.1%
Earnings Growth -3.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +10.12%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -14.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.15
High debt
Current Ratio
1.9
Good
Quick Ratio
0.92
Poor
Cash/Share
$5.82

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$2.2B
Gross Margin
29.4%
Op. Margin
11.0%
Net Margin
4.5%
Total Assets
$13.0B
Liabilities
$9.5B
Equity
$3.5B
Debt/Equity
2.75x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
51%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-05
$2.13
+27.7% surprise
2025-11-20
$2.09
+11.4% surprise
2025-08-07
$2.03
+22.8% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing POST against 199 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (12 bullish, 71 neutral, 116 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.01
This Stock
vs
35.5
Sector Avg
-46.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.67%
This Stock
vs
-12.85%
Sector Avg
-167.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.82%
This Stock
vs
-7.13%
Sector Avg
-153.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.15
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
+14.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
10.1%
This Stock
vs
96.06%
Sector Avg
-89.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.9
This Stock
vs
2.23
Sector Avg
-14.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

POST Post Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.0B
P/E
19.0
ROE
8.7%
Price
$103.4
PSMT PriceSmart, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.0B
P/E
30.9
ROE
12.4%
Price
$161.78
 Compare with POST
GHC Graham Holdings Company
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.9B
P/E
16.8
ROE
6.7%
Price
$1134.42
 Compare with POST
AKO-B Embotelladora...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.9B
P/E
16.4
ROE
24.7%
Price
$30.75
 Compare with POST
LAUR Laureate...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.5B
P/E
16.7
ROE
26.4%
Price
$31.59
 Compare with POST

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PEARSON GREGORY CARL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-02
8,485 shares
ATKINSON MICHELLE MARIE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
1,700 shares
ZADOKS JEFF A
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
1,700 shares
CURL GREGORY L
Director
Sell
2026-02-09
6,983 shares · $798,221
SKARIE DAVID P
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
KEMPER DAVID W.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
BURWELL DOROTHY M
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
ERB THOMAS C.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
CURL GREGORY L
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-03
1,600 shares
ZADOKS JEFF A
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
9,731 shares
GRAY DIEDRE JOHNSTON
General Counsel
Gift
2025-12-26
131,187 shares
STIRITZ WILLIAM P.
Former
Stock Award
2025-12-18
180,704 shares
HARPER BRADLY A.
Officer
Sell
2025-12-05
1,658 shares · $160,304
MAINER MATTHEW J
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2025-12-04
600 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-13

Post Holdings, Inc. filed a current report likely announcing its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-04

Post Holdings, Inc. likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-04

Post Holdings, Inc. likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-05

POST filed its 10-Q on February 5, 2026. Due to the limited content provided, specific financial highlights are unavailable, although the filing includes a section dedicated to Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

Post Holdings, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

Post Holdings, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04
8-K
8-K
2025-12-19
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-12-15
8-K
8-K
2025-12-02
8-K
8-K
2025-12-01
8-K
8-K
2025-12-01
8-K
8-K
2025-11-26
8-K
8-K
2025-11-21
10-K
10-K
2025-11-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-20
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-04-14
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BTIG
2026-04-14
init
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-04-08
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-09
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2025-12-01
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-11-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-24
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning POST from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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