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QSR

NEUTRAL
$80.03 Live
Restaurant Brands International Inc. · NYSE
Target $83.29 (+4.1%)
$61.33 52W Range $81.67

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 02, 2026
Market cap
$36.54B
P/E
30.43
ROE
24.0%
Profit margin
8.2%
Debt/Equity
3.04
Dividend yield
3.25%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
QSR exhibits a stable but mediocre financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and no Altman Z-Score provided for distress analysis. The stock is trading at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($24.92) and Intrinsic Value ($18.41), indicating that the current price of $80.03 is driven by market sentiment rather than defensive fundamentals. While the company maintains a strong ROE of 24.01% and a low PEG ratio of 0.94, these are offset by a dangerously high dividend payout ratio of 94.3% and a severe recent collapse in earnings growth (-57.40% YoY).

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 24.01%
Attractive PEG Ratio (0.94) suggesting growth is priced reasonably relative to earnings
Healthy Operating Margin of 26.44%
Consistent revenue growth of 7.40% YoY
Strong analyst consensus with a target price ($83.29) slightly above current market price

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap between current price ($80.03) and Graham Number ($24.92)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 94.30%
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.04
Severe short-term earnings contraction (-57.40% YoY)
Weak liquidity position with a Quick Ratio of 0.68
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-46.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
20
Future
45
Past
65
Health
40
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued Quality Asset
Key drivers: High brand equity supporting premium valuation, Severe earnings growth decline, Unsustainable dividend policy, High debt load
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 30.43, PEG 0.94, Graham Number $24.92

Positives
  • Forward P/E (18.15) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is >3x the Graham Number
  • Price/Book ratio of 7.63 is very high
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record

Positives
  • Steady revenue growth
  • Positive analyst target price
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth plummeted by 57.40% YoY
  • Recent quarterly earnings surprises are trending negative
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends and Earnings Progression

Positives
  • Strong 1-year price performance (+27.2%)
  • Long-term history of beating earnings estimates
Watchpoints
  • Recent 4-quarter average surprise is negative (-11.68%)
Health
40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 3.04

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 3.04 is high for the sector
  • Current ratio below 1.0 (0.98)
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield 3.25%, Payout 94.30%

Positives
  • Respectable yield of 3.25%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 94.3% leaves almost no room for error or reinvestment

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$80.03
Analyst Target
$83.29
Upside/Downside
+4.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for QSR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-05-01
QSR
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
Primary
5Y
+35.2%
3Y
+22.7%
1Y
+27.2%
6M
+24.0%
1M
+6.6%
1W
-1.1%
TCO
Trip.com Group Limited
Peer
5Y
+45.3%
3Y
+51.1%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-22.9%
1M
+7.7%
1W
+6.3%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Peer
5Y
-7.7%
3Y
-12.8%
1Y
+50.0%
6M
-7.8%
1M
+4.1%
1W
-5.5%
CPN
Coupang, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-55.1%
3Y
+30.7%
1Y
-11.8%
6M
-34.2%
1M
+9.1%
1W
-4.8%
CUK
Carnival Corporation & plc
Peer
5Y
+14.5%
3Y
+238.0%
1Y
+61.4%
6M
+2.7%
1M
+5.6%
1W
-7.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.43
Forward P/E
18.15
PEG Ratio
0.94
P/B Ratio
7.63
P/S Ratio
3.87
EV/Revenue
4.64
EV/EBITDA
15.66
Market Cap
$36.54B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.23%
Operating Margin 26.44%
Gross Margin 33.85%
ROE 24.02%
ROA 6.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.4%
Earnings Growth -57.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.4%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -56.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.04
High debt
Current Ratio
0.98
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.68
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.38

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$2.5B
Gross Margin
33.7%
Op. Margin
26.4%
Net Margin
4.6%
Total Assets
$25.6B
Liabilities
$20.5B
Equity
$3.6B
Debt/Equity
5.63x
Operating CF
$0.6B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.5B
FCF Yield
82%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-12
$0.96
+1.3% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.03
+2.9% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.57
-39.2% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing QSR against 457 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (30 bullish, 163 neutral, 264 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.43
This Stock
vs
31.95
Sector Avg
-4.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
24.02%
This Stock
vs
-50.82%
Sector Avg
-147.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.23%
This Stock
vs
-5.41%
Sector Avg
-251.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.04
This Stock
vs
1.77
Sector Avg
+71.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
7.4%
This Stock
vs
25.46%
Sector Avg
-70.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.98
This Stock
vs
2.48
Sector Avg
-60.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-31
21,669 shares · $1,599,822
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
49,580 shares
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
21,773 shares · $1,607,065
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-27
27,807 shares · $1,999,879
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-27
109,836 shares
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-26
21,764 shares · $1,599,871
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-25
23,537 shares · $1,707,844
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-24
21,390 shares · $1,599,972
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-23
21,405 shares · $1,599,809
Housman (Jeffrey)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Option Exercise
2026-03-20
20,000 shares · $1,111,000
Housman (Jeffrey)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-03-20
20,000 shares · $1,469,600
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-20
21,740 shares · $1,600,064
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-20
16,197 shares
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-19
16,197 shares · $1,199,873
Restaurant Brands International Inc
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-19
70,177 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-23

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) filed its definitive proxy statement on April 23, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-20

QSR filed its 10-K on February 20, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. The filing includes management's analysis of operational results and a detailed assessment of the risks facing the company.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) likely filed this 8-K to report its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-14

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) filed an 8-K likely to announce its third-quarter 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) likely filed this 8-K to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

QSR filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 30, 2025. The provided excerpts contain no specific financial highlights or risk factors, instead directing investors to the company's February 21, 2025, Annual Report and the notes to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) likely filed this 8-K to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07

QSR filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 7, 2025. The provided excerpts contain no specific financial highlights or risk factors, instead referring investors to the Annual Report on Form 10-K filed February 21, 2025, and the accompanying financial statement notes.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) likely filed this 8-K to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-06-03

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) filed an 8-K on June 3, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results or a material corporate update.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-04-28
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-24
10-K
10-K
2025-02-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
28 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-04-28
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
JP Morgan
2026-04-24
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-04-23
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-04-21
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Keybanc
2026-04-20
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
TD Cowen
2026-04-14
Maintains
Hold Hold
Oppenheimer
2026-03-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-03
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2026-03-02
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Truist Securities
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning QSR from our newsroom.

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