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ARI vs CBL

ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$9.92
Market Cap
$1.38B
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
72%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$44.35
Market Cap
$1.37B
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ARI
11.4
CBL
10.22
Forward P/E
ARI
10.63
CBL
-113.72
P/B Ratio
ARI
0.74
CBL
3.59
P/S Ratio
ARI
5.12
CBL
2.37
EV/EBITDA
ARI
--
CBL
10.93

Profitability

Gross Margin
ARI
69.75%
CBL
64.67%
Operating Margin
ARI
44.81%
CBL
32.42%
Profit Margin
ARI
51.31%
CBL
23.51%
ROE
ARI
7.41%
CBL
39.71%
ROA
ARI
1.48%
CBL
3.19%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ARI
-6.2%
CBL
18.8%
Earnings Growth
ARI
--
CBL
24.9%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ARI
4.06
CBL
5.95
Current Ratio
ARI
9.46
CBL
0.14
Quick Ratio
ARI
9.43
CBL
0.06

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ARI
10.01%
CBL
4.06%
Payout Ratio
ARI
113.64%
CBL
39.17%

AI Verdict

ARI BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a concerning lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises transparency risks. Despite a high dividend yield of 10.01%, the payout ratio of 113.64% is unsustainable, supported by declining earnings and negative revenue growth. Profitability margins appear strong on the surface but are misleading due to the company's high leverage (Debt/Equity: 4.06) and volatile earnings, including multiple large negative EPS surprises. Insider selling, bearish technicals, and a deteriorating earnings trend further undermine the bullish analyst recommendation and target price premium.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 10.01% offers attractive income potential
Price/Book ratio of 0.74 suggests the stock trades below book value
Strong gross and operating margins (69.75% and 44.81%) indicate pricing power or low cost structure
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and poor earnings stability
Debt/Equity ratio of 4.06 is extremely high, increasing default and refinancing risk
Dividend payout ratio of 113.64% is unsustainable and likely to be cut
CBL NEUTRAL

CBL presents a paradoxical profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and explosive short-term growth, contrasted by critical liquidity risks. While the company boasts a high ROE of 39.71% and strong 1-year price performance, its balance sheet is severely stressed with a Current Ratio of 0.14 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.95. The discrepancy between the low trailing P/E (10.22) and the negative Forward P/E (-113.72) suggests a looming earnings cliff. Consequently, the stock is viewed as a high-risk recovery play rather than a stable value investment.

Strengths
Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 39.71%
Strong revenue growth (18.80% YoY) and earnings growth (24.90% YoY)
Attractive trailing P/E ratio (10.22) relative to sector average (39.40)
Risks
Critical liquidity crisis indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.14 and Quick Ratio of 0.06
Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.95, well above the sector average of 2.83
Negative Forward P/E (-113.72) indicating expected future losses

Compare Another Pair

ARI vs CBL: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) and CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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