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GPK vs SHOO

GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
BEARISH
Price
$9.60
Market Cap
$2.84B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
SHOO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
BEARISH
Price
$39.80
Market Cap
$2.91B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
GPK
6.49
SHOO
63.17
Forward P/E
GPK
8.15
SHOO
15.17
P/B Ratio
GPK
0.85
SHOO
3.34
P/S Ratio
GPK
0.33
SHOO
1.15
EV/EBITDA
GPK
6.12
SHOO
16.1

Profitability

Gross Margin
GPK
18.72%
SHOO
42.63%
Operating Margin
GPK
6.8%
SHOO
8.1%
Profit Margin
GPK
5.15%
SHOO
1.76%
ROE
GPK
13.98%
SHOO
5.51%
ROA
GPK
4.66%
SHOO
6.61%

Growth

Revenue Growth
GPK
0.4%
SHOO
29.4%
Earnings Growth
GPK
-48.0%
SHOO
-31.7%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
GPK
1.76
SHOO
0.54
Current Ratio
GPK
1.3
SHOO
1.9
Quick Ratio
GPK
0.46
SHOO
1.02

Dividends

Dividend Yield
GPK
4.58%
SHOO
2.11%
Payout Ratio
GPK
29.73%
SHOO
133.33%

AI Verdict

GPK BEARISH

GPK presents as a classic value trap, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe fundamental deterioration. While the stock trades significantly below its Graham Number ($19.4) and Intrinsic Value ($10.36), these metrics are lagging indicators that fail to account for a catastrophic -48% collapse in earnings growth. The combination of stagnant revenue (0.40%) and a consistent streak of earnings misses (0/4 in the last year) suggests the current low valuation is a reflection of declining business quality rather than a market mispricing.

Strengths
Deeply undervalued on trailing metrics (P/E 6.49, P/B 0.85)
Trading below Graham Number ($19.4) and Intrinsic Value ($10.36)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (29.73%)
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-48% YoY)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.40% YoY)
Poor short-term liquidity (Quick Ratio 0.46)
SHOO BEARISH

SHOO exhibits a concerning divergence between aggressive revenue growth and collapsing profitability, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak) and a massive valuation gap. The stock is trading at $39.80, significantly exceeding both its Graham Number ($13.0) and Intrinsic Value ($4.41). While top-line growth is strong at 29.4%, the YoY earnings decline of 31.7% and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 133.33% signal fundamental instability. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a high trailing P/E of 63.17, the current price appears speculative and unsupported by deterministic health metrics.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 29.40%
Healthy gross margins at 42.63%
Solid liquidity with a current ratio of 1.90
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-31.7% YoY)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (133.33%)
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic values

Compare Another Pair

GPK vs SHOO: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) and Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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