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HTH vs PAX

HTH
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$36.80
Market Cap
$2.15B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
85%
PAX
Patria Investments Limited
NEUTRAL
Price
$13.10
Market Cap
$2.09B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
75%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
HTH
13.99
PAX
19.26
Forward P/E
HTH
15.68
PAX
7.64
P/B Ratio
HTH
1.01
PAX
3.35
P/S Ratio
HTH
1.7
PAX
5.47
EV/EBITDA
HTH
--
PAX
12.87

Profitability

Gross Margin
HTH
0.0%
PAX
55.72%
Operating Margin
HTH
16.89%
PAX
36.06%
Profit Margin
HTH
12.76%
PAX
22.43%
ROE
HTH
7.56%
PAX
16.02%
ROA
HTH
1.06%
PAX
5.99%

Growth

Revenue Growth
HTH
-3.4%
PAX
-15.4%
Earnings Growth
HTH
-1.5%
PAX
-37.6%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
HTH
--
PAX
0.27
Current Ratio
HTH
--
PAX
1.03
Quick Ratio
HTH
--
PAX
0.54

Dividends

Dividend Yield
HTH
2.07%
PAX
4.58%
Payout Ratio
HTH
28.14%
PAX
88.8%

AI Verdict

HTH BEARISH

Hilltop Holdings exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating deteriorating financial health. While the stock appears undervalued based on the Graham Number ($46.42) and a low P/E of 13.99, this is offset by negative YoY revenue (-3.40%) and earnings growth (-1.50%). The significant discrepancy between the Graham Number and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($18.41) suggests the market is pricing in a lack of growth. Combined with bearish insider activity and a 0/100 technical trend, the outlook is negative despite consistent earnings beats.

Strengths
Low P/E ratio (13.99) relative to sector averages
Price/Book ratio of 1.01 suggests the stock is trading near its liquidation value
Strong track record of beating analyst EPS estimates (3/4 last 4 quarters)
Risks
Critical financial health deterioration (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth
Bearish insider sentiment with nearly $10M in recent selling
PAX NEUTRAL

PAX presents a dichotomy between poor deterministic value metrics and strong forward-looking analyst sentiment. With a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, the company's financial health is stable, but it trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($7.74) and Intrinsic Value ($4.76). While YoY revenue and earnings growth are sharply negative, the attractive forward P/E of 7.64 and positive Q/Q revenue growth suggest a potential turnaround. The high dividend payout ratio remains a primary concern for long-term sustainability.

Strengths
Strong operating margins (36.06%) and gross margins (55.72%)
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27
Attractive Forward P/E (7.64) suggesting expected earnings recovery
Risks
Significant negative YoY earnings growth (-37.60%)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (88.80%)
Trading at a steep premium to both Graham and Intrinsic value estimates

Compare Another Pair

HTH vs PAX: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH) and Patria Investments Limited (PAX) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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