ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH
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ACGL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Financial Services
Insurance - Diversified
Current Price
Live
$98.49
Analyst Target
$109.32
+11.0%
Upside
52W High
$103.39
52W Low
$82.45
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
ACGL exhibits a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a borderline stable financial health, though it lacks the strength of a high-score firm. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern, but the company's robust profitability, low debt, and strong earnings growth suggest resilience. With a Graham Number of $130.64 and an intrinsic value estimate of $342.20, the stock trades at a significant discount to its defensive fair value and growth-based intrinsic value, signaling strong undervaluation. Analysts maintain a 'buy' consensus with a target price of $109.32, and the company has consistently beaten earnings estimates with an average surprise of 24.88% over the last four quarters.
Key Strengths
High profit margins (22.07%) and strong ROE (19.54%) indicate efficient capital deployment
Low debt/equity ratio (0.11) and strong cash flow generation support financial stability
Consistent earnings beat history with an average surprise of 24.88% over the last four quarters
Significant undervaluation relative to intrinsic value ($342.20) and Graham Number ($130.64)
Strong revenue and earnings growth (8.50% and 38.70% YoY respectively) outpacing sector averages
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, indicating potential operational inefficiencies or declining profitability trends
Extremely low current and quick ratios (0.53 and 0.26) signal liquidity concerns despite low debt
Insider selling activity totaling $25.29M in the last 6 months, including large sales by senior executives, raises governance concerns
No dividend policy or payout ratio, which may limit appeal to income-focused investors
Missing key financials like Free Cash Flow, Total Cash, and Total Debt, limiting full financial health assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$342.2
+247.4% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare ACGL against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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