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ACGL vs NTRS

ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
NEUTRAL
Price
$93.47
Market Cap
$33.89B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
78%
NTRS
Northern Trust Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$156.07
Market Cap
$29.52B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ACGL
8.06
NTRS
17.82
Forward P/E
ACGL
9.24
NTRS
13.87
P/B Ratio
ACGL
1.43
NTRS
2.41
P/S Ratio
ACGL
1.7
NTRS
3.65
EV/EBITDA
ACGL
6.0
NTRS
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
ACGL
37.16%
NTRS
0.0%
Operating Margin
ACGL
29.53%
NTRS
28.99%
Profit Margin
ACGL
22.07%
NTRS
21.46%
ROE
ACGL
19.54%
NTRS
13.49%
ROA
ACGL
4.44%
NTRS
1.04%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ACGL
8.5%
NTRS
8.2%
Earnings Growth
ACGL
38.8%
NTRS
7.6%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ACGL
0.12
NTRS
--
Current Ratio
ACGL
1.08
NTRS
--
Quick Ratio
ACGL
0.5
NTRS
--

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ACGL
--
NTRS
2.02%
Payout Ratio
ACGL
0.0%
NTRS
35.47%

AI Verdict

ACGL NEUTRAL

ACGL exhibits mixed fundamental signals: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline stable financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given the low quick ratio of 0.50. The stock trades at a compelling 8.06x P/E, well below the sector average of 30.46, and the Graham Number of $130.62 suggests undervaluation, though the intrinsic value estimate of $342.2 implies a significant growth premium. Strong profitability (22.07% margin, 19.54% ROE) and consistent earnings beats (16.97% average surprise) support upside potential, but the lack of dividends and bearish insider activity undermine confidence. The 1-year return of +3.4% lags behind peers, reflecting market skepticism despite solid fundamentals.

Strengths
Strong profitability with 22.07% net margin and 19.54% ROE
Consistent earnings beat history with 16.97% average surprise over last 4 quarters
Attractive valuation with P/E of 8.06, significantly below sector average of 30.46
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, bordering on instability
No Altman Z-Score available; absence of distress risk metric is a red flag
Bearish insider sentiment with $27.21M in sales over 6 months, including large sales by Chairman and CEO
NTRS NEUTRAL

Northern Trust (NTRS) presents a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a baseline of stability but lacking strong momentum in financial health. While the stock is trading near its growth-based intrinsic value of $161.18, it sits significantly above its defensive Graham Number of $113.01, suggesting a premium valuation. Recent price performance has been exceptional (+79.2% 1Y), but the stock is now hitting a ceiling near its 52-week high with a bearish technical trend (10/100) and negative insider sentiment. The combination of a 'Hold' analyst consensus and CFO selling suggests the current price may be fully valued.

Strengths
Consistent earnings performance with 3 of the last 4 quarters beating estimates
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 35.47%
Strong 1-year price appreciation of 79.2%
Risks
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100), suggesting a potential reversal or peak
Insider activity is bearish, specifically with sales from the CFO
Trading at a significant premium to the Graham Number ($113.01)

Compare Another Pair

ACGL vs NTRS: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) and Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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