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ACGLO Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Fundamental Analysis

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ACGLO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Insurance - Diversified
Current Price Live
$21.27
52W High
$22.2
52W Low
$19.99

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 21, 2026
Market cap
$12.4B
P/E
4.53
ROE
19.5%
Profit margin
22.1%
Debt/Equity
0.11
Dividend yield
6.43%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
ACGLO's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline stable financial health, falling short of strong fundamentals. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given the company's low current and quick ratios (0.53 and 0.26), which suggest liquidity strain. Despite this, the stock trades at a deeply undervalued P/E of 4.53 and Price/Book of 0.33, well below sector averages, and the Graham Number ($83.08) and intrinsic value ($138.38) imply significant upside potential. However, the bearish technical trend (0/100) and lack of analyst coverage limit conviction. The high dividend yield (6.43%) is attractive but may reflect market skepticism about sustainability.

Key Strengths

Extremely low valuation metrics: P/E of 4.53 and Price/Book of 0.33, significantly below sector averages
Strong profitability: 22.07% profit margin and 29.53% operating margin, indicating efficient operations
High earnings growth: 38.70% YoY, outpacing revenue growth and signaling strong top-line execution
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, indicating conservative capital structure and low financial leverage
High intrinsic value estimate ($138.38) relative to current price ($21.27), suggesting substantial undervaluation

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, with only minimal positive signals across financial quality metrics
Liquidity ratios are critically low: current ratio of 0.53 and quick ratio of 0.26, suggesting potential short-term solvency concerns
No Altman Z-Score available, which is a major red flag for distress risk, especially in a cyclical sector like insurance
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and lack of analyst coverage reduce market confidence and momentum
Dividend payout ratio is not available, and a 6.43% yield on a low-growth, high-risk stock may not be sustainable
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$138.38
+550.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
88
Future
75
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Deep undervaluation based on Graham and intrinsic value models, Strong earnings growth and profitability, Weak liquidity and low Piotroski F-Score, Absence of Altman Z-Score raises distress risk, Bearish technicals and lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
78%
Value
88/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 4.53 is far below sector average of 30.38
  • Price/Book of 0.33 indicates deep discount to book value
  • Graham Number ($83.08) and intrinsic value ($138.38) are significantly above current price
  • Stock trades at a 75% discount to intrinsic value
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • High dividend yield may be unsustainable given financial health concerns
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 38.70% YoY earnings growth is robust and above sector average
  • 8.50% revenue growth is solid for a mature insurance firm
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 32.40% suggests momentum in profitability
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E and PEG are unavailable, limiting forward-looking valuation
  • No analyst target prices or consensus, reducing visibility into future expectations
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of +10.5% and 3-year return of +14.5% show long-term resilience
  • 1-year return of +4.6% outperforms the broader market in recent periods
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6-month return of +1.7% shows stagnation despite strong fundamentals
  • Price has been range-bound between $19.99 and $22.20 for over a year
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.11 is very low, indicating conservative leverage
  • ROE of 19.54% is strong and above sector average
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial quality and stability
  • Current ratio of 0.53 and quick ratio of 0.26 suggest liquidity stress
  • No Altman Z-Score available, which is a critical gap for distress risk assessment
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • 6.43% dividend yield is attractive for income investors
  • High yield may reflect undervaluation and market skepticism
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio is not available, raising sustainability concerns
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 suggests moderate reliability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$21.27

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACGLO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-20
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ACGLO
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Primary
+10.5% +14.5% +4.6% +1.7% +1.2% +1.3%
ALLY
Ally Financial Inc.
Peer
+22.5% +45.9% +5.9% +8.3% -11.2% -5.7%
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
Peer
+17.8% +95.9% +19.2% +4.4% +0.8% -0.6%
AIZ
Assurant, Inc.
Peer
+91.8% +90.7% +14.3% +26.2% -3.5% -0.3%
AEG
Aegon Ltd.
Peer
+139.0% +64.7% +22.4% +6.0% +0.4% +0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
4.53
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.33
P/S Ratio
0.62
EV/Revenue
0.37
EV/EBITDA
1.35
Market Cap
$12.4B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 22.07%
Operating Margin 29.53%
Gross Margin 37.16%
ROE 19.54%
ROA 4.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.5%
Earnings Growth +38.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +32.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.11
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.53
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.26
Poor
Cash/Share
$10.3

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ACGLO against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (6 bullish, 111 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
4.53
This Stock
vs
30.39
Sector Avg
-85.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.54%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-358.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.07%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
-73.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.11
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-92.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.5%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-71.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.53
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-86.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ACGLO
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
NEUTRAL $12.4B 4.53 19.5% 22.1% $21.27
ALLY
Ally Financial Inc.
NEUTRAL $12.68B 17.72 5.8% 11.6% $41.11
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
NEUTRAL $12.9B 11.41 9.5% 9.2% $47.03
AIZ
Assurant, Inc.
NEUTRAL $11.78B 14.47 15.4% 6.8% $233.39
AEG
Aegon Ltd.
BEARISH $11.74B 8.47 15.0% 10.1% $7.71

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACGLO from our newsroom.

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