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ACGLO

NEUTRAL
$20.2 Live
Arch Capital Group Ltd. · NASDAQ
$19.99 52W Range $22.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$11.78B
P/E
4.31
ROE
19.5%
Profit margin
22.1%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Dividend yield
6.75%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
ACGLO's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline stable financial health, falling short of strong resilience. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, though the low Debt/Equity (0.12) and strong profitability margins suggest solid balance sheet fundamentals. The stock trades at a deeply undervalued P/E of 4.31 and Price/Book of 0.31, well below sector averages, with a Graham Number of $83.06 and intrinsic value of $138.38, implying significant upside potential. However, the bearish insider sentiment, lack of analyst coverage, and recent price decline undermine near-term momentum despite strong earnings growth.

Key Strengths

Strong profitability metrics: 22.07% profit margin, 29.53% operating margin, and 19.54% ROE
Extremely low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12, indicating conservative capital structure
Significant undervaluation relative to intrinsic and Graham fair value estimates
High earnings growth of 38.80% YoY and 32.40% Q/Q, signaling strong operational momentum
Low P/E (4.31) and Price/Book (0.31) compared to sector averages, suggesting value opportunity

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, with only moderate stability
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around bankruptcy risk despite low leverage
Bearish insider sentiment with one recent sale and zero buys in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 0/100 reflects strong bearish momentum across all timeframes
Dividend yield of 6.75% is high but unsupported by clear payout ratio or long-term sustainability data
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$138.38
+585.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
63
Strong
Value
85
Future
72
Past
65
Health
52
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and low leverage, Deep undervaluation relative to intrinsic value, Bearish technicals and insider activity, Low Piotroski F-Score limiting health confidence
Confidence
75%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Current price of $20.20 is significantly below Graham Number ($83.06) and Intrinsic Value ($138.38)
  • P/E of 4.31 is far below sector average (30.46)
  • Price/Book of 0.31 reflects deep discount to book value
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • High dividend yield may not be sustainable without payout ratio data
Future
72/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 38.80% YoY earnings growth and 32.40% Q/Q earnings growth indicate strong momentum
  • 8.50% revenue growth aligns with positive top-line expansion
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG ratio to assess growth sustainability
  • Lack of analyst coverage prevents consensus on future outlook
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of +2.5% and 3-year return of +11.6% show long-term resilience
  • Stable 1-year return of +0.7% despite recent 6-month decline
Watchpoints
  • 6-month price drop of -5.5% and 1-month decline of -3.4% suggest weakening momentum
  • Recent 1-week drop of -1.5% confirms short-term bearish trend
Health
52/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 is exceptionally low, indicating strong financial stability
  • Current ratio of 1.08 and quick ratio of 0.50 suggest adequate liquidity, though tight
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only moderate financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available, creating a critical blind spot in distress risk assessment
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 6.75% is attractive for income investors
  • Annual dividend rate of $1.36 is consistent with high yield
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio not available, raising concerns about sustainability
  • High yield may be unsustainable given low earnings multiple and lack of growth visibility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$20.2

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACGLO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ACG
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Primary
5Y
+2.5%
3Y
+11.6%
1Y
+0.7%
6M
-5.5%
1M
-3.4%
1W
-1.5%
AIZ
Assurant, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+91.8%
3Y
+90.7%
1Y
+14.3%
6M
+26.2%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-0.3%
AEG
Aegon Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+139.0%
3Y
+64.7%
1Y
+22.4%
6M
+6.0%
1M
+0.4%
1W
+0.8%
ARC
Ares Capital Corporation
Peer
5Y
+51.1%
3Y
+32.8%
1Y
-6.4%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-7.8%
1W
-2.1%
AFG
American Financial Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+147.1%
3Y
+12.2%
1Y
+0.9%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-6.8%
1W
-2.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
4.31
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.31
P/S Ratio
0.59
EV/Revenue
0.36
EV/EBITDA
1.3
Market Cap
$11.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 22.07%
Operating Margin 29.53%
Gross Margin 37.16%
ROE 19.54%
ROA 4.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.5%
Earnings Growth +38.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +32.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.12
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.08
Good
Quick Ratio
0.5
Poor
Cash/Share
$10.39

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ACGLO against 458 companies in the Financial Services sector (81 bullish, 192 neutral, 185 bearish)
P/E Ratio
4.31
This Stock
vs
47.7
Sector Avg
-91.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.54%
This Stock
vs
-0.05%
Sector Avg
-43324.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.07%
This Stock
vs
52.97%
Sector Avg
-58.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.12
This Stock
vs
1.42
Sector Avg
-91.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.5%
This Stock
vs
38.94%
Sector Avg
-78.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.08
This Stock
vs
3.34
Sector Avg
-67.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

POSNER BRIAN S.
Director
Sell
2026-03-11
3,000 shares · $51,345
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACGLO from our newsroom.

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