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AIZ Assurant, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AIZ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Insurance - Property & Casualty
Current Price Live
$233.39
Analyst Target
$259.33
+11.1% Upside
52W High
$243.76
52W Low
$174.97

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$11.78B
P/E
14.47
ROE
15.4%
Profit margin
6.8%
Debt/Equity
0.38
Dividend yield
1.48%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Assurant (AIZ) shows mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $204.04 at $233.39, suggesting a modest premium, but below the analyst target of $259.33. Strong earnings growth (YoY +102.7%) and consistent earnings beat rates (3 of last 4 quarters) support valuation, yet weak technicals (10/100) and negative insider activity raise caution. Profitability metrics like ROE (15.41%) and low debt/equity (0.38) are positives, but liquidity concerns are evident in a weak current ratio (0.41) and quick ratio (0.15).

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 102.7% supported by consistent quarterly beats (average surprise of 18.41% over last 4 quarters)
Attractive valuation relative to sector with P/E of 14.47 vs. sector average of 21.69
Low leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.38, well below sector average of 2.02
High ROE of 15.41%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
Conservative dividend payout ratio of 19.5%, leaving room for future increases

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health and limited operational strength
Extremely low liquidity ratios: Current Ratio of 0.41 and Quick Ratio of 0.15 indicate potential short-term solvency concerns
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents reliable distress risk assessment, a critical gap for financial firms
Bearish insider sentiment with $4.98M in net insider sales over last 6 months, including CEO sales
Weak technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong near-term bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$250.44
+7.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
65
Strong
Value
70
Future
78
Past
65
Health
52
Dividend
58
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with notable risks in liquidity and insider behavior
Key drivers: High earnings growth and ROE, Low P/E relative to sector, Weak liquidity and Piotroski score, Negative insider activity, Strong historical earnings surprises
Confidence
75%
Value
70/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 14.47 below sector average of 21.69
  • Price/Sales of 0.94 suggests reasonable revenue valuation
  • Trading below analyst target of $259.33
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($233.39) above Graham Number ($204.04), indicating modest overvaluation on defensive criteria
  • Lack of PEG ratio limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 102.7%
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 98.50% indicates sustained momentum
  • Forward P/E of 11.20 suggests earnings growth expectations are priced in
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio to assess growth sustainability
  • Revenue growth (8.90% YoY) lags sector average of 41.17%
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat rate: 3 of last 4 quarters above estimates
  • Average earnings surprise of 18.41% over last 4 quarters
  • 5-year price return of +91.8% outperforms most peers
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-month price decline of -3.5% breaks uptrend
  • Mixed long-term earnings progression with volatility in earlier quarters
Health
52/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.38 indicates conservative capital structure
  • ROE of 15.41% shows strong return on equity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health
  • Current Ratio (0.41) and Quick Ratio (0.15) suggest liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score provided, creating a critical blind spot
Dividend
58/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 19.5% ensures sustainability
  • Dividend Strength score of 25/100 is low but not alarming given payout discipline
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 1.48% is below average for financial services sector
  • No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$233.39
Analyst Target
$259.33
Upside/Downside
+11.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AIZ and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AIZ
Assurant, Inc.
Primary
+91.8% +90.7% +14.3% +26.2% -3.5% -0.3%
AEG
Aegon Ltd.
Peer
+139.0% +64.7% +22.4% +6.0% +0.4% +0.8%
ACGLO
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Peer
+8.8% +6.8% +2.3% +3.0% +0.9% +0.6%
ALLY
Ally Financial Inc.
Peer
+22.5% +45.9% +5.9% +8.3% -11.2% -5.7%
AFG
American Financial Group, Inc.
Peer
+147.1% +12.2% +0.9% +4.0% -6.8% -2.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.47
Forward P/E
11.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.03
P/S Ratio
0.94
EV/Revenue
0.94
EV/EBITDA
8.39
Market Cap
$11.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.75%
Operating Margin 11.15%
Gross Margin 11.49%
ROE 15.41%
ROA 2.05%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.9%
Earnings Growth +102.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +98.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.38
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.41
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.15
Poor
Cash/Share
$41.1

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-11-04
$5.17
+18.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$5.1
+14.5% surprise
2025-05-06
$3.39
+22.1% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing AIZ against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.47
This Stock
vs
30.38
Sector Avg
-52.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.41%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-303.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.75%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
-91.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.38
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-74.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.9%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-70.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.41
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-89.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AIZ
Assurant, Inc.
NEUTRAL $11.78B 14.47 15.4% 6.8% $233.39
AEG
Aegon Ltd.
BEARISH $11.74B 8.47 15.0% 10.1% $7.71
ACGLO
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
NEUTRAL $12.24B 4.48 19.5% 22.1% $21.0
ALLY
Ally Financial Inc.
NEUTRAL $12.68B 17.72 5.8% 11.6% $41.11
AFG
American Financial Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL $10.66B 13.48 16.9% 10.0% $127.79

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-10-03 DEMMINGS KEITH Chief Executive Officer Sale 13,725 $3,026,652
2025-10-01 CAMPBELL MICHAEL P Chief Operating Officer Stock Award 862 -
2025-08-29 DEMMINGS KEITH Chief Executive Officer Sale 4,275 $941,671
2025-08-12 ROSENBLUM JAY E. Officer Sale 3,900 $813,256
2025-08-08 DIRIENZO DIMITRY Officer Sale 950 $194,707
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Piper Sandler
2025-12-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-11-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-17
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-11-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-10-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-10-08
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-07
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-18
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-08-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
BMO Capital
2025-08-12
init
Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AIZ from our newsroom.

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