ADAM
BEARISH
$7.87
Live
Adamas Trust, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $11.42
(+45.1%)
$5.01
52W Range
$8.76
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$712.03M
P/E
7.15
ROE
9.7%
Profit margin
47.3%
Debt/Equity
7.7
Dividend yield
10.93%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ADAM's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, falling into the 'Weak' category, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified distress risk. Despite a high Graham Number of $15.59 and a current price of $7.87, the stock trades at a significant discount, but this is likely due to extreme financial instability. The company exhibits a 18,963.6% YoY revenue surge, yet earnings remain volatile and negative in multiple quarters, with a recent -36.1% Q/Q EPS decline. The 78.18% payout ratio on a highly erratic earnings base raises serious dividend sustainability concerns, undermining the 10.93% yield as a defensive feature.
Key Strengths
High gross and operating margins (74.56% and 48.38%) suggest strong operational efficiency
Significant 18,963.6% YoY revenue growth indicates explosive top-line expansion
Current price ($7.87) is below the Graham Number ($15.59), suggesting potential undervaluation on a defensive basis
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a target price of $11.42, implying upside potential
Strong historical earnings surprises (e.g., +1284.6% in 2024-10-30) indicate potential for future beat potential
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and poor operational stability
Debt/Equity ratio of 7.70 is extremely high, indicating severe leverage and financial risk
Negative and volatile earnings history with multiple quarters of massive losses (e.g., -766.7% surprise in 2025-02-19)
Dividend payout ratio of 78.18% is unsustainable given erratic earnings and negative EPS in prior periods
No available cash flow or debt figures, making financial health assessment incomplete and speculative
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.2
+16.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
43
Moderate
65
58
31
28
35
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: High revenue growth but extreme earnings volatility, Poor Piotroski F-Score and unassessed Altman Z-Score, Unsustainable dividend payout on erratic earnings, Extremely high leverage (Debt/Equity: 7.70), Lack of cash flow and debt transparency
Confidence
88%
Value
65/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price ($7.87) is below Graham Number ($15.59)
- P/E of 7.15 is low relative to sector average (48.42)
- Price/Book of 0.80 suggests trading below book value
Watchpoints
- Growth is not sustainable due to earnings instability
- PEG ratio unavailable due to unreliable earnings growth
- High growth may be one-time or non-recurring
Future
58/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 18,963.6% YoY revenue growth indicates massive top-line expansion
- Recent positive earnings surprises (e.g., +106.2% in 2025-04-30)
- Analyst target price of $11.42 implies strong upside
Watchpoints
- Q/Q EPS growth is -36.1%, indicating deterioration
- Earnings growth (YoY) is not reliable due to prior losses
- No forward guidance or consistent earnings trajectory
Past
31/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings surprises have been large and positive (e.g., +1284.6%)
- Some quarters show strong performance (e.g., $0.36 vs $0.26 estimate)
Watchpoints
- Multiple quarters with massive negative earnings (e.g., -$6.54 in 2020-05-21)
- 2025-02-19: -766.7% surprise on $0.07 estimate
- 2023-11-01: -$1.04 vs $0.14 estimate
Health
28/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- High current and quick ratios (32.54 and 31.05) suggest strong liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 7.70 is dangerously high
- No Altman Z-Score available, but risk of distress is elevated
- No available cash flow or debt data limits assessment
Dividend
35/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- 10.93% dividend yield is attractive for income investors
- Dividend rate of $0.86 is stable in nominal terms
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 78.18% is high and unsustainable on volatile earnings
- Dividend paid during periods of negative EPS (e.g., 2023-02-22: -$0.52)
- No history of consistent dividend growth
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$7.87
Analyst Target
$11.42
Upside/Downside
+45.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADAM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADAM
Adamas Trust, Inc.
Primary
|
-22.7% | +23.8% | +35.5% | +17.6% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
|
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
Peer
|
-16.1% | -29.6% | -24.2% | +1.9% | +7.0% | -2.4% |
|
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.4% | +16.8% | +19.3% | +27.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
|
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial Corporation
Peer
|
-9.6% | +27.6% | -2.5% | +12.2% | -1.0% | +3.7% |
|
AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Company
Peer
|
+84.8% | +15.4% | -7.9% | -5.0% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
ADA
Adamas Trust, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-22.7%
3Y
+23.8%
1Y
+35.5%
6M
+17.6%
1M
-1.4%
1W
-1.5%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-16.1%
3Y
-29.6%
1Y
-24.2%
6M
+1.9%
1M
+7.0%
1W
-2.4%
BRS
BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+19.4%
3Y
+16.8%
1Y
+19.3%
6M
+27.5%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-0.8%
GOO
Gladstone Commercial Corporation
Peer
5Y
-9.6%
3Y
+27.6%
1Y
-2.5%
6M
+12.2%
1M
-1.0%
1W
+3.7%
AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Company
Peer
5Y
+84.8%
3Y
+15.4%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
-5.0%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-0.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
7.15
Forward P/E
7.08
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.8
P/S Ratio
2.26
EV/Revenue
38.26
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$712.03M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
47.31%
Operating Margin
48.38%
Gross Margin
74.56%
ROE
9.69%
ROA
1.26%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+18963.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
7.7
High debt
Current Ratio
32.54
Strong
Quick Ratio
31.05
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.33
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.23
-6.3% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.36
+40.5% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.22
+4.9% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing ADAM against 78 companies in the Real Estate sector
(2 bullish, 13 neutral, 63 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.15
This Stock
vs
46.53
Sector Avg
-84.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.69%
This Stock
vs
-57.48%
Sector Avg
-116.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
47.31%
This Stock
vs
16.87%
Sector Avg
+180.5%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
7.7
This Stock
vs
2.73
Sector Avg
+182.2%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
18963.6%
This Stock
vs
34737.49%
Sector Avg
-45.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
32.54
This Stock
vs
6.84
Sector Avg
+375.5%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADAM
Adamas Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $712.03M | 7.15 | 9.7% | 47.3% | $7.87 | |
|
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $714.25M | 31.32 | 3.6% | 5.9% | $6.89 | Compare |
|
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $768.26M | - | -4.3% | -11.0% | $5.91 | Compare |
|
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial Corporation
|
BEARISH | $592.35M | 86.64 | 5.6% | 12.0% | $12.13 | Compare |
|
AIV
Apartment Investment and...
|
BEARISH | $848.6M | - | -30.6% | 115.5% | $5.89 | Compare |
ADAM
Adamas Trust, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$712M
P/E
7.2
ROE
9.7%
Price
$7.87
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | NARIO-ENG KRISTINE RIMANDO | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 46,197 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | SERRANO JASON T. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 159,948 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | MAH NICHOLAS | President | Stock Award | 105,484 | - |
NARIO-ENG KRISTINE RIMANDO
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-31
46,197 shares
SERRANO JASON T.
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-31
159,948 shares
MAH NICHOLAS
President
2025-12-31
105,484 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-02-20
Market Perform
Market Perform
Jones Trading
2026-02-20
Buy
Buy
Jones Trading
2025-10-30
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ADAM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.