AHH Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AHH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
REIT - Diversified
Current Price
Live
$6.89
Analyst Target
$8.1
+17.6%
Upside
52W High
$10.26
52W Low
$6.01
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$714.25M
P/E
31.32
ROE
3.6%
Profit margin
5.9%
Debt/Equity
1.91
Dividend yield
8.06%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores paint a concerning picture, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm solvency. Despite a high dividend yield of 8.06%, the payout ratio of 284.09% is unsustainable, raising serious concerns about dividend safety. Revenue has collapsed by 48.80% year-over-year, and earnings surprises have been wildly negative recently, including a -180% miss in the most recent quarter. While the stock trades below the analyst target price of $8.10, weak fundamentals, deteriorating profitability, and insider selling suggest significant downside risk.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 8.06% may attract income-seeking investors
Price/Sales ratio of 1.58 is below sector average of 2.92 (implied from EV/Revenue context)
Operating margin of 24.61% remains relatively strong despite revenue decline
Analyst recommendation consensus is 'buy' based on 5 analysts
Recent short-term price momentum: +7.0% over the last month
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of distress
Extremely high payout ratio of 284.09% threatens dividend sustainability
Revenue growth YoY of -48.80% shows severe business contraction
Insider selling activity: $0.35M in sales with no buys in the last 6 months
Earnings volatility is extreme, with an average surprise of -184.17% over the last four quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.37
-22.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
31
Weak
45
20
30
35
25
AI Verdict
High risk, low quality, and deteriorating fundamentals with unsustainable yield
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative revenue growth, Unsustainable dividend payout, Extreme earnings volatility, Insider selling
Confidence
80%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price ($6.89) near Graham Number ($5.37)
- P/E of 31.32 below sector average of 39.68
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio due to negative or unreliable growth
- Price/Book of 1.18 offers limited margin of safety
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 25.52 suggests some earnings recovery expected
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY: -48.80%
- No Q/Q growth data available, indicating reporting gaps
- PEG Ratio: N/A due to unstable earnings
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical ROE of 3.56% shows minimal capital efficiency
- Some past quarters beat estimates (e.g., +550% in 2025-02-19)
Watchpoints
- Frequent and large negative earnings surprises (e.g., -505% in 2024-02-22)
- 5-year price return of -16.1%, underperforming market
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.12 indicates minimal short-term liquidity
- Operating margin of 24.61% supports cash generation
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 — below stable threshold
- Debt/Equity ratio of 1.91 is high for a REIT
- Quick ratio of 0.55 indicates poor liquid asset coverage
Dividend
25/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 8.06% is high relative to market
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 284.09% is unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 reflects high risk
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$6.89
Analyst Target
$8.1
Upside/Downside
+17.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AHH and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
Primary
|
-16.1% | -29.6% | -24.2% | +1.9% | +7.0% | -2.4% |
|
ADAM
Adamas Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
-9.7% | +3.6% | +43.4% | +21.4% | -3.7% | -0.2% |
|
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.4% | +16.8% | +19.3% | +27.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
|
AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Company
Peer
|
+84.8% | +15.4% | -7.9% | -5.0% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
|
BDN
Brandywine Realty Trust
Peer
|
-55.0% | -28.6% | -35.9% | -22.3% | +8.5% | -2.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
31.32
Forward P/E
25.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.18
P/S Ratio
1.58
EV/Revenue
5.47
EV/EBITDA
14.97
Market Cap
$714.25M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
5.89%
Operating Margin
24.61%
Gross Margin
42.64%
ROE
3.56%
ROA
1.88%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-48.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.91
High debt
Current Ratio
1.12
Good
Quick Ratio
0.55
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.76
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-16
$N/A
2025-11-03
$-0.04
-180.0% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.05
+20.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.06
-392.5% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing AHH against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector
(1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.32
This Stock
vs
49.55
Sector Avg
-36.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.56%
This Stock
vs
-75.18%
Sector Avg
-104.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.89%
This Stock
vs
26.43%
Sector Avg
-77.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.91
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-41.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-48.8%
This Stock
vs
1431.44%
Sector Avg
-103.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.12
This Stock
vs
3449.18
Sector Avg
-100.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $714.25M | 31.32 | 3.6% | 5.9% | $6.89 | |
|
ADAM
Adamas Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $735.15M | 42.84 | 9.7% | 46.1% | $8.14 | |
|
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $768.26M | - | -4.3% | -11.0% | $5.91 | |
|
AIV
Apartment Investment and...
|
BEARISH | $848.6M | - | -30.6% | 115.5% | $5.89 | |
|
BDN
Brandywine Realty Trust
|
BEARISH | $526.31M | - | -19.1% | -46.1% | $3.03 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | WIMBUSH FREDERICK BLAIR | Director | Stock Award | 2,013 | $13,745 |
| 2025-12-15 | GARTMAN DENNIS H | Director | Stock Award | 2,013 | $13,745 |
| 2025-12-15 | CARROLL JAMES A | Director | Stock Award | 755 | $5,155 |
| 2025-09-15 | WIMBUSH FREDERICK BLAIR | Director | Stock Award | 1,877 | $13,743 |
| 2025-09-15 | GARTMAN DENNIS H | Director | Stock Award | 1,877 | $13,743 |
| 2025-09-15 | CARROLL JAMES A | Director | Stock Award | 704 | $5,155 |
| 2025-08-15 | APPERSON ERIC E | Officer | Sale | 48,837 | $347,902 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-01-14
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Scotiabank
2025-11-13
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
B of A Securities
2025-08-25
Underperform
Underperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AHH from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.