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FTAI

NEUTRAL
$255.18 Live
FTAI Aviation Ltd. · NASDAQ
Target $338.9 (+32.8%)
$85.23 52W Range $323.51

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$26.17B
P/E
55.47
ROE
241.2%
Profit margin
20.0%
Debt/Equity
10.46
Dividend yield
0.52%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
FTAI exhibits a stark dichotomy between explosive growth and precarious financial health, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. While the company delivers impressive revenue growth (32.7%) and massive historical returns, it is burdened by extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.46. The current price of $255.18 trades at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($18.36) and Intrinsic Value ($135.7), suggesting the market is pricing in aggressive future expansion. Despite a 'strong_buy' analyst consensus, the combination of poor deterministic health scores and astronomical valuation metrics warrants a neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Strong top-line growth with 32.7% YoY revenue increase
Robust earnings growth (29.8% YoY) and consistent recent beats
Exceptional historical price performance (+1173.6% over 5 years)
High operational efficiency with a 28.51% operating margin
Strong analyst backing with a target price of $338.90

Key Risks

Critical financial health risk indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.46
Severe overvaluation relative to book value (P/B of 78.35)
Significant gap between current price and defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Bearish insider sentiment with recent selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.5
-35.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
15
Future
85
Past
90
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
High-Growth Speculative
Key drivers: Aggressive revenue expansion, Extreme balance sheet leverage, Market-driven valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E 55.47, Graham Number $18.36

Positives
  • Forward P/E (23.01) is significantly lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 78.35 is unsustainable
  • Price is ~14x the Graham Number
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • 32.7% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Strong analyst target price upside
Watchpoints
  • Dependence on continued high-growth trajectory to justify valuation
Past
90/100

Ref 5Y Change +1173.6%

Positives
  • Massive 5Y and 3Y price appreciation
  • Consistent transition from losses to profitability
Watchpoints
  • Historical volatility in early earnings quarters
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Strong Current Ratio (5.28)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
  • Debt/Equity 10.46 (Extreme)
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield 0.52%

Positives
  • Manageable payout ratio (27.17%)
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.52%)
  • Low dividend strength score (25/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$255.18
Analyst Target
$338.9
Upside/Downside
+32.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FTAI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
FTA
FTAI Aviation Ltd.
Primary
5Y
+1173.6%
3Y
+881.5%
1Y
+136.2%
6M
+51.2%
1M
-5.8%
1W
+5.2%
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
Peer
5Y
+256.7%
3Y
+131.1%
1Y
+53.2%
6M
+29.5%
1M
-0.2%
1W
+1.5%
VRS
Verisk Analytics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+4.5%
3Y
-2.3%
1Y
-38.1%
6M
-26.1%
1M
-14.3%
1W
-0.8%
ODF
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+31.3%
3Y
-15.5%
1Y
-40.4%
6M
-22.5%
1M
-2.0%
1W
-5.4%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+63.5%
3Y
+118.1%
1Y
+38.6%
6M
+1.5%
1M
-8.4%
1W
+1.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
55.47
Forward P/E
23.01
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
78.35
P/S Ratio
10.44
EV/Revenue
11.71
EV/EBITDA
29.3
Market Cap
$26.17B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 19.98%
Operating Margin 28.51%
Gross Margin 40.09%
ROE 241.16%
ROA 11.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +32.7%
Earnings Growth +29.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +32.72%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +12.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
10.46
High debt
Current Ratio
5.28
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.41
Good
Cash/Share
$2.93

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
35.9%
Op. Margin
28.5%
Net Margin
17.5%
Total Assets
$4.4B
Liabilities
$4.0B
Equity
$0.3B
Debt/Equity
12.09x
Operating CF
$-0.2B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.4B
FCF Yield
200%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.24
+4.7% surprise
2025-10-27
$1.16
-3.4% surprise
2025-07-29
$1.65
+30.8% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing FTAI against 180 companies in the Industrials sector (15 bullish, 78 neutral, 87 bearish)
P/E Ratio
55.47
This Stock
vs
89.16
Sector Avg
-37.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
241.16%
This Stock
vs
0.44%
Sector Avg
+54267.6% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
19.98%
This Stock
vs
32.32%
Sector Avg
-38.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
10.46
This Stock
vs
4.3
Sector Avg
+143.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
32.7%
This Stock
vs
32.15%
Sector Avg
+1.7% (Growing)
Current Ratio
5.28
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
+66.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GOODWIN PAUL R.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
128 shares
TUCHMAN MARTIN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
88 shares
GIDUMAL SHYAM H
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
93 shares
HANNAWAY JUDITH A
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
67 shares
ROBINSON RAY M
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
122 shares
MCALEESE NICHOLAS
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
5,083 shares
HAZAN MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
4,236 shares
LEVISON A ANDREW
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
88 shares
GOODWIN PAUL R.
Director
Sell
2026-02-27
10,000 shares · $3,033,500
ADAMS JOSEPH P. JR.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
16,351 shares
NAM EUN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,635 shares
KUPERUS STACY
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
3,270 shares
YOON BOHEE
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,145 shares
MORENO DAVID
President
Stock Award
2026-02-27
6,540 shares
TUCHMAN MARTIN
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
117 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FTAI from our newsroom.

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