MARA
BEARISH
$10.36
Live
MARA Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $16.48
(+59.0%)
$6.66
52W Range
$23.45
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$3.94B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-34.5%
Profit margin
-144.6%
Debt/Equity
1.05
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
90%
MARA exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and an operating margin of -598.83%. Despite a 'Buy' recommendation from analysts, the company is suffering from negative revenue growth (-5.60%) and catastrophic earnings declines. The combination of bearish insider selling by the CEO and CFO, coupled with a 0/100 technical trend, suggests a lack of confidence in the current operational trajectory. The stock is essentially a speculative bet on Bitcoin price action rather than a fundamentally sound business.
Key Strengths
Price-to-Book ratio is relatively low at 1.13
Positive gross margin of 48.04% indicates core mining activity is still viable
Current ratio of 1.27 suggests adequate short-term liquidity
Significant analyst target upside ($16.48 vs $10.36)
Large market capitalization provides scale within the mining sector
Key Risks
Extreme operational inefficiency with an operating margin of -598.83%
Severe financial health deterioration (Piotroski F-Score 1/9)
Negative YoY revenue growth and massive EPS contraction (-455.9%)
Aggressive insider selling by top executives (CEO and CFO)
High volatility and total dependence on the price of Bitcoin
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.5
-18.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
17
Weak
40
15
20
10
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Critical Piotroski Score, Negative Profitability, Bearish Insider Sentiment, Negative Revenue Growth
Confidence
95%
Value
40/100
Graham Number is N/A due to lack of positive earnings.
Positives
- P/B ratio near 1.0
Watchpoints
- No P/E due to losses
- P/S ratio of 4.34 is high for a company with declining revenue
Future
15/100
Revenue Growth (YoY): -5.60%
Positives
- Analyst price targets suggest recovery
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY revenue growth
- Negative Q/Q revenue growth
- Severe EPS decline
Past
20/100
Long-term price destruction trend.
Positives
- Occasional high-magnitude earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- 5-Year change of -75.9%
- 6-Month change of -48.8%
Health
10/100
Piotroski F-Score indicates extreme weakness.
Positives
- Current ratio above 1.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 1/9
- Negative ROE (-34.46%)
- Negative ROA (-9.00%)
Dividend
0/100
Dividend Strength: 0/100
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend history
- No payout capacity
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$10.36
Analyst Target
$16.48
Upside/Downside
+59.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MARA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-75.9% | -13.4% | -20.0% | -48.8% | +11.2% | +17.1% |
|
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Peer
|
+143.2% | +41.2% | -8.7% | -1.1% | -8.4% | -2.1% |
|
INDB
Independent Bank Corp.
Peer
|
+12.6% | +41.6% | +51.6% | +23.6% | +6.6% | +3.7% |
|
FULT
Fulton Financial Corporation
Peer
|
+54.3% | +82.3% | +39.4% | +21.3% | +10.1% | +6.3% |
|
BHF
Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
Peer
|
+62.1% | +18.8% | +26.1% | +27.7% | -1.0% | +0.1% |
MAR
MARA Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-75.9%
3Y
-13.4%
1Y
-20.0%
6M
-48.8%
1M
+11.2%
1W
+17.1%
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+143.2%
3Y
+41.2%
1Y
-8.7%
6M
-1.1%
1M
-8.4%
1W
-2.1%
IND
Independent Bank Corp.
Peer
5Y
+12.6%
3Y
+41.6%
1Y
+51.6%
6M
+23.6%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+3.7%
FUL
Fulton Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+54.3%
3Y
+82.3%
1Y
+39.4%
6M
+21.3%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+6.3%
BHF
Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.1%
3Y
+18.8%
1Y
+26.1%
6M
+27.7%
1M
-1.0%
1W
+0.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-8.53
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.13
P/S Ratio
4.34
EV/Revenue
7.76
EV/EBITDA
-20.01
Market Cap
$3.94B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-144.58%
Operating Margin
-598.83%
Gross Margin
48.05%
ROE
-34.46%
ROA
-9.0%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-5.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-5.63%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.05
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.27
Good
Quick Ratio
1.08
Good
Cash/Share
$1.44
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
74.9%
Op. Margin
-164.0%
Net Margin
-844.9%
Total Assets
$7.3B
Liabilities
$3.8B
Equity
$3.5B
Debt/Equity
1.10x
Operating CF
$-0.2B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.4B
FCF Yield
173%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$-4.52
-287.6% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.37
+6.0% surprise
2025-07-29
$1.94
+806.3% surprise
Financial Services Sector Comparison
Comparing MARA against 404 companies in the Financial Services sector
(68 bullish, 175 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-34.46%
This Stock
vs
-0.06%
Sector Avg
+56118.2%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-144.58%
This Stock
vs
60.11%
Sector Avg
-340.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.05
This Stock
vs
1.3
Sector Avg
-19.4%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
-5.6%
This Stock
vs
42.19%
Sector Avg
-113.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.27
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-61.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.94B | - | -34.5% | -144.6% | $10.36 | |
|
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.96B | 10.36 | 7.4% | 44.1% | $83.26 | Compare |
|
INDB
Independent Bank Corp.
|
BULLISH | $3.9B | 17.93 | 6.3% | 25.9% | $79.62 | Compare |
|
FULT
Fulton Financial Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $4.2B | 10.49 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $21.82 | Compare |
|
BHF
Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.67B | 4.52 | 16.2% | 12.3% | $64.11 | Compare |
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$3.9B
P/E
-
ROE
-34.5%
Price
$10.36
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | THIEL FREDERICK G | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 27,505 | $252,496 |
| 2026-03-17 | KHAN SALMAN HASSAN | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 16,000 | $146,880 |
| 2026-02-20 | THIEL FREDERICK G | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 752,093 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | KHAN SALMAN HASSAN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 494,798 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | NOWAID ZABI | General Counsel | Stock Award | 197,919 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | THIEL FREDERICK G | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 773,861 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | KHAN SALMAN HASSAN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 509,119 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | NOWAID ZABI | General Counsel | Stock Award | 203,648 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | THIEL FREDERICK G | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 27,505 | $210,688 |
| 2026-02-17 | KHAN SALMAN HASSAN | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 16,000 | $122,560 |
| 2026-02-13 | MELLINGER DOUGLAS K | Director | Stock Award | 82,759 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | ANTOUN GEORGES J | Director | Stock Award | 82,759 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | HUMPTON BARBARA | Director | Stock Award | 82,759 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | LEUPP JAY P | Director | Stock Award | 82,759 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | GEORGE JANET | Director | Stock Award | 82,759 | - |
THIEL FREDERICK G
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-17
27,505 shares
·
$252,496
KHAN SALMAN HASSAN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-17
16,000 shares
·
$146,880
THIEL FREDERICK G
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-20
752,093 shares
KHAN SALMAN HASSAN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-20
494,798 shares
NOWAID ZABI
General Counsel
2026-02-20
197,919 shares
THIEL FREDERICK G
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-18
773,861 shares
KHAN SALMAN HASSAN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-18
509,119 shares
NOWAID ZABI
General Counsel
2026-02-18
203,648 shares
THIEL FREDERICK G
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-17
27,505 shares
·
$210,688
KHAN SALMAN HASSAN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-17
16,000 shares
·
$122,560
MELLINGER DOUGLAS K
Director
2026-02-13
82,759 shares
ANTOUN GEORGES J
Director
2026-02-13
82,759 shares
HUMPTON BARBARA
Director
2026-02-13
82,759 shares
LEUPP JAY P
Director
2026-02-13
82,759 shares
GEORGE JANET
Director
2026-02-13
82,759 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-04-09
Overweight
Overweight
Macquarie
2026-03-04
Outperform
Outperform
Clear Street
2026-03-04
Hold
Hold
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-02-27
Buy
Neutral
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-27
Overweight
Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-01-14
Overweight
Overweight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-11-05
Overweight
Overweight
Rosenblatt
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
Macquarie
2025-10-22
Outperform
Outperform
Guggenheim
2025-10-21
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MARA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.