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THRM

NEUTRAL
$29.58 Live
Gentherm Incorporated · NASDAQ
Target $41.0 (+38.6%)
$24.05 52W Range $39.48

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$906.6M
P/E
50.14
ROE
2.7%
Profit margin
1.2%
Debt/Equity
0.34
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
THRM presents a contradictory profile: a stable balance sheet paired with deteriorating earnings performance. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre financial health, while the current price of $29.58 trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($17.7) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($4.13). While the Forward P/E of 9.58 suggests a massive expected earnings recovery, the current YoY earnings crash of -81.20% and a bearish technical trend create significant near-term risk. The investment thesis relies entirely on a turnaround in profitability that has not yet materialized in the data.

Key Strengths

Strong balance sheet with low Debt/Equity ratio (0.34)
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.92
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.60) suggesting undervalued revenue stream
Attractive Forward P/E (9.58) if earnings projections are met
Positive revenue growth (8.50% YoY) despite earnings volatility

Key Risks

Severe earnings collapse (-81.20% YoY growth)
Extremely thin net profit margins (1.22%)
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Poor recent earnings track record (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
Long-term value destruction with a 5-year price change of -61.7%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.25
-38.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
32
Weak
Value
30
Future
45
Past
20
Health
65
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Recovery Play
Key drivers: Low debt levels, Earnings volatility, Valuation gap, Forward P/E discrepancy
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • P/B ratio is reasonable at 1.25
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E (50.14) is excessive
  • Price is 66% above Graham Number
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong analyst target price ($41.00)
  • Low Forward P/E suggests expected growth
Watchpoints
  • Current earnings growth is deeply negative
  • Negative average earnings surprise (-32.31%)
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent 1Y recovery (+21%)
Watchpoints
  • Devastating 5Y performance (-61.7%)
  • Inconsistent quarterly EPS delivery
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.34)
  • Strong Current/Quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9
  • Very low ROE (2.73%)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$29.58
Analyst Target
$41.0
Upside/Downside
+38.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for THRM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
THR
Gentherm Incorporated
Primary
5Y
-61.7%
3Y
-48.2%
1Y
+21.0%
6M
-14.8%
1M
+7.5%
1W
+0.5%
LGI
LGI Homes, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-75.3%
3Y
-64.8%
1Y
-29.9%
6M
-11.2%
1M
-3.8%
1W
+4.2%
NEG
Newegg Commerce, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.9%
3Y
+87.5%
1Y
+954.6%
6M
-11.2%
1M
+17.6%
1W
+24.2%
HDL
Super Hi International Holding Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-33.6%
3Y
-33.6%
1Y
-27.3%
6M
-17.2%
1M
-10.1%
1W
+3.9%
ACE
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+13.1%
3Y
+27.0%
1Y
-0.2%
6M
-11.4%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-2.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
50.14
Forward P/E
9.58
PEG Ratio
1.02
P/B Ratio
1.25
P/S Ratio
0.6
EV/Revenue
0.66
EV/EBITDA
6.29
Market Cap
$906.6M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.22%
Operating Margin 6.86%
Gross Margin 24.17%
ROE 2.73%
ROA 4.92%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.5%
Earnings Growth -81.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.46%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -80.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.34
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.92
Good
Quick Ratio
1.21
Good
Cash/Share
$5.27

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
23.7%
Op. Margin
5.1%
Net Margin
0.8%
Total Assets
$1.4B
Liabilities
$0.7B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
0.94x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
22%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.49
-12.6% surprise
2025-10-23
$0.73
+12.0% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.02
-96.3% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing THRM against 291 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (17 bullish, 96 neutral, 178 bearish)
P/E Ratio
50.14
This Stock
vs
33.44
Sector Avg
+49.9% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.73%
This Stock
vs
-36.6%
Sector Avg
-107.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.22%
This Stock
vs
-5.76%
Sector Avg
-121.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.34
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
-74.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.5%
This Stock
vs
14.09%
Sector Avg
-39.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.92
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-21.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

RUNYON BARBARA J.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
2,121 shares
KAUFFMAN WAYNE S III
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-23
2,121 shares
STOCKER THOMAS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
2,474 shares
BARKAS RAFAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
2,121 shares
WILSON JAYMI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
2,474 shares
NICHOLAS BREISACHER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
353 shares
WANG CHENGLONG
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
266 shares
RUNYON BARBARA J.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
7,665 shares
KAUFFMAN WAYNE S III
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-17
7,665 shares
STOCKER THOMAS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
8,940 shares
BARKAS RAFAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
7,665 shares
DOUYARD JONATHAN C
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
14,049 shares
PRESLEY WILLIAM T
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
40,230 shares
WILSON JAYMI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
8,940 shares
NICHOLAS BREISACHER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-17
1,599 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-01

THRM filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on April 1, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-25

THRM filed an 8-K on March 25, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-17

THRM filed a current report on March 17, 2026, likely announcing its financial results for the preceding fiscal period.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

THRM filed an 8-K on February 27, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

THRM filed its annual 10-K report on February 19, 2026. The provided excerpts contain boilerplate language regarding forward-looking statements and references to risk factors, but no specific financial highlights or detailed risks were included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

THRM filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

THRM filed an 8-K on January 29, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

THRM filed an 8-K on January 29, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-23

THRM filed an 8-K on October 23, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-23

THRM filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 23, 2025. The provided excerpt identifies the presence of risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not included in the available text.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-24
8-K
8-K
2025-07-24
8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-24
8-K
8-K
2025-04-24
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Stifel
2026-04-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
Roth Capital
2026-03-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Freedom Broker
2026-02-25
down
Buy Hold
Stifel
2026-02-24
init
Buy
Baird
2026-02-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Freedom Broker
2026-02-19
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning THRM from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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