AG First Majestic Silver Corp. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Basic Materials
Silver
Current Price
Live
$25.44
Analyst Target
$18.5
-27.3%
Downside
52W High
$25.47
52W Low
$5.09
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.47B
P/E
169.6
ROE
4.2%
Profit margin
7.1%
Debt/Equity
0.08
Dividend yield
0.08%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, raising concerns about financial distress risk. Despite strong recent price performance and robust revenue growth (95.10% YoY), the stock appears significantly overvalued with a P/E of 169.60 versus sector average of 26.34 and a Graham Number of just $4.23, far below the current price of $25.44. Earnings quality is poor, with a track record of missing estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and an average surprise of -24.17%. While balance sheet metrics like low debt/equity (0.08) and strong liquidity (current ratio 3.38) are positives, weak ROE (4.21%) and inconsistent profitability undermine long-term value creation.
Key Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth of 95.10% YoY, significantly outpacing sector average of 16.88%
Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 3.38 and quick ratio of 2.89
Very low leverage with debt/equity ratio of 0.08, well below sector average of 0.71
Recent earnings growth acceleration: YoY EPS growth of +333.3% and Q/Q EPS growth of +75.0%
Significant positive price momentum: +354.4% over the past year
Key Risks
Severely overvalued based on P/E ratio of 169.60 vs. sector average of 26.34 and Graham Number of $4.23
Poor earnings quality and consistency: missed estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters with average negative surprise of -24.17%
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests fragile financial health despite strong liquidity
Extremely low ROE of 4.21% and ROA of 3.34%, indicating inefficient capital utilization
Analyst coverage is extremely thin with only 2 analysts, increasing risk of mispricing and low visibility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.5
-74.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
44
Moderate
22
67
54
45
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued with fragile fundamentals and speculative price action
Key drivers: High P/E ratio and low Piotroski score, Strong revenue growth and price momentum, Poor earnings quality and low profitability metrics
Confidence
82%
Value
22/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Graham Number provides conservative floor estimate
Watchpoints
- P/E of 169.60 is extremely high
- Price/Sales of 12.92 is elevated
- Current price 500% above Graham Number
Future
67/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 95.10% YoY
- Recent EPS growth acceleration (YoY +333.3%)
- Positive technical trend momentum
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 35.71 still high
- No PEG ratio due to earnings volatility
Past
54/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 1Y price return of +354.4%
- History of occasional large positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Frequent earnings misses
- High volatility in quarterly results
- Negative average earnings surprise over recent quarters
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low debt/equity of 0.08
- Strong current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, increasing uncertainty
- ROE of 4.21% is low
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Low payout ratio of 14.14% provides coverage
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield of only 0.08%
- Dividend strength score of 25/100
- No 5-year average yield data
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$25.44
Analyst Target
$18.5
Upside/Downside
-27.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AG
First Majestic Silver Corp.
Primary
|
+84.7% | +218.8% | +354.4% | +196.8% | +47.8% | +18.3% |
|
BVN
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Peer
|
+275.8% | +350.4% | +194.5% | +113.6% | +25.7% | +7.0% |
|
AA
Alcoa Corporation
Peer
|
+236.8% | +22.0% | +68.7% | +103.0% | +16.0% | +3.6% |
|
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
Peer
|
+21.2% | +22.1% | -8.8% | +13.8% | +4.1% | +0.1% |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Peer
|
+33.5% | +46.4% | +36.5% | +37.0% | +5.6% | -2.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
169.6
Forward P/E
35.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.8
P/S Ratio
12.92
EV/Revenue
13.02
EV/EBITDA
33.03
Market Cap
$12.47B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
7.07%
Operating Margin
26.97%
Gross Margin
48.26%
ROE
4.21%
ROA
3.34%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+95.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.08
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.38
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.89
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.17
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.07
-12.5% surprise
2025-08-14
$0.04
-20.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.05
-40.0% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing AG against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 20 neutral, 20 bearish)
P/E Ratio
169.6
This Stock
vs
30.44
Sector Avg
+457.2%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.21%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-1850.4%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.07%
This Stock
vs
-2.71%
Sector Avg
-361.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.08
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
-87.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
95.1%
This Stock
vs
14.52%
Sector Avg
+554.8%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
3.38
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
+47.3%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AG
First Majestic Silver Corp.
|
BEARISH | $12.47B | 169.6 | 4.2% | 7.1% | $25.44 | |
|
BVN
Compañía de Minas...
|
NEUTRAL | $9.42B | 20.73 | 12.3% | 30.7% | $37.1 | |
|
AA
Alcoa Corporation
|
BULLISH | $16.11B | 13.86 | 19.2% | 8.9% | $62.21 | |
|
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $7.17B | 16.32 | 21.3% | 8.8% | $33.62 | |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $17.96B | 24.77 | 3.2% | -6.0% | $42.86 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-01-16
Buy
Buy
Scotiabank
2025-10-23
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-10
Buy
Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-06
Buy
Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-08-15
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.