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AG

BEARISH
$25.44 Live
First Majestic Silver Corp. · NYSE
Target $18.5 (-27.3%)
$5.09 52W Range $25.47

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.47B
P/E
169.6
ROE
4.2%
Profit margin
7.1%
Debt/Equity
0.08
Dividend yield
0.08%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
The company exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, raising concerns about financial distress risk. Despite strong recent price performance and robust revenue growth (95.10% YoY), the stock appears significantly overvalued with a P/E of 169.60 versus sector average of 26.34 and a Graham Number of just $4.23, far below the current price of $25.44. Earnings quality is poor, with a track record of missing estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and an average surprise of -24.17%. While balance sheet metrics like low debt/equity (0.08) and strong liquidity (current ratio 3.38) are positives, weak ROE (4.21%) and inconsistent profitability undermine long-term value creation.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 95.10% YoY, significantly outpacing sector average of 16.88%
Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 3.38 and quick ratio of 2.89
Very low leverage with debt/equity ratio of 0.08, well below sector average of 0.71
Recent earnings growth acceleration: YoY EPS growth of +333.3% and Q/Q EPS growth of +75.0%
Significant positive price momentum: +354.4% over the past year

Key Risks

Severely overvalued based on P/E ratio of 169.60 vs. sector average of 26.34 and Graham Number of $4.23
Poor earnings quality and consistency: missed estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters with average negative surprise of -24.17%
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests fragile financial health despite strong liquidity
Extremely low ROE of 4.21% and ROA of 3.34%, indicating inefficient capital utilization
Analyst coverage is extremely thin with only 2 analysts, increasing risk of mispricing and low visibility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.5
-74.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
22
Future
67
Past
54
Health
45
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued with fragile fundamentals and speculative price action
Key drivers: High P/E ratio and low Piotroski score, Strong revenue growth and price momentum, Poor earnings quality and low profitability metrics
Confidence
82%
Value
22/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number provides conservative floor estimate
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 169.60 is extremely high
  • Price/Sales of 12.92 is elevated
  • Current price 500% above Graham Number
Future
67/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 95.10% YoY
  • Recent EPS growth acceleration (YoY +333.3%)
  • Positive technical trend momentum
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 35.71 still high
  • No PEG ratio due to earnings volatility
Past
54/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 1Y price return of +354.4%
  • History of occasional large positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • Frequent earnings misses
  • High volatility in quarterly results
  • Negative average earnings surprise over recent quarters
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low debt/equity of 0.08
  • Strong current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available, increasing uncertainty
  • ROE of 4.21% is low
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 14.14% provides coverage
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of only 0.08%
  • Dividend strength score of 25/100
  • No 5-year average yield data

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$25.44
Analyst Target
$18.5
Upside/Downside
-27.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AG
First Majestic Silver Corp.
Primary
5Y
+84.7%
3Y
+218.8%
1Y
+354.4%
6M
+196.8%
1M
+47.8%
1W
+18.3%
BVN
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Peer
5Y
+275.8%
3Y
+350.4%
1Y
+194.5%
6M
+113.6%
1M
+25.7%
1W
+7.0%
AA
Alcoa Corporation
Peer
5Y
+236.8%
3Y
+22.0%
1Y
+68.7%
6M
+103.0%
1M
+16.0%
1W
+3.6%
AXT
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+21.2%
3Y
+22.1%
1Y
-8.8%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+4.1%
1W
+0.1%
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
Peer
5Y
+472.0%
3Y
+288.1%
1Y
+116.2%
6M
+67.8%
1M
+7.6%
1W
+11.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
169.6
Forward P/E
35.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.8
P/S Ratio
12.92
EV/Revenue
13.02
EV/EBITDA
33.03
Market Cap
$12.47B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.07%
Operating Margin 26.97%
Gross Margin 48.26%
ROE 4.21%
ROA 3.34%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +95.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.08
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.38
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.89
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.17

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.07
-12.5% surprise
2025-08-14
$0.04
-20.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.05
-40.0% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing AG against 86 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 31 neutral, 54 bearish)
P/E Ratio
169.6
This Stock
vs
45.2
Sector Avg
+275.2% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.21%
This Stock
vs
-13.47%
Sector Avg
-131.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.07%
This Stock
vs
-8.92%
Sector Avg
-179.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.08
This Stock
vs
0.87
Sector Avg
-91.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
95.1%
This Stock
vs
41.51%
Sector Avg
+129.1% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
3.38
This Stock
vs
6.78
Sector Avg
-50.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-01-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Scotiabank
2025-10-23
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-08-15
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AG from our newsroom.

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