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APTV Aptiv PLC - Fundamental Analysis

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APTV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
Current Price Live
$76.47
Analyst Target
$101.81
+33.1% Upside
52W High
$88.93
52W Low
$47.19

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores present a mixed picture: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a high current P/E of 58.82, the forward P/E of 9.01 suggests strong earnings growth expectations. The company beats earnings estimates consistently, with a 3/4 beat rate over the last four quarters and an average surprise of 14.89%, yet insider selling and weak long-term price performance raise caution. While analysts are bullish with a $101.81 target price and a 'buy' recommendation, the stock trades at a significant premium to the Graham Number of $35.41, implying high valuation risk.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat rate (3 out of last 4 quarters) with strong average surprise of 14.89%
Robust year-over-year EPS growth of 18.6% and revenue growth of 7.40%
Forward P/E of 9.01 indicates strong future earnings expectations relative to current P/E of 58.82
Solid balance sheet with Current Ratio of 1.79 and Quick Ratio of 1.22
Debt/Equity of 0.85 is below sector average of 1.60, indicating conservative leverage

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests only moderate financial health, limiting confidence in stability
Current P/E of 58.82 is significantly above forward P/E and sector average, indicating potential overvaluation
Stock trades at more than double the Graham Number ($35.41) and well above intrinsic value estimate of $9.10
Insider selling activity: $7.52M in sales over last 6 months with zero buys, signaling bearish sentiment
5-year price return of -45.0% reflects prolonged underperformance despite recent 1-year rebound
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$68.5
-10.4% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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