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HTHT

BULLISH
$52.48 Live
H World Group Limited · NASDAQ
Target $60.06 (+14.4%)
$30.41 52W Range $56.64

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$16.15B
P/E
22.52
ROE
40.5%
Profit margin
20.1%
Debt/Equity
2.78
Dividend yield
4.02%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
HTHT exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and trades significantly below its growth-based intrinsic value of $68.73. The company demonstrates exceptional profitability with an ROE of 40.55% and a P/S ratio of 0.64, indicating strong operational efficiency and potential undervaluation relative to sales. While the Graham Number ($17.81) suggests a defensive overvaluation, the forward P/E of 16.95 is attractive compared to the sector average of 39.02. However, high leverage (Debt/Equity 2.78) and a bearish technical trend (10/100) act as primary headwinds.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 40.55%
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.64) relative to market cap
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating and $60.06 target
Significant earnings recovery with YoY growth of 2226.50%
Attractive dividend yield of 4.02% providing immediate income

Key Risks

High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.78
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.91 (below 1.0)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 80.12%
Severely bearish technical trend (10/100)
High Price-to-Book ratio (8.67) suggesting premium valuation of assets
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$60.0
+14.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
65
Strong
Value
65
Future
85
Past
70
Health
50
Dividend
55
AI Verdict
Strong fundamental growth offset by leverage and technical weakness
Key drivers: High ROE, Low P/S, Earnings recovery, Debt levels
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100

Trades at a premium to defensive value but a discount to growth intrinsic value and sector P/E.

Positives
  • P/E (22.52) is well below sector average (39.02)
  • P/S ratio is very low (0.64)
Watchpoints
  • Current price is far above Graham Number ($17.81)
  • High P/B ratio (8.67)
Future
85/100

Growth is driven by a massive recovery in earnings capacity.

Positives
  • Explosive YoY earnings growth
  • Positive revenue growth (8.30%)
  • Strong analyst target price ($60.06)
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline (-14.7%)
Past
70/100

Recovery from significant losses in 2020-2022.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y price performance (+68.5%)
  • Consistent earnings beats in 3 of last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
  • High volatility in historical quarterly EPS
Health
50/100

Stable according to Piotroski, but balance sheet is heavily leveraged.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 2.78 is high
  • Current Ratio < 1.0 indicates tight liquidity
Dividend
55/100

Yield is attractive, but the payout ratio is aggressively high.

Positives
  • Solid 4.02% yield
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 80.12% leaves little room for error or reinvestment

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$52.48
Analyst Target
$60.06
Upside/Downside
+14.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HTHT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HTH
H World Group Limited
Primary
5Y
+7.9%
3Y
+17.3%
1Y
+68.5%
6M
+41.1%
1M
+0.8%
1W
+0.5%
XPE
XPeng Inc.
Peer
5Y
-53.7%
3Y
+54.0%
1Y
-17.4%
6M
-26.9%
1M
+0.7%
1W
-9.3%
APT
Aptiv PLC
Peer
5Y
-45.0%
3Y
-27.9%
1Y
+19.6%
6M
+7.8%
1M
-0.4%
1W
-2.7%
BAL
Ball Corporation
Peer
5Y
-32.0%
3Y
+4.9%
1Y
+5.6%
6M
-2.0%
1M
+9.7%
1W
+2.3%
NIO
NIO Inc.
Peer
5Y
-84.8%
3Y
-42.6%
1Y
+58.3%
6M
-20.9%
1M
+27.8%
1W
+5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
22.52
Forward P/E
16.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
8.67
P/S Ratio
0.64
EV/Revenue
7.19
EV/EBITDA
22.72
Market Cap
$16.15B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.07%
Operating Margin 29.15%
Gross Margin 44.09%
ROE 40.55%
ROA 6.69%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.3%
Earnings Growth +2226.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.06%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +2293.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.78
High debt
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.85
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.98

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-20
$N/A
2026-03-18
$4.06
+67.0% surprise
2025-11-17
$4.76
+0.1% surprise
2025-08-20
$4.24
+3.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing HTHT against 154 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (12 bullish, 60 neutral, 82 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.52
This Stock
vs
38.53
Sector Avg
-41.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
40.55%
This Stock
vs
-4.36%
Sector Avg
-1029.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.07%
This Stock
vs
-1.85%
Sector Avg
-1184.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.78
This Stock
vs
1.52
Sector Avg
+82.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
8.3%
This Stock
vs
6.78%
Sector Avg
+22.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
2.21
Sector Avg
-58.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
16 analysts
Benchmark
2026-03-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Macquarie
2026-03-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
UBS
2026-03-09
up
Neutral Buy
Benchmark
2025-11-18
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HTHT from our newsroom.

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