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BALL

NEUTRAL
$57.36 Live
Ball Corporation · NYSE
Target $62.69 (+9.3%)
$43.51 52W Range $60.29

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$15.61B
P/E
21.89
ROE
11.7%
Profit margin
5.4%
Debt/Equity
1.38
Dividend yield
1.42%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns, most notably a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating poor financial health based on fundamental criteria. Despite strong recent earnings growth (YoY +81.1%) and a reasonable forward P/E of 14.44, the company faces liquidity constraints (Quick Ratio: 0.68) and high leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.38). Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $62.69 target, implying upside, but insider selling and inconsistent earnings beats (0/4 recent quarters) temper optimism. The stock trades above the Graham Number ($34.5) but below intrinsic value ($77.29), suggesting mixed valuation signals.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 81.1%
Forward P/E of 14.44 is below sector average (49.04), indicating relative value
ROE of 11.75% exceeds sector average of 9.52%
Revenue growth (9.60%) outpaces peer average (8.06%)
Dividend payout ratio of 31.13% is sustainable

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health
Quick Ratio of 0.68 indicates potential short-term liquidity issues
High Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38 increases financial risk
Recent insider selling by CEO suggests lack of confidence
Only 0 out of last 4 earnings beats, with declining earnings surprise trend
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$72.5
+26.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
65
Future
72
Past
50
Health
32
Dividend
58
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with notable financial health concerns
Key drivers: High earnings growth, Low forward P/E, Weak Piotroski score, Insider selling, Strong ROE
Confidence
70%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 14.44 is attractive vs sector
  • Price/Sales of 1.23 is reasonable
  • Stock below intrinsic value ($77.29)
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E (21.89) above forward P/E suggests earnings compression risk
  • Price/Book of 2.84 is elevated
  • Trading well above Graham Number ($34.5)
Future
72/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Earnings Growth (YoY): 81.10%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth: 62.90%
  • Revenue Growth (YoY): 9.60%
Watchpoints
  • PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation
  • Forward guidance implied by declining recent earnings surprises
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical ROE above sector average
  • Long-term revenue growth trend positive
Watchpoints
  • Only 13 of 25 quarters beat estimates
  • Recent streak of misses (0/4 last quarters)
  • Profit margin (5.36%) below sector peers
Health
32/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio of 1.10 shows minimal short-term solvency
  • Positive ROA (4.54%) indicates asset efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Quick Ratio of 0.68 below 1.0 threshold
  • Debt/Equity of 1.38 is high
  • Altman Z-Score missing, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
58/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend payout ratio of 31.13% is sustainable
  • Dividend yield (1.42%) provides modest income
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 40/100 is weak
  • No 5-year average yield data available

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$57.36
Analyst Target
$62.69
Upside/Downside
+9.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BALL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BAL
Ball Corporation
Primary
5Y
-32.0%
3Y
+4.9%
1Y
+5.6%
6M
-2.0%
1M
+9.7%
1W
+2.3%
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
Peer
5Y
+99.6%
3Y
+45.4%
1Y
+46.0%
6M
+10.3%
1M
+15.2%
1W
-5.0%
DEC
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+92.1%
3Y
+36.7%
1Y
-1.9%
6M
+24.8%
1M
+8.5%
1W
-3.5%
NIO
NIO Inc.
Peer
5Y
-84.8%
3Y
-42.6%
1Y
+58.3%
6M
-20.9%
1M
+27.8%
1W
+5.2%
HTH
H World Group Limited
Peer
5Y
+7.9%
3Y
+17.3%
1Y
+68.5%
6M
+41.1%
1M
+0.8%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.89
Forward P/E
14.44
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.84
P/S Ratio
1.23
EV/Revenue
1.76
EV/EBITDA
11.31
Market Cap
$15.61B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.36%
Operating Margin 11.54%
Gross Margin 19.86%
ROE 11.75%
ROA 4.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +9.6%
Earnings Growth +81.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +62.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.38
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.1
Good
Quick Ratio
0.68
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.13

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-03
$N/A
2025-11-04
$1.02
-0.2% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.76
-6.4% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.63
-2.1% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing BALL against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.89
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-35.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.75%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-126.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.36%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-199.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.38
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-8.5% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
9.6%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-66.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.1
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-55.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CAUSEY CAREY
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-01-16
6,800 shares · $381,344
LEWIS RONALD J
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-15
4,000 shares
GLEW MANDY
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-15
282 shares
ROSS CATHY D
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-15
534 shares · $27,544
LIM-JOHNSON HANNAH S
Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-13
6,478 shares
PENEGOR TODD ALLAN
Director
Option Exercise
2025-09-15
1,200 shares · $59,892
CAREY NATE C.
Officer
Stock Award
2025-09-15
1,600 shares
BRYANT JOHN A
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-15
1,200 shares
CAUSEY CAREY
Officer
Stock Award
2025-09-15
2,800 shares
VILLATORO FAUZE
Officer
Stock Award
2025-09-15
569 shares
PITRE KATHLEEN
Officer
Stock Award
2025-09-15
2,800 shares
GLEW MANDY
President
Stock Award
2025-09-15
2,718 shares
RABBITT DANIEL J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-09-15
1,600 shares
NIEKAMP CYNTHIA A
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-15
1,200 shares
CAVE MICHAEL J
Director
Option Exercise
2025-09-15
880 shares · $43,921
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
13 analysts
UBS
2026-01-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-01-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-01-06
up
Neutral Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-01-06
up
Underweight Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-11-17
up
Neutral Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Raymond James
2025-10-16
init
Market Perform
Wells Fargo
2025-10-15
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Truist Securities
2025-10-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-10-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BALL from our newsroom.

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