AWR American States Water Company - Fundamental Analysis
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AWR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Utilities
Utilities - Regulated Water
Current Price
Live
$73.16
Analyst Target
$81.0
+10.7%
Upside
52W High
$82.94
52W Low
$69.45
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.83B
P/E
22.1
ROE
13.8%
Profit margin
20.4%
Debt/Equity
0.91
Dividend yield
2.7%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
AWR exhibits stable financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate strength, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock appears fairly valued with a current price of $73.16 near the analyst target of $81.00 and intrinsic value estimate of $81.76, despite trading above the conservative Graham Number of $44.06. Solid profitability metrics—such as a 33.96% operating margin and 13.78% ROE—contrast with a bearish technical trend and weak insider sentiment. Revenue and earnings growth remain positive year-over-year, but recent quarterly volatility and limited analyst coverage warrant caution.
Key Strengths
Stable financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating balanced operational performance
Strong profitability: 33.96% operating margin and 13.78% ROE outperform sector averages
Regulated utility business model provides predictable cash flows and revenue stability
Healthy dividend yield of 2.70% with a sustainable 56.23% payout ratio
Revenue growth of 12.90% and earnings growth of 11.80% YoY exceed sector averages
Key Risks
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggests near-term price weakness
Insider selling activity: net bearish with one sale in the last six months
Limited analyst coverage (only 2 analysts) increases information risk
High valuation relative to Graham Number ($44.06) implies premium pricing
Recent quarterly earnings volatility, including multiple misses and large surprises
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$80.5
+10.0% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
68
Strong
60
70
65
75
68
AI Verdict
Moderately positive fundamentals offset by technical and sentiment weaknesses
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 6 supports financial stability, Above-average profitability and growth in a defensive sector, Valuation near intrinsic value but above Graham Number, Bearish technical trend and insider selling pressure, Low analyst coverage limits consensus reliability
Confidence
75%
Value
60/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 20.96 is below sector average of 24.81
- Intrinsic value ($81.76) is above current price ($73.16)
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 2.81 and Price/Sales of 4.45 are elevated
- Current price significantly above Graham Number ($44.06)
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 12.90% YoY revenue growth outpaces sector average (8.62%)
- 11.80% YoY earnings growth and 14.90% Q/Q EPS growth indicate momentum
Watchpoints
- PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
- Forward P/E decline suggests moderating growth expectations
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 1Y price return of +4.0% shows resilience
- Long-term earnings progression shows cyclical strength
Watchpoints
- 3Y return of -18.7% underperforms broader market
- Multiple recent earnings misses (e.g., -15.6%, -39.3%)
Health
75/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial condition
- Debt/Equity of 0.91 is below sector average of 1.68
- Current ratio of 1.27 suggests short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
- Quick ratio of 0.89 indicates potential near-term liquidity pressure
- Altman Z-Score not available limits distress risk analysis
Dividend
68/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- 2.70% dividend yield is attractive in current rate environment
- 56.23% payout ratio is sustainable for a utility
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 50/100 suggests room for improvement
- No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$73.16
Analyst Target
$81.0
Upside/Downside
+10.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AWR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AWR
American States Water Company
Primary
|
+0.3% | -18.7% | +4.0% | +1.7% | -0.5% | -3.7% |
|
AVA
Avista Corporation
Peer
|
+28.8% | +11.4% | +17.6% | +10.5% | +4.3% | -0.3% |
|
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Peer
|
-53.0% | +1.0% | +47.5% | +6.3% | +2.4% | -1.4% |
|
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation
Peer
|
-11.1% | -31.8% | +5.2% | +1.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
|
+43.4% | +15.9% | +30.7% | +29.1% | +3.2% | -2.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.1
Forward P/E
20.96
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.81
P/S Ratio
4.45
EV/Revenue
5.85
EV/EBITDA
15.08
Market Cap
$2.83B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
20.43%
Operating Margin
33.96%
Gross Margin
58.24%
ROE
13.78%
ROA
4.92%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+12.9%
Earnings Growth
+11.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+14.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.91
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.27
Good
Quick Ratio
0.89
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.67
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-18
$N/A
2025-11-05
$1.06
+5.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.87
-4.7% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.7
+4.0% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing AWR against 21 companies in the Utilities sector
(0 bullish, 18 neutral, 3 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.1
This Stock
vs
24.3
Sector Avg
-9.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.78%
This Stock
vs
-7.2%
Sector Avg
-291.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.43%
This Stock
vs
10.62%
Sector Avg
+92.5%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.91
This Stock
vs
1.76
Sector Avg
-48.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.9%
This Stock
vs
6.94%
Sector Avg
+85.9%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.27
This Stock
vs
0.88
Sector Avg
+44.8%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AWR
American States Water Company
|
NEUTRAL | $2.83B | 22.1 | 13.8% | 20.4% | $73.16 | |
|
AVA
Avista Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.26B | 16.97 | 7.3% | 9.6% | $40.04 | |
|
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.9B | 91.14 | 0.1% | -1.1% | $6.38 | |
|
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $338.25M | 15.01 | 9.2% | 20.2% | $32.72 | |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.41B | 18.1 | 7.9% | 12.5% | $71.68 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | HOLLOWAY ANNE M | Director | Sale | 528 | $40,075 |
| 2025-09-03 | HOLLOWAY ANNE M | Director | Stock Award | 137 | $10,281 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AWR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.