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CWT

BEARISH
$46.38 Live
California Water Service Group · NYSE
Target $52.0 (+12.1%)
$41.29 52W Range $51.15

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$2.78B
P/E
21.57
ROE
7.7%
Profit margin
12.8%
Debt/Equity
0.96
Dividend yield
2.66%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CWT exhibits significant valuation misalignment, trading at $46.38 despite a Graham Number of $37.02 and a growth-based intrinsic value of $15.05. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable health, while severe earnings contraction (-42.20% YoY) and negative revenue growth suggest fundamental decay. Despite a 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus, the combination of bearish insider selling, a 0/100 technical trend, and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.85) points to a bearish outlook.

Key Strengths

Regulated utility business model providing inherent stability
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (55.81%)
Strong gross margins (53.60%)
Debt/Equity ratio (0.96) is lower than the sector average (1.63)
Positive profit margins (12.82%) compared to sector average

Key Risks

Severe earnings decline (-42.20% YoY)
Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic and Graham values
Poor short-term liquidity with a current ratio below 1.0 (0.85)
Negative long-term price performance (5Y Change: -14.7%)
High PEG ratio (2.11) indicating price is too high for current growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.5
-25.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
35
Health
45
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Valuation premium, Liquidity constraints, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 21.57, PEG 2.11, Graham Number $37.02

Positives
  • P/E is slightly below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price is 25% above Graham Number
  • Price is 200%+ above Intrinsic Value
  • High PEG ratio
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth (-1.00%)
  • Severe YoY Earnings Growth decline (-42.20%)
Past
35/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent dividend payments
Watchpoints
  • Negative 5Y, 3Y, and 1Y price returns
  • Erratic quarterly earnings surprises
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Current Ratio 0.85

Positives
  • Debt/Equity is manageable for the sector
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is only mediocre
  • Current Ratio 0.85 indicates liquidity risk
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 2.66%, Payout 55.81%

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio
  • Consistent yield
Watchpoints
  • Yield (2.66%) is not highly competitive for a utility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$46.38
Analyst Target
$52.0
Upside/Downside
+12.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CWT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CWT
California Water Service Group
Primary
5Y
-14.7%
3Y
-14.3%
1Y
-4.8%
6M
-5.1%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+3.2%
AWR
American States Water Company
Peer
5Y
+0.3%
3Y
-18.7%
1Y
+4.0%
6M
+1.7%
1M
-0.5%
1W
-3.7%
MGE
MGE Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+21.0%
3Y
+12.1%
1Y
-10.3%
6M
-3.7%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+1.8%
HTO
H2O America
Peer
5Y
+4.2%
3Y
-19.5%
1Y
+19.5%
6M
+24.6%
1M
+6.2%
1W
+0.8%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
Peer
5Y
+17.3%
3Y
+6.7%
1Y
-2.3%
6M
-2.2%
1M
+3.4%
1W
+0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.57
Forward P/E
16.74
PEG Ratio
2.11
P/B Ratio
1.64
P/S Ratio
2.78
EV/Revenue
4.33
EV/EBITDA
12.52
Market Cap
$2.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.82%
Operating Margin 10.22%
Gross Margin 53.6%
ROE 7.68%
ROA 2.3%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -1.0%
Earnings Growth -42.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -1.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -41.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.96
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.85
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.87

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
59.5%
Op. Margin
4.4%
Net Margin
5.2%
Total Assets
$5.7B
Liabilities
$4.0B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
2.36x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-218%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.19
-42.4% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.03
+10.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.71
+26.8% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing CWT against 54 companies in the Utilities sector (3 bullish, 31 neutral, 20 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.57
This Stock
vs
27.15
Sector Avg
-20.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.68%
This Stock
vs
-2.52%
Sector Avg
-405.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.82%
This Stock
vs
6.19%
Sector Avg
+107.2% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.96
This Stock
vs
1.6
Sector Avg
-40.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-1.0%
This Stock
vs
16.9%
Sector Avg
-105.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.85
This Stock
vs
1.17
Sector Avg
-27.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LUU MICHAEL B
Officer
Sell
2026-03-20
739 shares · $32,945
MARES MICHAEL S. JR.
Officer
Sell
2026-03-20
3,892 shares · $171,248
JENKINS KENNETH G
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
548 shares
KROPELNICKI MARTIN A
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
6,507 shares
LUU MICHAEL B
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,105 shares
MORTENSEN MICHELLE R
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
900 shares
DEAN SHANNON C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
900 shares
OUYANG ELISSA Y
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
900 shares
MARES MICHAEL S. JR.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
900 shares
MILLEMAN GREG A.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
900 shares
SCANLON THOMAS A.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
548 shares
BUNTING SHAWN C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
750 shares
JAMES SOPHIE MARWIEH
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
548 shares
JENKINS KENNETH G
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
1,650 shares
KROPELNICKI MARTIN A
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
10,295 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-08

CWT filed a definitive proxy statement on April 8, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-18

CWT filed an 8-K on March 18, 2026, likely to report its quarterly or annual financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-05

CWT filed an 8-K on March 5, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

CWT operates a water utility business comprising regulated and non-regulated activities, with a primary focus on water supply and utility plant construction. Financial performance is driven by regulatory rate structures and capital resources, while key risks include government regulations, energy reliability, and seasonal fluctuations.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-25

CWT likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-28

CWT filed a Form 8-K on January 28, 2026, likely to announce its year-end financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-20
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

CWT submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on October 30, 2025. While the filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-30

CWT filed an 8-K on October 30, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-29

CWT filed an 8-K on October 29, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-03
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-31
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-30
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-10
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CWT from our newsroom.

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