No connection

Search Results

MGEE

NEUTRAL
$79.85 Live
MGE Energy, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $81.0 (+1.4%)
$72.17 52W Range $94.0
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$2.93B
P/E
21.47
ROE
10.7%
Profit margin
18.7%
Debt/Equity
0.72
Dividend yield
2.35%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MGEE presents a dichotomy between superior operational efficiency and poor valuation metrics. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the company boasts profit margins and ROE significantly above sector averages, the stock is trading at a substantial premium to its Graham Number ($54.65) and Intrinsic Value ($54.50). The technical trend is currently bearish (0/100), and a consistent history of missing earnings estimates suggests limited near-term catalysts for price appreciation despite a conservative debt profile.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profit margins (18.70%) compared to sector average (4.63%)
Strong ROE (10.73%) significantly outperforming the sector average (-10.89%)
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 vs sector average of 1.63
Healthy dividend payout ratio (49.73%) ensuring long-term sustainability
Robust YoY revenue growth of 11.70%

Key Risks

Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 1-year price performance (-10.3%)
Poor earnings track record with only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters
Low liquidity indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.77 and Quick Ratio of 0.40
Dividend yield (2.35%) is relatively low for a regulated utility investment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.5
-21.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
30
Future
60
Past
55
Health
65
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Operationally strong but fundamentally overpriced.
Key drivers: Superior margins, Low sector-relative debt, High valuation premium, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, Graham Number $54.65

Positives
  • P/E (21.47) is lower than sector average (28.75)
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~46% above Graham Number
  • Price is ~46% above Intrinsic Value
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Double-digit revenue growth (11.7%)
  • Stable regulated industry
Watchpoints
  • Sluggish earnings growth (5.1%)
  • Frequent earnings misses
Past
55/100

Ref Historical price and EPS trends

Positives
  • Positive 5-year price change (+21%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1-year return (-10.3%)
  • Consistent failure to beat EPS estimates
Health
65/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.72

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity for a utility
  • Stable Piotroski F-Score
Watchpoints
  • Low current and quick ratios
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 2.35%, Payout 49.73%

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (<50%)
Watchpoints
  • Yield is modest for the utility sector

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$79.85
Analyst Target
$81.0
Upside/Downside
+1.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MGEE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-13
MGE
MGE Energy, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+21.0%
3Y
+12.1%
1Y
-10.3%
6M
-3.7%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+1.8%
AWR
American States Water Company
Peer
5Y
+0.3%
3Y
-18.7%
1Y
+4.0%
6M
+1.7%
1M
-0.5%
1W
-3.7%
AVA
Avista Corporation
Peer
5Y
+28.8%
3Y
+11.4%
1Y
+17.6%
6M
+10.5%
1M
+4.3%
1W
-0.3%
HTO
H2O America
Peer
5Y
+4.2%
3Y
-19.5%
1Y
+19.5%
6M
+24.6%
1M
+6.2%
1W
+0.8%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Peer
5Y
-53.0%
3Y
+1.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.47
Forward P/E
18.83
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.24
P/S Ratio
4.04
EV/Revenue
5.3
EV/EBITDA
13.42
Market Cap
$2.93B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.7%
Operating Margin 20.55%
Gross Margin 42.56%
ROE 10.72%
ROA 3.81%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.7%
Earnings Growth +5.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +10.58%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +5.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.72
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.77
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.4
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.15

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
35.8%
Op. Margin
17.1%
Net Margin
12.3%
Total Assets
$3.2B
Liabilities
$1.9B
Equity
$1.3B
Debt/Equity
1.42x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-154%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-24
$0.64
2025-11-05
$1.22
+2.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.72
-1.4% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing MGEE against 30 companies in the Utilities sector (2 bullish, 19 neutral, 9 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.47
This Stock
vs
28.45
Sector Avg
-24.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.72%
This Stock
vs
-10.17%
Sector Avg
-205.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.7%
This Stock
vs
5.1%
Sector Avg
+266.7% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.72
This Stock
vs
1.6
Sector Avg
-55.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
11.7%
This Stock
vs
9.54%
Sector Avg
+22.7% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.77
This Stock
vs
1.33
Sector Avg
-42.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MGEE MGE Energy, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$2.9B
P/E
21.5
ROE
10.7%
Price
$79.85
AWR American...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$2.8B
P/E
22.1
ROE
13.8%
Price
$73.16
 Compare with MGEE
AVA Avista Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$3.3B
P/E
17.0
ROE
7.3%
Price
$40.04
 Compare with MGEE
HTO H2O America
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.5B
P/E
20.4
ROE
7.1%
Price
$59.67
 Compare with MGEE
AQN Algonquin...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.9B
P/E
91.1
ROE
0.1%
Price
$6.38
 Compare with MGEE

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BERBEE JAMES G
Director
Buy
2026-03-11
372 shares · $28,985
KEEBLER JEFFREY M
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
10,905 shares
RENLUND CARI ANNE
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-02
1,716 shares
BUSHEK JARED JOSEPH
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
3,684 shares
SMITH SCOTT ROBERT
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
1,116 shares
LORENZ JAMES JEROME
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
1,390 shares
LAGERWALL JENNY LYNN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
688 shares
GARNER MELISSA TYSON
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
1,374 shares
JICHA JOHN ANTHONY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
945 shares
WOLTER GARY J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,062 shares
DEWEY LONDA J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,062 shares
POSSIN JAMES L
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,062 shares
KELLY DANIEL JAMES
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
918 shares
ACKERMAN PATRICIA K
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
918 shares
ANDERSON MARCIA M
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,062 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-02
Maintains
Underweight Underweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MGEE from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
Back to All Stocks
TradingGPT V2 Copilot
Fundamentals • Valuation • Risk
Hi! I'm your fundamentals copilot.

Ask me to:
• Summarize the business quality
• Review valuation and multiples
• Highlight risks and red flags
• Explain growth and margin trends
Features Terminal AI Assistant Analysis Market News Pricing
Start Trading with AI Already have an account? Sign In
Home
Terminal
AI
Markets
Profile