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BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia - Fundamental Analysis

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BNS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Banks - Diversified
Current Price Live
$74.87
Analyst Target
$70.4
-6.0% Downside
52W High
$74.97
52W Low
$44.09

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$93.29B
P/E
18.17
ROE
9.0%
Profit margin
24.6%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
4.28%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) exhibits a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, signaling significant concerns in profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency. Despite this, the stock shows strong recent earnings growth (YoY EPS +58.2%) and a robust dividend yield of 4.28%, supported by a high but sustainable payout ratio. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading slightly above analyst targets ($74.87 vs. $70.40) and above the Graham Number of $68.74, though below the growth-based intrinsic value of $121.54. Technical indicators are bearish (10/100), and insider sentiment is neutral, reflecting limited conviction despite solid dividend strength.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 4.28% provides strong income appeal
Recent earnings growth is robust, with YoY EPS up 58.2%
Profit margin of 24.62% and operating margin of 39.18% indicate strong profitability
Trading below growth-based intrinsic value estimate of $121.54
Analyst target price implies limited downside risk at $70.40

Key Risks

Very low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
Revenue growth is negative YoY (-0.80%), suggesting top-line stagnation
ROA of only 0.54% reflects poor asset efficiency for a bank
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum
Missing key financial data (Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, cash/debt) limits risk assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$72.5
-3.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
58
Moderate
Value
60
Future
70
Past
55
Health
30
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if financial health improves
Key drivers: Strong dividend and earnings growth, Weak Piotroski score and technical trend, Valuation near fair value range
Confidence
65%
Value
60/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 11.47 is below current P/E of 18.17
  • Trading below growth-based intrinsic value
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 18.17 is above forward P/E, suggesting earnings expectations are cooling
  • Price above Graham Number ($74.87 vs $68.74)
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong YoY earnings growth of 35.40%
  • Q/Q EPS growth of 4.9% shows continued momentum
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative YoY (-0.80%)
  • PEG Ratio unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-Year price return of +76.6% shows strong long-term performance
  • History of consistent dividend payments
Watchpoints
  • Earnings surprises are volatile, with two large negative misses in 2024
  • Recent quarters show declining trend in beat frequency
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Profit margins remain strong
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness
  • ROA of 0.54% is very low for a bank
  • Missing Altman Z-Score and debt/equity data raises transparency concerns
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 4.28% is attractive in current market
  • Dividend strength score of 55/100 indicates moderate reliability
  • Payout ratio of 76.19% is high but not unsustainable
Watchpoints
  • No data on 5-year average yield to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$74.87
Analyst Target
$70.4
Upside/Downside
-6.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BNS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BNS
The Bank of Nova Scotia
Primary
+76.6% +68.7% +49.2% +32.2% +1.1% +1.9%
BCS
Barclays PLC
Peer
+313.1% +229.8% +82.1% +34.6% +2.2% +0.1%
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
Peer
+70.2% +16.8% -16.1% -20.3% -10.3% +1.5%
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
Peer
+212.3% +1042.2% +136.0% -0.9% -6.1% -5.7%
PNC
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Peer
+70.2% +54.3% +16.8% +14.6% +6.1% +2.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
18.17
Forward P/E
11.47
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.47
P/S Ratio
2.95
EV/Revenue
-2.01
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$93.29B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.62%
Operating Margin 39.18%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 8.99%
ROA 0.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -0.8%
Earnings Growth +35.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +35.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$372.95

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-12-02
$1.93
+4.7% surprise
2025-08-26
$1.84
+6.7% surprise
2025-05-27
$1.52
-3.0% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing BNS against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
18.17
This Stock
vs
30.37
Sector Avg
-40.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.99%
This Stock
vs
-7.62%
Sector Avg
-217.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
24.62%
This Stock
vs
82.75%
Sector Avg
-70.3% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-0.8%
This Stock
vs
28.35%
Sector Avg
-102.8% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BNS
The Bank of Nova Scotia
NEUTRAL $93.29B 18.17 9.0% 24.6% $74.87
BCS
Barclays PLC
BEARISH $90.49B 12.02 9.4% 26.6% $26.2
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
NEUTRAL $90.07B 21.92 28.7% 15.6% $182.81
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
NEUTRAL $97.78B 45.5 27.8% 52.2% $108.74
PNC
The PNC Financial Services...
NEUTRAL $87.7B 14.42 11.5% 29.9% $223.18

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-12-31 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Stock Award 2,300,800 -
2025-12-30 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,704,050
2025-12-29 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,702,100
2025-12-24 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,710,150
2025-12-23 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,688,800
2025-12-22 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,648,950
2025-12-19 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,627,350
2025-12-18 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 100,800 $7,260,019
2025-12-17 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,587,650
2025-12-16 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,647,000
2025-12-15 Bank of Nova Scotia, The Issuer Purchase 50,000 $3,652,300
2025-12-15 Walsh (Julie) Senior Officer of Issuer Option Exercise 3,716 $220,853
2025-12-15 Walsh (Julie) Senior Officer of Issuer Disposition in the public market at price 73.10 pe 3,716 $271,632
2025-12-15 Walsh (Julie) Senior Officer of Issuer Option Exercise 2,767 $145,295
2025-12-15 Walsh (Julie) Senior Officer of Issuer Disposition in the public market at price 73.10 pe 2,767 $202,262
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
RBC Capital
2025-12-03
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
RBC Capital
2025-08-27
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BNS from our newsroom.

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