BURL
NEUTRAL
$297.96
Live
Burlington Stores, Inc. · NYSE
Target $339.29
(+13.9%)
$212.92
52W Range
$315.14
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$18.75B
P/E
34.25
ROE
41.9%
Profit margin
5.0%
Debt/Equity
3.9
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
68%
BURL's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades significantly above its Graham Number of $69.35 at $297.96, reflecting high growth expectations, while its ROE of 41.92% and strong earnings growth signal operational efficiency. However, a high P/E of 34.25, elevated Debt/Equity of 3.90, and bearish insider activity temper optimism. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a target of $339.29, suggesting upside potential despite valuation concerns.
Key Strengths
High ROE of 41.92% indicates strong return on shareholder equity
Earnings growth of 16.40% YoY demonstrates solid profitability expansion
Gross margin of 43.66% reflects pricing power and cost control
Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 suggests stable financial condition
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with 14 analysts supporting
Key Risks
Debt/Equity ratio of 3.90 is significantly above sector average of 1.64, increasing financial risk
Stock trades at a premium: current price $297.96 vs Graham Number $69.35
Insider selling activity: $1.02M in net sales over last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum
Quick ratio of 0.32 indicates potential liquidity pressure in short term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$256.65
-13.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
52
Moderate
45
70
65
58
20
AI Verdict
Moderate potential with significant valuation and leverage risks
Key drivers: Strong earnings growth and ROE, Elevated valuation multiples, High debt burden, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
70%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 34.25 below sector average of 55.32
- Price/Sales of 1.68 is reasonable for retail
Watchpoints
- Price significantly above Graham Number ($69.35)
- High P/B of 12.13 indicates overvaluation relative to book value
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 16.40% YoY earnings growth
- 7.10% revenue growth in cyclical sector
Watchpoints
- PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of earnings beats: 15 of 25 quarters above estimates
- Consistent YoY EPS growth trend
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises have become more volatile recently
Health
58/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable health
- Current ratio of 1.21 shows basic liquidity
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity of 3.90 is very high
- Quick ratio of 0.32 signals weak short-term liquidity
Dividend
20/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Dividend strength score of 0/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$297.96
Analyst Target
$339.29
Upside/Downside
+13.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BURL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Primary
|
+18.0% | +32.7% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +3.4% | -2.7% |
|
LI
Li Auto Inc.
Peer
|
-29.4% | -28.5% | -29.2% | -29.6% | +1.5% | +0.5% |
|
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Peer
|
-85.1% | -2.8% | +20.9% | +2.5% | +0.3% | -6.5% |
|
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
Peer
|
-48.1% | -43.1% | -51.5% | -54.3% | +7.9% | +1.4% |
|
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
Peer
|
-49.1% | -58.0% | -45.9% | -13.9% | -13.1% | -4.9% |
BUR
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+18.0%
3Y
+32.7%
1Y
+2.1%
6M
+6.6%
1M
+3.4%
1W
-2.7%
LI
Li Auto Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.4%
3Y
-28.5%
1Y
-29.2%
6M
-29.6%
1M
+1.5%
1W
+0.5%
RIV
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-85.1%
3Y
-2.8%
1Y
+20.9%
6M
+2.5%
1M
+0.3%
1W
-6.5%
FLU
Flutter Entertainment plc
Peer
5Y
-48.1%
3Y
-43.1%
1Y
-51.5%
6M
-54.3%
1M
+7.9%
1W
+1.4%
LUL
lululemon athletica inc.
Peer
5Y
-49.1%
3Y
-58.0%
1Y
-45.9%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-13.1%
1W
-4.9%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
34.25
Forward P/E
26.74
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
12.13
P/S Ratio
1.68
EV/Revenue
2.14
EV/EBITDA
20.85
Market Cap
$18.75B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
5.01%
Operating Margin
5.75%
Gross Margin
43.66%
ROE
41.93%
ROA
5.5%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+7.1%
Earnings Growth
+16.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+15.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.9
High debt
Current Ratio
1.21
Good
Quick Ratio
0.32
Poor
Cash/Share
$9.39
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-05
$N/A
2025-11-25
$1.68
+2.6% surprise
2025-08-28
$1.59
+23.0% surprise
2025-05-29
$1.2
-16.0% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BURL against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.25
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+0.8%
(Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
41.93%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-195.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.01%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-192.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.9
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+157.5%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
7.1%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-75.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.21
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-50.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $18.75B | 34.25 | 41.9% | 5.0% | $297.96 | |
|
LI
Li Auto Inc.
|
BEARISH | $18.72B | 118.87 | 1.6% | 1.0% | $17.83 | Compare |
|
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $18.68B | - | -65.0% | -67.7% | $15.05 | Compare |
|
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
|
BEARISH | $19.4B | - | -3.9% | -1.9% | $111.57 | Compare |
|
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $17.96B | 11.55 | 34.0% | 14.2% | $153.1 | Compare |
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$18.7B
P/E
34.2
ROE
41.9%
Price
$297.96
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 419 | $122,561 |
| 2025-12-01 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 419 | $103,752 |
| 2025-11-18 | SKIRVIN MICHAEL C | Director | Stock Award | 310 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 419 | $115,009 |
| 2025-10-07 | MARQUETTE TRAVIS | President | Sale | 84 | $21,954 |
| 2025-10-01 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 419 | $106,441 |
| 2025-09-09 | FERRONI STEPHEN | Officer | Sale | 1,123 | $315,844 |
| 2025-09-09 | FERRONI STEPHEN | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,123 | $111,087 |
| 2025-09-02 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 420 | $120,928 |
| 2025-08-01 | VECCHIO JENNIFER | Officer | Sale | 420 | $113,372 |
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2026-01-02
419 shares
·
$122,561
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2025-12-01
419 shares
·
$103,752
SKIRVIN MICHAEL C
Director
2025-11-18
310 shares
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2025-11-03
419 shares
·
$115,009
MARQUETTE TRAVIS
President
2025-10-07
84 shares
·
$21,954
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2025-10-01
419 shares
·
$106,441
FERRONI STEPHEN
Officer
2025-09-09
1,123 shares
·
$315,844
FERRONI STEPHEN
Officer
2025-09-09
1,123 shares
·
$111,087
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2025-09-02
420 shares
·
$120,928
VECCHIO JENNIFER
Officer
2025-08-01
420 shares
·
$113,372
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Guggenheim
2025-12-10
Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-11-26
Overweight
Overweight
TD Cowen
2025-11-26
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-11-26
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-26
Overweight
Overweight
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-11-26
Outperform
Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-26
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-11-25
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-11-18
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-05
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BURL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.