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CMC

BULLISH
$69.18 Live
Commercial Metals Company · NYSE
Target $77.5 (+12.0%)
$43.01 52W Range $84.87

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$7.67B
P/E
15.48
ROE
12.0%
Profit margin
6.0%
Debt/Equity
0.82
Dividend yield
1.07%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CMC exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust operational efficiency and financial stability. While the current price of $69.18 is slightly above the Graham Number ($63.19), it trades at a significant discount to its growth-based intrinsic value of $131.86. The company shows exceptional YoY earnings growth and maintains a very healthy liquidity position (Current Ratio 2.38). Despite bearish technical trends and minor insider selling, the low forward P/E and strong balance sheet suggest a compelling value opportunity.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial health
Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 277.30%
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.38 and Quick Ratio of 1.30
Attractive valuation with a Forward P/E of 10.12 and P/S of 0.91
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 16.11%

Key Risks

High volatility in raw material (scrap metal) pricing and availability
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting short-term price pressure
High PEG ratio (13.13) indicating a potential mismatch between current price and sustainable growth
Recent Q/Q EPS decline of 37.0% showing earnings volatility
Exposure to global economic cycles and construction sector demand
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$88.5
+27.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
74
Strong
Value
85
Future
65
Past
90
Health
92
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play
Key drivers: Piotroski Health, Low Forward P/E, Strong Balance Sheet, Intrinsic Value Gap
Confidence
80%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 15.48, PEG 13.13, Graham $63.19

Positives
  • P/E significantly lower than sector average
  • Price/Sales under 1.0
  • Trading well below intrinsic value
Watchpoints
  • Slightly above Graham Number
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates and Target Price

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue and earnings growth
  • Positive analyst target price ($77.50)
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q earnings contraction
  • Cyclical nature of metal fabrication
Past
90/100

Ref Historical price performance and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Strong 5Y change (+152.4%)
  • Consistent earnings beat track record over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
92/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.82)
  • High Current Ratio (2.38)
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield 1.07%, Payout 16.11%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (16.11%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.07%)
  • Low overall dividend strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$69.18
Analyst Target
$77.5
Upside/Downside
+12.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CMC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
Primary
5Y
+152.4%
3Y
+55.5%
1Y
+57.8%
6M
+14.2%
1M
+11.2%
1W
+4.5%
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-45.5%
3Y
-13.7%
1Y
+23.5%
6M
-4.9%
1M
+6.4%
1W
-5.5%
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.3%
3Y
+157.4%
1Y
+25.5%
6M
+11.5%
1M
-2.1%
1W
-4.5%
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
5Y
+64.5%
3Y
+54.2%
1Y
+38.3%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+0.2%
CAE
CAE Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.5%
3Y
+12.3%
1Y
+4.2%
6M
-11.8%
1M
-5.5%
1W
-5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.48
Forward P/E
10.12
PEG Ratio
13.13
P/B Ratio
1.74
P/S Ratio
0.91
EV/Revenue
1.28
EV/EBITDA
10.18
Market Cap
$7.67B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.02%
Operating Margin 8.22%
Gross Margin 17.74%
ROE 12.0%
ROA 5.68%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +21.5%
Earnings Growth +277.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +21.53%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +265.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.82
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.38
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.3
Good
Cash/Share
$4.46

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$2.1B
Gross Margin
18.2%
Op. Margin
7.3%
Net Margin
4.4%
Total Assets
$9.6B
Liabilities
$5.2B
Equity
$4.4B
Debt/Equity
1.17x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
26%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-25
$N/A
2026-03-26
$1.16
-10.5% surprise
2026-01-08
$1.84
+22.3% surprise
2025-10-16
$1.37
+2.1% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing CMC against 396 companies in the Industrials sector (30 bullish, 136 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.48
This Stock
vs
81.87
Sector Avg
-81.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.0%
This Stock
vs
-24.31%
Sector Avg
-149.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.02%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
-8.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.82
This Stock
vs
2.86
Sector Avg
-71.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
21.5%
This Stock
vs
82.27%
Sector Avg
-73.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.38
This Stock
vs
3.21
Sector Avg
-25.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MCPHERSON JOHN R
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-15
42 shares · $2,726
WETHERBEE ROBERT S
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-15
7 shares · $454
PERKINS TANDRA C
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-15
19 shares · $1,233
ARRIOLA DENNIS V
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-15
22 shares · $1,428
HICKTON DAWNE S
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-15
4 shares · $260
MCPHERSON JOHN R
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
576 shares · $36,213
MCCULLOUGH GARY E
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
576 shares · $36,213
DURBIN JENNIFER J
Former
Sell
2026-02-03
25,050 shares · $2,003,248
MCPHERSON JOHN R
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
31 shares · $2,492
WETHERBEE ROBERT S
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
5 shares · $402
PERKINS TANDRA C
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
14 shares · $1,125
ARRIOLA DENNIS V
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
17 shares · $1,366
HICKTON DAWNE S
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-02
3 shares · $241
SLOAN LINDSAY L
Officer
Gift
2026-01-23
200 shares
ARRIOLA DENNIS V
Director
Buy
2026-01-20
2,000 shares · $149,380
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-13

CMC filed an 8-K on April 13, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-03-31

CMC submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on March 31, 2026. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-26

CMC filed a current report on March 26, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results or quarterly earnings.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-25

CMC filed an 8-K on March 25, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results or a significant corporate update.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2026-02-19

CMC filed an amendment to a previously submitted Current Report (Form 8-K).

8-K
8-K
2026-01-15
10-Q
10-Q
2026-01-08

CMC filed its 10-Q on January 8, 2026. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-08
8-K
8-K
2026-01-05

CMC filed an 8-K on January 5, 2026, likely to report year-end financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-17
8-K
8-K
2025-12-15
8-K
8-K
2025-12-01
8-K
8-K
2025-11-26
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-11-25
8-K
8-K
2025-11-13
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-14
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-03-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-03-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-03-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-01-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-12-15
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Jefferies
2025-12-10
up
Hold Buy
JP Morgan
2025-12-05
up
Neutral Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CMC from our newsroom.

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