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DAN

BEARISH
$38.93 Live
Dana Incorporated · NYSE
Target $40.71 (+4.6%)
$12.2 52W Range $39.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$4.27B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-4.3%
Profit margin
1.1%
Debt/Equity
3.94
Dividend yield
1.23%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Dana Incorporated exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health. Despite a massive 1-year price surge, the company suffers from a negative ROE (-4.27%), an alarmingly high Debt/Equity ratio of 3.94, and a dividend payout ratio of 90.91% that is likely unsustainable. The disconnect between the current price ($38.93) and the earnings track record—where the company has missed estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of -41.45%—suggests a momentum-driven bubble rather than value creation.

Key Strengths

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.57) suggesting low valuation relative to top-line revenue
Positive year-over-year revenue growth of 5.20%
Strong 1-year price momentum (+217.1%)
Positive operating margin (4.23%) despite thin net margins
Analyst consensus remains a 'buy' despite fundamental deterioration

Key Risks

Critical leverage levels with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.94
Severe earnings deterioration with YoY EPS growth of -52.0%
Poor liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.49
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 90.91%
Consistent failure to meet earnings expectations (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$22.5
-42.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
30
Weak
Value
40
Future
25
Past
50
Health
15
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Extreme leverage, Negative ROE, Consistent earnings misses, Weak Piotroski score
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Forward P/E of 10.41 looks attractive, but PEG of 4.21 reveals growth is not supporting the price.

Positives
  • Low Price/Sales ratio
Watchpoints
  • High Price/Book (5.20)
  • High PEG ratio (4.21) indicating overvaluation relative to growth
Future
25/100

Growth metrics are trending downward across both quarterly and annual timeframes.

Positives
  • Modest YoY revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Sharp Q/Q revenue decline (-20.04%)
  • Negative EPS growth (-52%)
Past
50/100

Price performance has completely decoupled from fundamental earnings performance.

Positives
  • Exceptional 1Y and 3Y price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise track record recently
Health
15/100

The company is in a high-risk financial state with excessive debt and weak internal efficiency.

Positives
  • Current ratio above 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
  • Debt/Equity of 3.94
  • Negative ROE
Dividend
20/100

Dividend is highly precarious given the negative ROE and high debt.

Positives
  • Consistent payout
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 90.91% leaves no room for error or reinvestment
  • Low dividend strength score (10/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$38.93
Analyst Target
$40.71
Upside/Downside
+4.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DAN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
DAN
Dana Incorporated
Primary
5Y
+62.0%
3Y
+198.7%
1Y
+217.1%
6M
+97.4%
1M
+15.7%
1W
+5.0%
MMY
MakeMyTrip Limited
Peer
5Y
+71.3%
3Y
+85.7%
1Y
-54.5%
6M
-51.1%
1M
-2.5%
1W
+16.6%
FTD
Frontdoor, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+4.2%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+45.2%
6M
-11.7%
1M
-10.8%
1W
+5.7%
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-28.9%
3Y
-18.0%
1Y
-4.7%
6M
-16.0%
1M
-9.5%
1W
+0.1%
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
5Y
+294.4%
3Y
+242.8%
1Y
-22.4%
6M
+4.3%
1M
-24.0%
1W
-7.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
10.41
PEG Ratio
4.21
P/B Ratio
5.2
P/S Ratio
0.57
EV/Revenue
0.98
EV/EBITDA
13.29
Market Cap
$4.27B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.13%
Operating Margin 4.23%
Gross Margin 8.03%
ROE -4.27%
ROA 1.61%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -20.04%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.94
High debt
Current Ratio
1.17
Good
Quick Ratio
0.49
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.32

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.9B
Gross Margin
9.6%
Op. Margin
4.4%
Net Margin
-2.7%
Total Assets
$7.8B
Liabilities
$6.9B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
8.22x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
85%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-27
$0.12
-68.6% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.18
-45.6% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.19
-10.1% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing DAN against 353 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 111 neutral, 219 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-4.27%
This Stock
vs
-48.88%
Sector Avg
-91.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.13%
This Stock
vs
-6.31%
Sector Avg
-118.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.94
This Stock
vs
1.54
Sector Avg
+156.0% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
5.2%
This Stock
vs
30.61%
Sector Avg
-83.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.17
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-51.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

FOSTER BYRON S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
20,914 shares
FOSTER BYRON S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
14,872 shares
LIEDBERG DOUGLAS H
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-13
17,597 shares
LIEDBERG DOUGLAS H
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-13
11,618 shares
KELLETT JAMES D.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
3,561 shares
KELLETT JAMES D.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
2,615 shares
KRAUS TIMOTHY R
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
31,688 shares
KRAUS TIMOTHY R
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-13
19,303 shares
WANDELL KEITH E.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-11
10,331 shares
MACK MICHAEL J JR
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-11
10,331 shares
HERNANDEZ ERNESTO M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-11
10,331 shares
FOSTER BYRON S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
21,078 shares
LIEDBERG DOUGLAS H
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-11
14,188 shares
O CONNELL DIARMUID B
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-11
10,331 shares
KELLETT JAMES D.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
2,871 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-04-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-03-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-02-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-02-19
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-19
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-01-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-01-22
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-22
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
UBS
2026-01-22
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DAN from our newsroom.

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