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DFH

NEUTRAL
$15.21 Live
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. · NYSE
Target $18.0 (+18.3%)
$13.22 52W Range $31.5
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$1.4B
P/E
7.11
ROE
14.4%
Profit margin
5.0%
Debt/Equity
1.02
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
DFH presents a classic value trap scenario: the company is fundamentally cheap with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 (Stable) and trades significantly below its Graham Number of $27.27. However, this valuation is offset by a severe collapse in growth, with YoY earnings plummeting 55% and revenue down 22.3%. While the current price of $15.21 aligns closely with the growth-based intrinsic value of $14.98, the combination of bearish insider activity and a 0/4 earnings beat record over the last year suggests limited near-term catalysts.

Key Strengths

Very low P/E ratio of 7.11 compared to sector average
Trading at or below book value (P/B 0.99)
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 7.18
Positive ROE of 14.38% despite earnings decline
Significant defensive margin relative to Graham Number ($27.27)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-55% YoY)
Consistent failure to meet analyst earnings estimates (0/4 beats)
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.4M in recent sales
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
High inventory dependency indicated by the gap between Current (7.18) and Quick (0.65) ratios
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.1
+5.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
85
Future
20
Past
40
Health
60
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Undervalued but deteriorating
Key drivers: Deep value metrics, Negative growth trajectory, Poor earnings surprises
Confidence
85%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E 7.11
  • P/S 0.32
  • Price < Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value is nearly equal to current price
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Low entry point
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -22.3%
  • Earnings growth -55%
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical periods of high EPS surprises
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1Y price change of -33.3%
  • Recent 4 quarters of earnings misses
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
  • High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity > 1.0
  • Low Quick Ratio
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.21
Analyst Target
$18.0
Upside/Downside
+18.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DFH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
DFH
Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-38.3%
3Y
-3.0%
1Y
-33.3%
6M
-34.5%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+2.6%
DCH
Dauch Corporation
Peer
5Y
-39.7%
3Y
-14.4%
1Y
+60.5%
6M
-8.5%
1M
-0.8%
1W
-2.9%
CRI
Carter's, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-55.4%
3Y
-37.3%
1Y
+0.6%
6M
+16.8%
1M
+6.5%
1W
-3.4%
OLP
Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.7%
3Y
-47.8%
1Y
+63.2%
6M
+65.8%
1M
+63.2%
1W
+0.5%
WIN
Winmark Corporation
Peer
5Y
+143.2%
3Y
+25.4%
1Y
+15.2%
6M
-3.9%
1M
-5.2%
1W
+4.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.11
Forward P/E
9.06
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.99
P/S Ratio
0.32
EV/Revenue
0.69
EV/EBITDA
10.44
Market Cap
$1.4B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.02%
Operating Margin 6.12%
Gross Margin 20.71%
ROE 14.38%
ROA 4.78%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -22.3%
Earnings Growth -55.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -22.3%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -54.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.02
Moderate
Current Ratio
7.18
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.57

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
16.5%
Op. Margin
6.2%
Net Margin
4.8%
Total Assets
$3.7B
Liabilities
$2.1B
Equity
$1.6B
Debt/Equity
1.35x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
95%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-23
$0.58
-9.4% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.47
-5.8% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.56
-8.4% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing DFH against 353 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 111 neutral, 219 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.11
This Stock
vs
34.01
Sector Avg
-79.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.38%
This Stock
vs
-48.88%
Sector Avg
-129.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.02%
This Stock
vs
-6.31%
Sector Avg
-179.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.02
This Stock
vs
1.54
Sector Avg
-33.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-22.3%
This Stock
vs
30.61%
Sector Avg
-172.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
7.18
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
+196.7% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
7.1
ROE
14.4%
Price
$15.21
DCH Dauch Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-3.3%
Price
$5.94
 Compare with DFH
CRI Carter's, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
14.7
ROE
10.3%
Price
$37.2
 Compare with DFH
OLPX Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-1.1%
Price
$2.04
 Compare with DFH
WINA Winmark Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
36.2
ROE
-%
Price
$400.3
 Compare with DFH

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WEATHERFORD WILLIAM
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
12,675 shares
UDELHOFEN JUSTIN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
7,760 shares
ZALUPSKI PATRICK O
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
287,119 shares
PAREKH MEGHA H
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
7,760 shares
RAMSAY LORENA ANABEL
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
67,254 shares
STURM LEONARD
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
7,760 shares
LOVETT WILLIAM RADFORD II
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-01-22
71,742 shares · $1,399,499
WEATHERFORD WILLIAM
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-19
218 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-16

DFH filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on April 16, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the company's upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-24

DFH filed its annual 10-K report on February 24, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk factors, as only section headers were included.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-23

DFH filed an 8-K on February 23, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-30

DFH filed a current report on December 30, 2025, likely providing year-end financial updates or corporate governance disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-12
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

DFH filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 30, 2025. The provided excerpt indicates the inclusion of a Risk Factors section (Item 1A), although specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

DFH filed an 8-K on October 30, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-05
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
8-K
2025-08-26
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-06-26
8-K
8-K
2025-06-12
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
1 analysts
Citizens
2026-01-07
init
Market Perform
Zelman & Assoc
2025-11-12
up
Neutral Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DFH from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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