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FIX

NEUTRAL
$1726.12 Live
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. · NYSE
Target $1848.6 (+7.1%)
$380.0 52W Range $1829.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$60.76B
P/E
49.74
ROE
53.3%
Profit margin
12.1%
Debt/Equity
0.45
Dividend yield
0.15%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) presents a dichotomy between exceptional operational performance and extreme valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the company boasts a stellar ROE of 53.29%, the stock is trading at a massive premium, with a current price of $1726.12 far exceeding its Graham Number ($119.71) and Intrinsic Value ($1023.65). Despite consistent earnings beats and strong analyst support, the combination of a 94.04 Price/Book ratio and aggressive insider selling suggests the stock is significantly overextended.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 53.29%
Consistent earnings track record with high average surprises (41.85% over last 4 quarters)
Strong balance sheet with low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45
Accelerating short-term growth with 56.47% Q/Q revenue growth
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' recommendation

Key Risks

Extreme valuation metrics, specifically a Price/Book ratio of 94.04
Heavy insider selling ($62.02M) with zero buy transactions in 6 months
Significant gap between current market price and defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Stagnant Year-over-Year revenue growth (1.00%) despite strong quarterly spikes
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential price correction
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1150.0
-33.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
15
Future
85
Past
95
Health
60
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Growth-Driven Bubble Risk
Key drivers: Hyper-growth price action, Extreme P/B ratio, Strong operational efficiency, Insider divestment
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E 49.74, PEG 1.44, Graham Number $119.71

Positives
  • Forward P/E is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 94.04 is unsustainable
  • Price is ~14x the Graham Number
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Strong Q/Q revenue and earnings growth
  • Consistent EPS beats
Watchpoints
  • YoY revenue growth is nearly flat (1%)
Past
95/100

Ref Historical price performance

Positives
  • Massive 5Y return of +2056.8%
  • Consistent upward trajectory in EPS
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
60/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.45)
  • Strong ROA (17.27%)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield 0.15%, Payout 6.5%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (6.5%) allows for growth
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.15%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$1726.12
Analyst Target
$1848.6
Upside/Downside
+7.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FIX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
FIX
Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+2056.8%
3Y
+1223.7%
1Y
+360.1%
6M
+76.0%
1M
+17.4%
1W
+4.6%
PCA
PACCAR Inc
Peer
5Y
+126.6%
3Y
+76.3%
1Y
+21.7%
6M
+19.7%
1M
-7.2%
1W
-0.3%
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+524.9%
3Y
+199.4%
1Y
+32.7%
6M
+24.6%
1M
-1.8%
1W
-3.5%
CMI
Cummins Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.6%
3Y
+98.6%
1Y
+29.8%
6M
+39.8%
1M
+9.3%
1W
-2.3%
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+120.4%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+1.2%
6M
-14.9%
1M
-5.1%
1W
+2.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
49.74
Forward P/E
39.36
PEG Ratio
1.44
P/B Ratio
94.04
P/S Ratio
6.0
EV/Revenue
6.22
EV/EBITDA
36.32
Market Cap
$60.76B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.07%
Operating Margin 7.89%
Gross Margin 25.13%
ROE 53.29%
ROA 17.27%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.0%
Earnings Growth +38.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +56.47%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +38.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.45
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.24
Good
Quick Ratio
1.18
Good
Cash/Share
$1.94

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$2.9B
Gross Margin
26.3%
Op. Margin
16.9%
Net Margin
12.9%
Total Assets
$6.9B
Liabilities
$4.1B
Equity
$2.8B
Debt/Equity
1.46x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
62%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-23
$N/A
2026-04-23
$10.51
+54.4% surprise
2026-02-19
$9.37
+38.7% surprise
2025-10-23
$8.25
+32.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing FIX against 442 companies in the Industrials sector (38 bullish, 159 neutral, 245 bearish)
P/E Ratio
49.74
This Stock
vs
75.66
Sector Avg
-34.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
53.29%
This Stock
vs
-20.3%
Sector Avg
-362.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.07%
This Stock
vs
6.49%
Sector Avg
+85.9% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.45
This Stock
vs
2.71
Sector Avg
-83.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.0%
This Stock
vs
74.93%
Sector Avg
-98.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.24
This Stock
vs
3.16
Sector Avg
-60.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MCKENNA TRENT TIMOTHY
President
Stock Award
2026-03-23
1,728 shares
GEORGE WILLIAMIII
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
1,361 shares
SHAEFF JULIE S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
414 shares
LANE BRIAN E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
5,188 shares
REED TERRENCE M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
463 shares
ESLICKER RACHEL R.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-23
217 shares
ANDERSON DARCY G
Director
Sell
2026-03-03
4,500 shares · $6,163,838
SHAEFF JULIE S
Officer
Sell
2026-03-03
2,287 shares · $3,160,974
REED TERRENCE M
Officer
Sell
2026-03-03
1,787 shares · $2,537,182
MYERS FRANKLIN
Director
Sell
2026-02-25
8,636 shares · $12,717,032
LANE BRIAN E
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-25
9,365 shares · $13,608,439
SANDBROOK WILLIAM J
Director
Sell
2026-02-24
2,500 shares · $3,608,294
SKIDMORE CONSTANCE ELLEN
Director
Sell
2026-02-24
1,000 shares · $1,425,000
GEORGE WILLIAMIII
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
9,000 shares · $12,914,748
GEORGE WILLIAMIII
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-23
9,000 shares · $382,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-23

FIX filed an 8-K on April 23, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-04-23

FIX filed its 10-Q on April 23, 2026, which includes disclosures regarding risk factors and the unregistered sale of equity securities. Specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpts.

DEF 14A
DEFINITIVE PROXY STATEMENT
2026-04-09

FIX filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on April 9, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-20

FIX filed an 8-K on February 20, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

FIX submitted its annual 10-K filing on February 19, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

FIX filed a current report on February 19, 2026, likely announcing its financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-19
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-28

FIX filed a Form 8-K on October 28, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-23

FIX filed an 8-K on October 23, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-23

FIX filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 23, 2025. The filing includes disclosures regarding risk factors and the unregistered sale of equity securities, though specific financial metrics were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-29
8-K
8-K
2025-07-24
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-24
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-22
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
5 analysts
GLJ Research
2026-04-21
init
Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Stifel
2026-01-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2025-12-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Stifel
2025-12-16
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FIX from our newsroom.

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