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GNRC

BEARISH
$220.3 Live
Generac Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $248.53 (+12.8%)
$109.2 52W Range $241.09

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$12.93B
P/E
81.9
ROE
6.3%
Profit margin
3.8%
Debt/Equity
0.52
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GNRC exhibits a severe disconnect between its current market price ($220.30) and its deterministic value markers, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a Graham Number of $52.11 suggesting massive overvaluation. While the balance sheet remains healthy with low debt and a strong current ratio, the company is facing significant headwinds including negative revenue growth (-11.60%) and a plummeting YoY EPS (-42.5%). The bearish sentiment is further reinforced by aggressive insider selling from the CEO and CFO and a very weak technical trend (10/100). Despite bullish analyst targets, the fundamental data suggests the stock is trading on speculative recovery rather than current performance.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.03
Manageable leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.52
Healthy Gross Margin of 38.29%
Strong analyst support with a 'Buy' consensus and target of $248.53
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+94.2%)

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap compared to Graham Number ($52.11) and Intrinsic Value ($18.83)
Negative revenue growth (-11.60% YoY) and severe EPS contraction (-42.5% YoY)
Negative operating margin (-0.85%) indicating inefficiency in core operations
Strong bearish insider activity, specifically from the CEO and CFO
Poor earnings track record with only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.4
-74.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
29
Weak
Value
15
Future
20
Past
50
Health
60
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued / Fundamental Decline
Key drivers: Valuation disconnect, Negative growth metrics, Insider selling, Operating losses
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E (21.10) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Trailing P/E of 81.90 is excessive
  • Price is >4x the Graham Number
  • Price is >11x the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target prices suggest expected recovery
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative (-11.60%)
  • EPS growth is sharply declining (-42.5%)
  • Recent earnings surprises are predominantly negative
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 1-year and 3-year price returns
Watchpoints
  • Negative 5-year change (-30.3%)
  • Inconsistent earnings beats over the last year
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity ratio
  • Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only mediocre/stable
  • Negative operating margin
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$220.3
Analyst Target
$248.53
Upside/Downside
+12.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GNRC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GNR
Generac Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
-30.3%
3Y
+115.5%
1Y
+94.2%
6M
+15.7%
1M
+13.3%
1W
+1.4%
ACM
AECOM
Peer
5Y
+88.1%
3Y
+14.2%
1Y
-9.5%
6M
-15.4%
1M
-0.1%
1W
-1.1%
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V.
Peer
5Y
-15.5%
3Y
-20.9%
1Y
-11.5%
6M
-4.9%
1M
-8.2%
1W
-3.2%
KTO
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+149.5%
3Y
+445.7%
1Y
+121.8%
6M
-25.7%
1M
-20.9%
1W
+4.5%
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
5Y
+14.6%
3Y
+12.0%
1Y
-23.3%
6M
-8.5%
1M
+20.1%
1W
+5.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
81.9
Forward P/E
21.1
PEG Ratio
1.07
P/B Ratio
4.91
P/S Ratio
3.07
EV/Revenue
3.32
EV/EBITDA
28.88
Market Cap
$12.93B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.79%
Operating Margin -0.85%
Gross Margin 38.29%
ROE 6.28%
ROA 3.38%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -11.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -11.6%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.52
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.03
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.78
Poor
Cash/Share
$5.82

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.1B
Gross Margin
36.3%
Op. Margin
-0.9%
Net Margin
-2.2%
Total Assets
$5.6B
Liabilities
$2.9B
Equity
$2.6B
Debt/Equity
1.11x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
69%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-11
$1.61
-9.0% surprise
2025-10-29
$1.83
-16.7% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.65
+24.6% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GNRC against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
81.9
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-16.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.28%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-132.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.79%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-43.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.52
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-80.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-11.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-116.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.03
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-34.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

JAGDFELD AARON P
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-04-01
5,000 shares · $999,050
JAGDFELD AARON P
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-05
5,000 shares · $1,084,750
JAGDFELD AARON P
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
18,820 shares
TAFFE NORMAN P
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
4,294 shares
RAGEN YORK A
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
4,357 shares
WILDE ERIK
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,462 shares
KANURU RAJENDRA KUMAR
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,478 shares
RAABE KYLE ANDREW
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
4,775 shares
TAFFE NORMAN P
Officer
Sell
2026-02-25
1,973 shares · $470,628
TAFFE NORMAN P
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-25
1,040 shares · $124,322
RAGEN YORK A
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-25
24,362 shares · $5,739,828
RAGEN YORK A
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-25
24,362 shares · $977,403
JAGDFELD AARON P
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-13
109,052 shares · $3,623,798
ZARCONE DOMINICK P
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
114 shares · $25,103
LAMPEREUR ANDREW G
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
142 shares · $31,268
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Citigroup
2026-04-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Canaccord Genuity
2026-04-01
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-03-27
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-03-26
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
B of A Securities
2026-03-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2026-03-26
reit
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-12
down
Buy Neutral
Barclays
2026-02-13
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Guggenheim
2026-02-12
down
Buy Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-02-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GNRC from our newsroom.

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