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GRBK

NEUTRAL
$70.87 Live
Green Brick Partners, Inc. · NYSE
Target $62.0 (-12.5%)
$56.59 52W Range $80.97

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$3.06B
P/E
10.02
ROE
18.9%
Profit margin
14.9%
Debt/Equity
0.17
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GRBK presents a conflicting profile characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a lack of Altman Z-Score data, indicating deteriorating fundamental health. While the company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with low debt (D/E 0.17) and high liquidity, it is currently facing a significant growth contraction with YoY earnings down 23%. The stock trades below its Graham Number ($81.66) but significantly above its growth-based intrinsic value ($49.49) and analyst target ($62.00). Overall, the strong historical performance and low valuation multiples are currently offset by negative growth trends and bearish insider sentiment.

Key Strengths

Very low Debt-to-Equity ratio (0.17) indicating minimal leverage risk
Exceptional Current Ratio (8.70) providing a massive liquidity cushion
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 18.92%
Low P/E ratio (10.02) relative to the Consumer Cyclical sector average
Strong long-term price appreciation (175.3% over 5 years)

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) signaling declining operational efficiency
Negative YoY Revenue (-2.60%) and Earnings (-23.00%) growth
Current price ($70.87) is a premium to the Intrinsic Value ($49.49)
Bearish insider activity with net selling and no recent buys
Significant gap between Current Ratio (8.70) and Quick Ratio (0.71), suggesting high inventory concentration
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$63.5
-10.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
70
Future
30
Past
85
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Underperforming Fundamentals
Key drivers: Negative growth trajectory, Low Piotroski score, Strong balance sheet, Low valuation multiples
Confidence
90%
Value
70/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 10.02 is very attractive
  • Price is below Graham Number of $81.66
Watchpoints
  • Price is 43% above growth-based intrinsic value
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • PEG ratio of 1.15 is reasonable
Watchpoints
  • YoY Earnings growth is -23%
  • Q/Q Revenue growth is negative
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 5Y and 3Y price returns
  • Consistent history of earnings beats over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarterly growth has turned negative
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Extremely low debt levels
  • High current ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 is in the 'Weak' category
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$70.87
Analyst Target
$62.0
Upside/Downside
-12.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GRBK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GRB
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+175.3%
3Y
+90.2%
1Y
+22.2%
6M
+4.7%
1M
+14.5%
1W
+0.5%
GBT
Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.0%
3Y
-4.5%
1Y
-15.9%
6M
-28.5%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-5.8%
LCI
Lucid Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-96.0%
3Y
-88.2%
1Y
-60.6%
6M
-59.9%
1M
-5.0%
1W
-8.0%
AEO
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-34.3%
3Y
+45.2%
1Y
+66.1%
6M
-2.9%
1M
-26.3%
1W
-4.8%
GEF
Greif, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+73.7%
3Y
+21.4%
1Y
+50.2%
6M
+37.2%
1M
-1.0%
1W
-6.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
10.02
Forward P/E
11.05
PEG Ratio
1.15
P/B Ratio
1.69
P/S Ratio
1.46
EV/Revenue
1.6
EV/EBITDA
8.09
Market Cap
$3.06B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 14.93%
Operating Margin 18.73%
Gross Margin 30.54%
ROE 18.92%
ROA 10.7%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.6%
Earnings Growth -23.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -2.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -24.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.17
Low debt
Current Ratio
8.7
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.71
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.58

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
29.3%
Op. Margin
18.7%
Net Margin
14.2%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$1.9B
Debt/Equity
0.32x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
98%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.78
+6.6% surprise
2025-10-29
$1.77
+20.0% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.85
-4.4% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing GRBK against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.02
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-70.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.92%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-143.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
14.93%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-376.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.17
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-88.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.6%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-109.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
8.7
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
+254.3% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SAMUEL BOBBY L III
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
8,902 shares
COX JEFFERY DEAN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
235 shares
BRICKMAN, JAMES R. A.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
6,138 shares
DOLSON JED
President
Stock Award
2026-03-03
3,720 shares
SUIT NEAL J
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-03
930 shares
SAMUEL BOBBY L III
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
930 shares
COX JEFFERY DEAN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
977 shares
COX JEFFERY DEAN
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-03-03
977 shares · $70,158
BLAKE ELIZABETH KILCULLEN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-02
4,412 shares
PRESS RICHARD S
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-02
2,036 shares
PRESS RICHARD S
Director
Sell
2026-03-02
2,500 shares · $180,050
BRICKMAN, JAMES R. A.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
18,757 shares
BRANDLER HARRY
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-02
3,665 shares
OLSEN KATHLEEN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-02
2,715 shares
DOLSON JED
President
Stock Award
2026-03-02
14,068 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GRBK from our newsroom.

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