GXO

NEUTRAL

$57.15 Live

GXO Logistics, Inc. · NYSE

Target $71.56 (+25.2%)

$34.8 52W Range $66.85

GXO GXO Logistics, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

GXO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics

Current Price Live

$57.15

Analyst Target

$71.56

+25.2% Upside

52W High

$66.85

52W Low

$34.8

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026

Market cap

$6.57B

P/E

204.11

ROE

1.2%

Profit margin

0.2%

Debt/Equity

1.94

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

75%

GXO presents a stark contrast between deterministic value metrics and forward-looking analyst sentiment. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre financial health, while the current price of $57.15 trades at a massive premium to the Graham Number ($12.81) and Intrinsic Value ($1.96). However, the dramatic collapse from a trailing P/E of 204.11 to a forward P/E of 16.49 suggests a significant expected earnings recovery. While the company has a stellar 20-quarter track record of beating estimates, liquidity concerns (Current Ratio 0.85) and negative YoY earnings growth temper the bullish analyst consensus.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings track record with consistent beats over 20 quarters

Attractive Forward P/E (16.49) compared to trailing metrics

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.50) suggesting efficient revenue generation relative to market cap

Strong 1-year price performance (+59%) indicating market momentum

Strong analyst consensus (Strong Buy) with a target price of $71.56

Key Risks

Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.85 and Quick Ratio of 0.75

Significant negative YoY earnings growth (-55.50%)

High Debt/Equity ratio (1.94) increasing financial leverage risk

Extreme valuation gap between current price and Graham/Intrinsic value

Bearish technical trend score (0/100) despite recent price gains

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$42.5

-25.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Speculative Growth

Key drivers: Forward P/E compression, Earnings beat consistency, Liquidity constraints

Confidence

80%

Value

20/100

Trades at a significant premium to defensive fair value; valuation is based entirely on future growth.

Positives

Low Price/Sales (0.50)

Watchpoints

Price far exceeds Graham Number ($12.81)
Trailing P/E is extremely high (204.11)

Future

75/100

Market is pricing in a massive earnings rebound.

Positives

Forward P/E of 16.49
Strong analyst target price ($71.56)

Watchpoints

Negative YoY earnings growth

Past

85/100

Historically reliable at exceeding analyst expectations.

Positives

Consistent EPS surprises over 20 quarters
Strong 1Y price appreciation

Watchpoints

Recent Q/Q earnings volatility

Health

45/100

Liquidity is tight, though debt levels are comparable to sector averages.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Current Ratio < 1.0
High Debt/Equity (1.94)

Dividend

0/100

Company reinvests all capital; no yield for income investors.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$57.15

Analyst Target

$71.56

Upside/Downside

+25.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GXO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
GXO GXO Logistics, Inc. Primary	+4.9%	+7.6%	+59.0%	+4.5%	+15.1%	-3.6%
ADT ADT Inc. Peer	+1.2%	+0.3%	+11.5%	-3.6%	-0.6%	-2.7%
MIDD The Middleby Corporation Peer	-13.1%	+2.5%	+8.1%	+8.1%	-0.4%	+5.6%
AAON AAON, Inc. Peer	+72.1%	+40.5%	+7.6%	+2.2%	-18.3%	-5.0%
FLR Fluor Corporation Peer	+114.9%	+67.2%	+35.5%	-1.5%	+0.6%	-0.7%

GXO

GXO Logistics, Inc.

Primary

+4.9%

+7.6%

+59.0%

+4.5%

+15.1%

-3.6%

ADT

ADT Inc.

Peer

+1.2%

+0.3%

+11.5%

-3.6%

-0.6%

-2.7%

MID

The Middleby Corporation

Peer

-13.1%

+2.5%

+8.1%

-0.4%

+5.6%

AAO

AAON, Inc.

Peer

+72.1%

+40.5%

+7.6%

+2.2%

-18.3%

-5.0%

FLR

Fluor Corporation

Peer

+114.9%

+67.2%

+35.5%

-1.5%

+0.6%

-0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

204.11

16.49

1.56

2.19

0.5

0.88

12.86

$6.57B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.24%

Operating Margin 4.05%

Gross Margin 15.09%

ROE 1.19%

ROA 2.36%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.9%

Earnings Growth -55.5%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.91%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -57.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

1.94

High debt

Current Ratio

0.85

Weak

Quick Ratio

0.75

Poor

Cash/Share

$7.45

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$3.5B

Gross Margin

12.1%

Op. Margin

3.9%

Net Margin

1.2%

Total Assets

$12.3B

Liabilities

$9.2B

Equity

$3.0B

Debt/Equity

3.10x

Operating CF

$0.2B

CapEx

$-0.1B

Free Cash Flow

$0.1B

FCF Yield

68%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05

$N/A

2026-02-10

$0.87

+4.2% surprise

2025-11-04

$0.79

+0.8% surprise

2025-08-05

$0.57

+2.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GXO against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)

P/E Ratio

204.11

This Stock

98.24

Sector Avg

+107.8% (Expensive)

Return on Equity (ROE)

1.19%

This Stock

-19.38%

Sector Avg

-106.1% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

0.24%

This Stock

6.65%

Sector Avg

-96.3% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

1.94

This Stock

2.63

Sector Avg

-26.3% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

7.9%

This Stock

71.29%

Sector Avg

-88.9% (Slower)

Current Ratio

0.85

This Stock

3.09

Sector Avg

-72.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
GXO GXO Logistics, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$6.57B	204.11	1.2%	0.2%	$57.15
ADT ADT Inc.	NEUTRAL	$6.59B	11.31	17.2%	12.5%	$8.03	Compare
MIDD The Middleby Corporation	NEUTRAL	$6.73B	20.25	11.5%	-8.7%	$142.54	Compare
AAON AAON, Inc.	BEARISH	$6.85B	65.04	12.5%	7.5%	$83.9	Compare
FLR Fluor Corporation	BEARISH	$6.9B	-	-1.7%	-0.3%	$48.23	Compare

GXO GXO Logistics, Inc.

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$6.6B

P/E

204.1

ROE

1.2%

Price

$57.15

Compare with GXO

Compare with GXO

Compare with GXO

FLR Fluor Corporation

Compare with GXO

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-04-08	REFSGAARD CORINNA	Officer	Stock Award	2,676	-
2026-04-01	FOGARTY ELIZABETH	Officer	Stock Award	937	-
2026-04-01	KIRSIS KARLIS P.	Officer	Stock Award	2,083	-
2026-03-06	BLANCHETT PAUL	Officer	Stock Award	8,429	-
2026-03-06	ORAN BARIS	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	11,376	-
2026-03-06	FOGARTY ELIZABETH	Officer	Stock Award	13,596	-
2026-03-06	KIRSIS KARLIS P.	Officer	Stock Award	13,274	-
2026-03-06	REFSGAARD CORINNA	Officer	Stock Award	10,499	-
2026-01-30	BLANCHETT PAUL	Officer	Stock Award	2,750	-
2026-01-15	BLANCHETT PAUL	Officer	Stock Award	2,953	-
2026-01-15	ORAN BARIS	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	16,540	-
2026-01-15	FOGARTY ELIZABETH	Officer	Stock Award	3,544	-
2026-01-15	KIRSIS KARLIS P.	Officer	Stock Award	5,906	-
2026-01-15	CAWSTON RICHARD	Officer	Stock Award	11,165	-
2025-11-28	COOPER TODD CHRISTOPHER	Director	Purchase	6,000	$303,540

REFSGAARD CORINNA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-04-08

2,676 shares

FOGARTY ELIZABETH

Officer

Stock Award

2026-04-01

937 shares

KIRSIS KARLIS P.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-04-01

2,083 shares

BLANCHETT PAUL

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

8,429 shares

ORAN BARIS

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

11,376 shares

FOGARTY ELIZABETH

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

13,596 shares

KIRSIS KARLIS P.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

13,274 shares

REFSGAARD CORINNA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

10,499 shares

BLANCHETT PAUL

Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-30

2,750 shares

BLANCHETT PAUL

Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-15

2,953 shares

ORAN BARIS

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-15

16,540 shares

FOGARTY ELIZABETH

Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-15

3,544 shares

KIRSIS KARLIS P.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-15

5,906 shares

CAWSTON RICHARD

Officer

Stock Award

2026-01-15

11,165 shares

COOPER TODD CHRISTOPHER

Director

Buy

2025-11-28

6,000 shares · $303,540

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A

2026-04-22

GXO filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 22, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-03-06

GXO likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results in this 8-K filing.

10-K

2026-02-25

GXO filed its annual 10-K on February 25, 2026, which includes detailed sections on its business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and risk metrics were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K

2026-02-10

GXO reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

2026-02-10

GXO reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-01-29

GXO likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2025-12-15

8-K

2025-12-12

8-K

FORM 8-K

2025-11-24

GXO likely filed this 8-K to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q

2025-11-06

GXO filed its 10-Q on November 6, 2025. The filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-11-04

8-K

2025-11-04

8-K

2025-10-29

10-Q

2025-08-06

8-K

2025-08-05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

STRONG_BUY

16 analysts

UBS

2026-02-12

Maintains

Buy Buy

Wells Fargo

2026-02-12

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Truist Securities

2026-02-12

Maintains

Buy Buy

Citigroup

2026-02-11

Maintains

Buy Buy

Citigroup

2026-01-08

Maintains

Buy Buy

Susquehanna

2026-01-08

Maintains

Positive Positive

Stifel

2025-12-16

Maintains

Buy Buy

Morgan Stanley

2025-12-08

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

JP Morgan

2025-11-06

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GXO from our newsroom.

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GXO

GXO GXO Logistics, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Industrials Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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