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MIDD

NEUTRAL
$142.54 Live
The Middleby Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $185.25 (+30.0%)
$110.82 52W Range $169.44

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$6.73B
P/E
20.25
ROE
11.5%
Profit margin
-8.7%
Debt/Equity
0.82
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
The Middleby Corporation presents a conflicted profile: a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 2.57) are offset by severe short-term growth contraction. The stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($94.81) and Intrinsic Value ($49.28), suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery not yet reflected in the data. While operating margins remain healthy at 18.81%, the negative net profit margin and sharp declines in YoY revenue and earnings growth are primary concerns.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.57
Healthy Operating Margin of 18.81% despite net losses
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates (3 of last 4 quarters)
Positive analyst sentiment with a target price of $185.25

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -64.20%
Negative net profit margin (-8.68%)
Significant revenue decline (YoY -14.50%, Q/Q -67.00%)
Trading at a steep premium to deterministic fair value estimates
Lack of dividend yield providing no downside cushion
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$102.5
-28.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
60
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Recovery
Key drivers: Severe growth decline, Valuation gap, Strong operating efficiency, Analyst optimism
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E (13.64) is lower than current P/E (20.25)
Watchpoints
  • Price ($142.54) is far above Graham Number ($94.81)
  • Price is nearly 3x the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($49.28)
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price suggests 30% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -14.50% YoY
  • Earnings growth -64.20% YoY
  • Q/Q revenue collapse of -67.00%
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long-term history of earnings beats
  • Positive 1Y price return (+8.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor 5Y change (-13.1%)
Health
55/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.82)
  • High Current Ratio (2.57)
Watchpoints
  • Negative net profit margin
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$142.54
Analyst Target
$185.25
Upside/Downside
+30.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MIDD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-13
MID
The Middleby Corporation
Primary
5Y
-13.1%
3Y
+2.5%
1Y
+8.1%
6M
+8.1%
1M
-0.4%
1W
+5.6%
AAO
AAON, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+72.1%
3Y
+40.5%
1Y
+7.6%
6M
+2.2%
1M
-18.3%
1W
-5.0%
ADT
ADT Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1.2%
3Y
+0.3%
1Y
+11.5%
6M
-3.6%
1M
-0.6%
1W
-2.7%
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
5Y
+64.5%
3Y
+54.2%
1Y
+38.3%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+0.2%
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-54.1%
3Y
-22.8%
1Y
+8.1%
6M
-1.2%
1M
-11.1%
1W
+3.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
20.25
Forward P/E
13.64
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.51
P/S Ratio
2.1
EV/Revenue
2.75
EV/EBITDA
12.65
Market Cap
$6.73B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -8.68%
Operating Margin 18.81%
Gross Margin 39.11%
ROE 11.45%
ROA 5.48%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -14.5%
Earnings Growth -64.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -67.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -67.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.82
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.57
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.8
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.74

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
51.8%
Op. Margin
38.9%
Net Margin
11.0%
Total Assets
$6.3B
Liabilities
$3.5B
Equity
$2.8B
Debt/Equity
1.27x
Operating CF
$0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
102%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$2.42
+7.2% surprise
2025-11-06
$2.37
+14.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$2.35
+5.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MIDD against 240 companies in the Industrials sector (19 bullish, 87 neutral, 134 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.25
This Stock
vs
83.58
Sector Avg
-75.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.45%
This Stock
vs
-11.14%
Sector Avg
-202.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-8.68%
This Stock
vs
16.29%
Sector Avg
-153.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.82
This Stock
vs
3.38
Sector Avg
-75.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-14.5%
This Stock
vs
28.16%
Sector Avg
-151.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.57
This Stock
vs
3.22
Sector Avg
-20.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

POOL JAMES KELLY III
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
4,130 shares
SPITTLE STEVEN P.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
4,130 shares
FUCHSEN MATTHEW R
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
2,345 shares
CERWIN BRITTANY C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
1,807 shares
FITZGERALD TIMOTHY JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
10,579 shares
MITTELMAN BRYAN E
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
3,012 shares
SHAH TEJAS P.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
BOWERMAN JULIE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
O BRIEN GORDON J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
EISENBERG GLENN A
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
HIX CHRISTOPHER M
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
PALISI CHAPIN SARAH
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
SCHERGER STEPHEN R.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
MCCARTHY CATHY L
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
GARDEN EDWARD P
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
1,161 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-10
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keybanc
2026-02-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Baird
2026-02-27
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-24
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2026-01-14
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Jefferies
2025-12-10
up
Hold Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-11-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Canaccord Genuity
2025-11-07
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MIDD from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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