HWM
NEUTRAL
$241.7
Live
Howmet Aerospace Inc. · NYSE
Target $280.65
(+16.1%)
$134.81
52W Range
$267.31
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$96.91B
P/E
65.32
ROE
30.4%
Profit margin
18.3%
Debt/Equity
0.6
Dividend yield
0.2%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HWM exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a lack of strong momentum in financial health despite exceptional operational performance. The stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($33.31) and Intrinsic Value ($109.15), though a PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests that high growth expectations are partially justified. While the earnings track record is nearly flawless over 25 quarters, bearish insider selling and a weak technical trend (10/100) create significant short-term headwinds. The disconnect between the 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus and the deterministic value scores suggests a high-risk growth play rather than a value investment.
Key Strengths
Exceptional earnings consistency with beats in 3 of the last 4 quarters and a long-term track record of surprises
Strong profitability metrics including an ROE of 30.44% and Operating Margin of 26.34%
Robust growth profile with 20.30% YoY earnings growth and a PEG ratio below 1.0
Healthy balance sheet with a low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 and a Current Ratio of 2.13
Strong analyst backing with a target price of $280.65 and a 'strong_buy' recommendation
Key Risks
Severe valuation premium with a P/E of 65.32 and Price/Book of 18.13
Bearish insider sentiment with $11.62M in net selling by officers
Weak technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential price correction or consolidation
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) indicating stagnant or declining efficiency/liquidity trends
Negligible dividend yield (0.20%) providing no floor for long-term holders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$160.0
-33.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
55
Moderate
20
85
95
50
25
AI Verdict
Growth-Driven Premium
Key drivers: Consistent EPS beats, High ROE, Extreme valuation gap, Bearish insider activity
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 65.32, PEG 0.80, Graham Number $33.31
Positives
- PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests growth justifies some premium
Watchpoints
- P/E of 65.32 is very high
- Price is >2x the growth-based intrinsic value
- Price/Book of 18.13 is extreme
Future
85/100
Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets
Positives
- Consistent YoY earnings growth of 20.30%
- Strong revenue growth of 14.60%
- High analyst target price ($280.65)
Watchpoints
- High expectations are already priced in
Past
95/100
Ref Historical price and EPS trends
Positives
- 5-year price change of +663.2%
- Flawless earnings surprise track record over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
50/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.60
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.60)
- Strong Current Ratio (2.13)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable' and lacks strength
Dividend
25/100
Ref Yield 0.20%, Payout 11.86%
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (11.86%) indicates room for growth
Watchpoints
- Yield of 0.20% is negligible
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$241.7
Analyst Target
$280.65
Upside/Downside
+16.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HWM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Primary
|
+663.2% | +450.7% | +77.7% | +19.9% | +6.1% | -5.5% |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Peer
|
+106.1% | +46.3% | +25.6% | +9.9% | -7.1% | -3.6% |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc
Peer
|
+193.4% | +145.3% | +2.9% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -3.8% |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
Peer
|
-32.4% | -29.5% | +19.1% | +25.1% | +14.2% | +1.1% |
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation
Peer
|
+40.1% | +67.7% | +52.2% | +51.8% | -6.6% | +0.8% |
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Primary
5Y
+663.2%
3Y
+450.7%
1Y
+77.7%
6M
+19.9%
1M
+6.1%
1W
-5.5%
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Peer
5Y
+106.1%
3Y
+46.3%
1Y
+25.6%
6M
+9.9%
1M
-7.1%
1W
-3.6%
TT
Trane Technologies plc
Peer
5Y
+193.4%
3Y
+145.3%
1Y
+2.9%
6M
-2.1%
1M
-1.0%
1W
-3.8%
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-32.4%
3Y
-29.5%
1Y
+19.1%
6M
+25.1%
1M
+14.2%
1W
+1.1%
FDX
FedEx Corporation
Peer
5Y
+40.1%
3Y
+67.7%
1Y
+52.2%
6M
+51.8%
1M
-6.6%
1W
+0.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
65.32
Forward P/E
43.04
PEG Ratio
0.8
P/B Ratio
18.13
P/S Ratio
11.74
EV/Revenue
12.04
EV/EBITDA
41.62
Market Cap
$96.91B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
18.27%
Operating Margin
26.34%
Gross Margin
34.17%
ROE
30.44%
ROA
12.13%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+14.6%
Earnings Growth
+20.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+14.65%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+18.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.6
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.13
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.87
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.85
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$2.2B
Gross Margin
34.9%
Op. Margin
25.9%
Net Margin
17.2%
Total Assets
$11.2B
Liabilities
$5.8B
Equity
$5.4B
Debt/Equity
1.09x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.5B
FCF Yield
81%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-12
$1.05
+8.7% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.95
+4.7% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.91
+4.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing HWM against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
65.32
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-33.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
30.44%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-257.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.27%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+174.7%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.6
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-77.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
14.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-79.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.13
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-30.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $96.91B | 65.32 | 30.4% | 18.3% | $241.7 | |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $93.31B | 22.6 | 26.2% | 10.0% | $656.98 | Compare |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc
|
BULLISH | $92.72B | 31.95 | 37.2% | 13.9% | $418.16 | Compare |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $91.97B | 16.5 | 33.8% | 6.3% | $108.24 | Compare |
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $85.98B | 19.23 | 15.9% | 4.9% | $360.32 | Compare |
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$96.9B
P/E
65.3
ROE
30.4%
Price
$241.7
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | ARENA JONATHAN A | Officer | Stock Award | 3,544 | - |
| 2026-04-02 | CANTIE JOSEPH S. | Director | Stock Award | 155 | $36,065 |
| 2026-02-26 | SHULTZ BARBARA LOU | Officer | Sale | 1,000 | $260,005 |
| 2026-02-18 | MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD | Officer | Sale | 45,150 | $11,364,427 |
| 2026-02-17 | WINTERLICH PATRICK J | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 3,168 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | SHULTZ BARBARA LOU | Officer | Stock Award | 446 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | CHANATRY MICHAEL NIEM | Officer | Stock Award | 2,693 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD | Officer | Stock Award | 3,881 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | PLANT JOHN C | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 22,333 | - |
| 2026-02-03 | SHULTZ BARBARA LOU | Officer | Stock Award | 4,076 | - |
| 2026-02-03 | CHANATRY MICHAEL NIEM | Officer | Stock Award | 16,764 | - |
| 2026-02-03 | MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD | Officer | Stock Award | 50,292 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | CANTIE JOSEPH S. | Director | Stock Award | 158 | $33,641 |
| 2026-01-05 | LEDUC ROBERT F. | Director | Stock Award | 28 | $5,962 |
| 2026-01-05 | MILLER JODY G | Director | Stock Award | 158 | $33,641 |
ARENA JONATHAN A
Officer
2026-04-15
3,544 shares
CANTIE JOSEPH S.
Director
2026-04-02
155 shares
·
$36,065
SHULTZ BARBARA LOU
Officer
2026-02-26
1,000 shares
·
$260,005
MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD
Officer
2026-02-18
45,150 shares
·
$11,364,427
WINTERLICH PATRICK J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-17
3,168 shares
SHULTZ BARBARA LOU
Officer
2026-02-17
446 shares
CHANATRY MICHAEL NIEM
Officer
2026-02-17
2,693 shares
MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD
Officer
2026-02-17
3,881 shares
PLANT JOHN C
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-17
22,333 shares
SHULTZ BARBARA LOU
Officer
2026-02-03
4,076 shares
CHANATRY MICHAEL NIEM
Officer
2026-02-03
16,764 shares
MARCHUK NEIL EDWARD
Officer
2026-02-03
50,292 shares
CANTIE JOSEPH S.
Director
2026-01-05
158 shares
·
$33,641
LEDUC ROBERT F.
Director
2026-01-05
28 shares
·
$5,962
MILLER JODY G
Director
2026-01-05
158 shares
·
$33,641
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-K
8-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
21 analysts
Citigroup
2026-04-02
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-04-01
Equal-Weight
BTIG
2026-03-17
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2026-03-11
Outperform
Outperform
B of A Securities
2026-02-20
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2026-02-19
Overweight
Overweight
BTIG
2026-02-18
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-02-17
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-17
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-17
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HWM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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