MGM
NEUTRAL
$39.27
Live
MGM Resorts International · NYSE
Target $42.67
(+8.6%)
$29.19
52W Range
$40.94
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$10.05B
P/E
51.67
ROE
14.9%
Profit margin
1.2%
Debt/Equity
9.63
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
MGM presents a dichotomy between explosive earnings recovery and precarious financial leverage. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre financial health, the company is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($12.68) and Intrinsic Value ($22.42). Massive YoY earnings growth (115.7%) and a favorable PEG ratio (0.97) suggest strong momentum, but these are offset by an alarming Debt/Equity ratio of 9.63 and thin net profit margins.
Key Strengths
Explosive earnings growth (YoY EPS +115.7%)
Attractive PEG ratio (0.97) suggesting growth justifies valuation
Strong earnings beat track record (3/4 recent quarters)
Significant compression in Forward P/E (16.97) vs Current P/E (51.67)
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $42.67
Key Risks
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.63
Very thin net profit margins (1.17%)
Current price ($39.27) is significantly overvalued relative to Graham and Intrinsic baselines
Bearish technical trend (10/100) and negative insider sentiment
Lack of dividend yield providing no floor for long-term investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$24.5
-37.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
42
Moderate
30
85
60
35
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Recovery
Key drivers: Earnings growth, Debt levels, Valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Price/Sales (0.57)
Watchpoints
- Price far exceeds Graham Number ($12.68)
- High P/B ratio (4.17)
- Current P/E is elevated at 51.67
Future
85/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Massive Q/Q EPS growth (+566.7%)
- Strong Forward P/E outlook
- Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Modest revenue growth (6%) compared to earnings spikes
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Successful recovery from 2020-2022 losses
- Strong 1Y price performance (+23.5%)
Watchpoints
- Negative 5Y and 3Y total returns
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
- Extreme Debt/Equity ratio (9.63)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 Dividend Strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$39.27
Analyst Target
$42.67
Upside/Downside
+8.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MGM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-29
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MGM
MGM Resorts International
Primary
|
-3.5% | -14.7% | +23.5% | +25.8% | +10.2% | +0.1% |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
Peer
|
+66.2% | +78.1% | +0.1% | +2.5% | -4.9% | -1.9% |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
Peer
|
+34.0% | +26.8% | +50.3% | +33.5% | +5.0% | +1.1% |
|
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
|
+62.6% | +63.5% | +28.6% | +8.9% | +5.9% | +0.4% |
|
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Peer
|
+74.6% | +53.9% | +2.6% | -8.8% | -3.7% | -2.0% |
MGM
MGM Resorts International
Primary
5Y
-3.5%
3Y
-14.7%
1Y
+23.5%
6M
+25.8%
1M
+10.2%
1W
+0.1%
BRO
Dutch Bros Inc.
Peer
5Y
+66.2%
3Y
+78.1%
1Y
+0.1%
6M
+2.5%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-1.9%
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
Peer
5Y
+34.0%
3Y
+26.8%
1Y
+50.3%
6M
+33.5%
1M
+5.0%
1W
+1.1%
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.6%
3Y
+63.5%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+8.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+0.4%
TXR
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+74.6%
3Y
+53.9%
1Y
+2.6%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-2.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
51.67
Forward P/E
16.97
PEG Ratio
0.97
P/B Ratio
4.17
P/S Ratio
0.57
EV/Revenue
2.29
EV/EBITDA
17.06
Market Cap
$10.05B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.17%
Operating Margin
7.06%
Gross Margin
44.42%
ROE
14.89%
ROA
2.0%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+6.0%
Earnings Growth
+115.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+5.95%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+86.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
9.63
High debt
Current Ratio
1.23
Good
Quick Ratio
1.03
Good
Cash/Share
$8.88
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$4.6B
Gross Margin
44.0%
Op. Margin
7.1%
Net Margin
6.4%
Total Assets
$41.4B
Liabilities
$38.1B
Equity
$2.4B
Debt/Equity
15.68x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
FCF Yield
55%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-05
$1.6
+209.1% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.24
-19.9% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.79
+44.0% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.69
+54.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing MGM against 430 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(26 bullish, 155 neutral, 249 bearish)
P/E Ratio
51.67
This Stock
vs
32.39
Sector Avg
+59.5%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.89%
This Stock
vs
-50.12%
Sector Avg
-129.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.17%
This Stock
vs
-5.66%
Sector Avg
-120.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
9.63
This Stock
vs
1.6
Sector Avg
+500.7%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
6.0%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
-77.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.23
This Stock
vs
2.51
Sector Avg
-50.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MGM
MGM Resorts International
|
NEUTRAL | $10.05B | 51.67 | 14.9% | 1.2% | $39.27 | |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $10.04B | 124.43 | 11.7% | 4.0% | $60.97 | Compare |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
|
BEARISH | $10.32B | 67.2 | 3.0% | 0.9% | $47.71 | Compare |
|
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $9.75B | 13.03 | 31.0% | 7.1% | $126.94 | Compare |
|
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $10.62B | 26.4 | 29.0% | 6.9% | $161.05 | Compare |
MGM
MGM Resorts International
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$10.0B
P/E
51.7
ROE
14.9%
Price
$39.27
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | IAC INC. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 1,000,000 | $37,223,500 |
| 2026-03-09 | MEISTER KEITH A | Director | Sale | 37,500 | $1,285,125 |
| 2026-02-27 | MOLINO AYESHA KHANNA | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 299 | - |
| 2026-02-24 | HALKYARD JONATHAN S | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,083 | - |
| 2026-02-24 | HORNBUCKLE WILLIAM J IV | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 12,340 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | IAC INC. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 1,098,748 | $39,884,552 |
| 2025-12-01 | FRITZ GARY M | Officer | Stock Award | 15,005 | - |
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-03-24
1,000,000 shares
·
$37,223,500
MEISTER KEITH A
Director
2026-03-09
37,500 shares
·
$1,285,125
MOLINO AYESHA KHANNA
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-27
299 shares
HALKYARD JONATHAN S
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-24
6,083 shares
HORNBUCKLE WILLIAM J IV
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-24
12,340 shares
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2025-12-05
1,098,748 shares
·
$39,884,552
FRITZ GARY M
Officer
2025-12-01
15,005 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
10-Q
8-K
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
18 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-16
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-04-16
Underweight
Underweight
UBS
2026-04-10
Neutral
Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-08
Underweight
Underweight
Citigroup
2026-02-09
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-02-06
Neutral
Neutral
Stifel
2026-02-06
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2026-02-06
Hold
Hold
Macquarie
2026-02-06
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-16
Equal-Weight
Underweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MGM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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