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MO

BEARISH
$68.2 Live
Altria Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $65.58 (-3.8%)
$54.7 52W Range $70.51

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$114.02B
P/E
16.55
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
34.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
6.22%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Altria Group presents a precarious financial profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a severe valuation disconnect. The stock is trading at $68.20, which is significantly above its growth-based intrinsic value of $28.84. Most concerning is the dividend payout ratio of 100.97%, indicating that the dividend is currently unsustainable based on earnings. Combined with negative revenue and earnings growth, the company appears to be in a value-trap scenario despite its high profit margins.

Key Strengths

Exceptional gross margins (87.34%)
Strong profit margins (34.49%)
High Return on Assets (27.32%)
Strong 5-year price appreciation (+110.8%)
Dominant market position in the tobacco industry

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (100.97%)
Severe earnings contraction (-62.90% YoY)
Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($28.84)
Poor liquidity with a current ratio of 0.65
Negative revenue growth indicating a shrinking core market
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.5
-52.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
34
Weak
Value
20
Future
15
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued Value Trap
Key drivers: Dividend sustainability risk, Negative growth trajectory, Massive gap between price and intrinsic value
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Intrinsic Value

Positives
  • Forward P/E (11.73) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is >2x intrinsic value
  • Negative Price/Book ratio indicates negative equity
  • High Price/Sales (5.66)
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative (-0.50%)
  • Earnings growth is crashing (-62.90%)
  • PEG ratio (1.73) is high for a low-growth company
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong long-term price performance (5Y +110.8%)
  • Consistent historical earnings beats
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarterly earnings progression is declining
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Current Ratio

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is considered stable
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio (0.65) and Quick ratio (0.52) are well below 1.0
  • Negative equity structure
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High absolute yield (6.22%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio exceeds 100%, meaning earnings do not cover the dividend

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$68.2
Analyst Target
$65.58
Upside/Downside
-3.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+110.8%
3Y
+80.5%
1Y
+24.2%
6M
+13.9%
1M
+1.8%
1W
+4.6%
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Peer
5Y
+131.6%
3Y
+96.1%
1Y
+69.8%
6M
+16.4%
1M
+4.7%
1W
+1.6%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
Peer
5Y
+15.0%
3Y
+23.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+9.5%
1W
+1.9%
MDL
Mondelez International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+7.3%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
-8.9%
6M
-5.2%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+0.2%
MNS
Monster Beverage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+70.6%
3Y
+45.3%
1Y
+27.4%
6M
+13.4%
1M
+3.9%
1W
+2.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.55
Forward P/E
11.73
PEG Ratio
1.73
P/B Ratio
-32.6
P/S Ratio
5.66
EV/Revenue
6.72
EV/EBITDA
8.67
Market Cap
$114.02B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 34.49%
Operating Margin 116.7%
Gross Margin 87.34%
ROE N/A
ROA 27.32%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -0.5%
Earnings Growth -62.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.53%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -63.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.65
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.68

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$5.1B
Gross Margin
71.5%
Op. Margin
57.3%
Net Margin
22.0%
Total Assets
$35.0B
Liabilities
$38.5B
Equity
$-3.5B
Debt/Equity
-10.98x
Operating CF
$3.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$3.2B
FCF Yield
97%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-01-29
$1.3
-1.3% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.41
-1.8% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.44
+4.0% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing MO against 190 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (10 bullish, 68 neutral, 112 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.55
This Stock
vs
36.04
Sector Avg
-54.1% (Discount)
Profit Margin
34.49%
This Stock
vs
-7.45%
Sector Avg
-563.0% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-0.5%
This Stock
vs
100.36%
Sector Avg
-100.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.65
This Stock
vs
2.24
Sector Avg
-71.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
Sell
2026-03-05
27,908 shares · $1,885,718
MANCUSO SALVATORE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
17,166 shares
WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
9,711 shares
BEGLEY JODY L
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
17,166 shares
NEWMAN HEATHER A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
11,822 shares
MCCARTER ROBERT A. III
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-26
5,767 shares
GIFFORD WILLIAM F JR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
70,364 shares
MANCUSO SALVATORE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
25,376 shares
WHITAKER CHARLES N
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
13,534 shares
BEGLEY JODY L
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
22,448 shares
NEWMAN HEATHER A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
11,973 shares
MCCARTER ROBERT A. III
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-25
22,448 shares
PATTERSON KATIE F.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
1,432 shares
MUNOZ GEORGE
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-13
2,078 shares · $139,746
GIFFORD WILLIAM F JR
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-02-04
15,700 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-02

Altria Group (MO) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25

Altria Group (MO) filed its 10-K on February 25, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors for analysis.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

Altria Group, Inc. filed an 8-K to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

Altria Group, Inc. filed an 8-K to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-11
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

Altria Group (MO) filed its 10-Q quarterly report on October 30, 2025. The filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

Altria Group, Inc. likely reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-09

Altria Group, Inc. filed an 8-K on October 9, 2025, likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-06

Altria Group, Inc. likely reported its second-quarter financial results for 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-30
8-K
8-K
2025-07-30

Altria Group, Inc. announced its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-23
8-K
8-K
2025-06-03
8-K
8-K
2025-05-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-29
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
12 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-04-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-03-09
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-02-23
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Citigroup
2026-02-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Stifel
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-09
up
Neutral Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MO from our newsroom.

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