No connection

Search Results

MUSA

NEUTRAL
$514.45 Live
Murphy USA Inc. · NYSE
Target $513.78 (-0.1%)
$345.23 52W Range $539.71
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$9.52B
P/E
21.36
ROE
64.3%
Profit margin
2.8%
Debt/Equity
4.4
Dividend yield
0.49%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MUSA presents a dichotomy of high operational efficiency and precarious financial health. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre health, the company's extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 4.40) and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.81) are significant concerns. The stock trades at a substantial premium to its Graham Number ($134.89) and slightly above its intrinsic value ($461.13), suggesting a valuation driven by high ROE rather than fundamental asset backing. Despite consistent earnings beats, stagnant revenue growth and bearish insider activity temper the outlook.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 64.31%
Strong track record of earnings surprises (3/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
P/E ratio (21.36) is lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector average (32.39)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.56) indicating efficient revenue generation relative to market cap
Strong long-term price performance (+278.8% over 5 years)

Key Risks

High financial leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.40
Liquidity risk evidenced by a Current Ratio of 0.81 and Quick Ratio of 0.33
Stagnant top-line growth (YoY Revenue Growth of only 0.20%)
Bearish insider sentiment with 5 sell transactions and 0 buys in 6 months
Extreme Price-to-Book ratio (15.32) suggesting the stock is heavily overvalued relative to assets
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$461.13
-10.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
35
Future
45
Past
85
Health
30
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: High ROE, Earnings beat consistency, Dangerous leverage levels, Stagnant revenue
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E 21.36, Graham Number $134.89

Positives
  • P/E below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number
  • P/B ratio of 15.32 is excessive
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Positive earnings growth (8.10% YoY)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is nearly flat (0.20%)
  • Q/Q earnings growth turned negative (-0.40%)
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats over 25 quarters
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week price dip
Health
30/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • ROA is healthy at 9.97%
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is only 'Stable'
  • Debt/Equity 4.40 is very high
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (8.92%) suggests sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.49%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$514.45
Analyst Target
$513.78
Upside/Downside
-0.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MUSA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MUS
Murphy USA Inc.
Primary
5Y
+278.8%
3Y
+89.1%
1Y
+3.2%
6M
+31.6%
1M
+3.3%
1W
-1.0%
DDS
Dillard's, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+708.6%
3Y
+134.4%
1Y
+88.9%
6M
+2.5%
1M
+5.0%
1W
-1.7%
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.6%
3Y
+63.5%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+8.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+0.4%
ALS
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.1%
3Y
+161.4%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
+23.3%
1M
+8.7%
1W
-0.6%
GAP
The Gap, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-9.6%
3Y
+193.6%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+7.9%
1M
+1.0%
1W
-7.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.36
Forward P/E
18.46
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
15.32
P/S Ratio
0.56
EV/Revenue
0.72
EV/EBITDA
12.02
Market Cap
$9.52B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.77%
Operating Margin 5.25%
Gross Margin 7.74%
ROE 64.31%
ROA 9.97%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +0.2%
Earnings Growth +8.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +0.7%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -0.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
4.4
High debt
Current Ratio
0.81
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.33
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.56

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$4.7B
Gross Margin
13.4%
Op. Margin
4.6%
Net Margin
3.0%
Total Assets
$4.7B
Liabilities
$4.1B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
6.58x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
52%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29
$7.28
+32.3% surprise
2026-02-04
$7.88
+14.2% surprise
2025-10-29
$6.76
-2.8% surprise
2025-07-30
$7.36
+12.1% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing MUSA against 432 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 157 neutral, 249 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.36
This Stock
vs
32.3
Sector Avg
-33.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
64.31%
This Stock
vs
-49.64%
Sector Avg
-229.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.77%
This Stock
vs
-5.61%
Sector Avg
-149.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
4.4
This Stock
vs
1.61
Sector Avg
+173.3% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
0.2%
This Stock
vs
26.41%
Sector Avg
-99.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.81
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-67.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MUSA Murphy USA Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.5B
P/E
21.4
ROE
64.3%
Price
$514.45
DDS Dillard's, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.3B
P/E
16.3
ROE
31.9%
Price
$595.2
 Compare with MUSA
ALV Autoliv, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.7B
P/E
13.0
ROE
31.0%
Price
$126.94
 Compare with MUSA
ALSN Allison...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.2B
P/E
13.6
ROE
40.4%
Price
$109.57
 Compare with MUSA
GAP The Gap, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.1B
P/E
11.7
ROE
23.1%
Price
$24.99
 Compare with MUSA

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CHUMLEY ROBERT J
Officer
Sell
2026-03-05
5,038 shares · $2,115,960
PHILLIPS JEANNE LINDER
Director
Sell
2026-02-24
1,155 shares · $456,444
BACON RENEE M
Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
2,844 shares · $1,105,207
LANDEN DIANE N.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
PHILLIPS JEANNE LINDER
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
BACON RENEE M
Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
1,219 shares · $470,644
TURNER ROSEMARY
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
HALEY DAVID C.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
244 shares
KEYES JAMES W
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
MURPHY ROBERT MADISON
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
GOEBEL DAVID L
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-13
349 shares
SMITH DONALD R JR
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
1,005 shares
CHUMLEY ROBERT J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
1,843 shares
BACON RENEE M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
2,011 shares
CLICK CHRISTOPHER A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
1,843 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-29

MUSA filed an 8-K on April 29, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-06

Murphy USA filed an 8-K on April 6, 2026, likely announcing its first-quarter financial results or scheduling its quarterly earnings call.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-26

MUSA filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 26, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-02

Murphy USA likely reported its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-18

MUSA filed its annual 10-K report on February 18, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk factors, as only section references were included.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

MUSA filed an 8-K on February 12, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

MUSA filed an 8-K on February 4, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-16

Murphy USA filed an 8-K on January 16, 2026, likely announcing its preliminary fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-15
8-K
8-K
2025-12-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30
8-K
8-K
2025-10-29
8-K
8-K
2025-10-17
8-K
8-K
2025-08-14
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MUSA from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
Back to All Stocks
TradingGPT V2 Copilot
Fundamentals • Valuation • Risk
Hi! I'm your fundamentals copilot.

Ask me to:
• Summarize the business quality
• Review valuation and multiples
• Highlight risks and red flags
• Explain growth and margin trends
Features Terminal AI Assistant Analysis Market News Pricing
Start Trading with AI Already have an account? Sign In
Home
Terminal
AI Chat
Markets
Profile