NVR

BEARISH

$6315.87 Live

NVR, Inc. · NYSE

Target $7070.0 (+11.9%)

$6195.15 52W Range $8618.28

NVR NVR, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

NVR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Residential Construction

Current Price Live

$6315.87

Analyst Target

$7070.0

+11.9% Upside

52W High

$8618.28

52W Low

$6195.15

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026

Market cap

$17.25B

P/E

15.43

ROE

33.3%

Profit margin

12.5%

Debt/Equity

0.3

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

NVR exhibits significant fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a severe disconnect between its current price ($6315.87) and its Graham Number ($3565.6). While the balance sheet remains liquid with a low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30, the company is facing a sharp contraction in both revenue (-21.40% YoY) and earnings (-28.50% YoY). The valuation is unsustainable given a PEG ratio of 4.97 and a price nearly double its growth-based intrinsic value. Combined with bearish insider selling and a negative technical trend, the outlook is poor at current valuation levels.

Key Strengths

Very strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 5.19

Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30

High Return on Equity (ROE) of 33.26%

Strong Return on Assets (ROA) of 17.39%

P/E ratio (15.43) is lower than the Consumer Cyclical sector average

Key Risks

Severe revenue contraction (-21.40% YoY)

Significant earnings decline (-28.50% YoY)

Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Very high PEG ratio (4.97) indicating price is not supported by growth

Weak Piotroski F-Score (2/9) signaling deteriorating financial health

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$3215.25

-49.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Overvalued and Declining

Key drivers: Negative YoY growth, Low Piotroski F-Score, Price/Intrinsic Value gap

Confidence

90%

Value

20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives

P/E is moderate at 15.43

Watchpoints

Price is ~77% above Graham Number
Price is ~120% above Intrinsic Value
PEG ratio of 4.97 is excessive

Future

15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

Revenue Growth -21.40%
Earnings Growth -28.50%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -33.80%

Past

50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

Positive 5Y change (+23.3%)

Watchpoints

Negative 1Y change (-11.4%)
Negative 6M change (-12.8%)

Health

30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives

Low Debt/Equity (0.30)
High Current Ratio (5.19)

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically weak

Dividend

0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend yield
0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$6315.87

Analyst Target

$7070.0

Upside/Downside

+11.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NVR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
NVR NVR, Inc. Primary	+23.3%	+7.6%	-11.4%	-12.8%	-4.2%	-5.3%
MGA Magna International Inc. Peer	-23.0%	+32.7%	+82.2%	+36.8%	+15.6%	+0.7%
APTV Aptiv PLC Peer	-45.0%	-27.9%	+19.6%	+7.8%	-0.4%	-2.7%
LULU lululemon athletica inc. Peer	-49.1%	-58.0%	-45.9%	-13.9%	-13.1%	-4.9%
IP International Paper Company Peer	-23.3%	+17.6%	-25.3%	-26.2%	-2.8%	-4.0%

NVR

NVR, Inc.

Primary

+23.3%

+7.6%

-11.4%

-12.8%

-4.2%

-5.3%

MGA

Magna International Inc.

Peer

-23.0%

+32.7%

+82.2%

+36.8%

+15.6%

+0.7%

APT

Aptiv PLC

Peer

-45.0%

-27.9%

+19.6%

+7.8%

-0.4%

-2.7%

LUL

lululemon athletica inc.

Peer

-49.1%

-58.0%

-45.9%

-13.9%

-13.1%

-4.9%

International Paper Company

Peer

-23.3%

+17.6%

-25.3%

-26.2%

-2.8%

-4.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

15.43

15.04

4.97

4.57

1.74

1.68

10.01

$17.25B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.49%

Operating Margin 13.52%

Gross Margin 22.49%

ROE 33.26%

ROA 17.39%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -21.4%

Earnings Growth -28.5%

Q/Q Revenue Growth -4.7%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -33.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.3

Low debt

Current Ratio

5.19

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.23

Excellent

Cash/Share

$602.45

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-22

$N/A

2026-04-22

$67.76

-14.4% surprise

2026-01-28

$121.54

+14.8% surprise

2025-10-22

$112.33

+2.7% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing NVR against 443 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 160 neutral, 257 bearish)

P/E Ratio

15.43

This Stock

31.75

Sector Avg

-51.4% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

33.26%

This Stock

-48.71%

Sector Avg

-168.3% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

12.49%

This Stock

-5.64%

Sector Avg

-321.5% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

0.3

This Stock

1.62

Sector Avg

-81.4% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

-21.4%

This Stock

25.87%

Sector Avg

-182.7% (Slower)

Current Ratio

5.19

This Stock

2.48

Sector Avg

+109.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
NVR NVR, Inc.	BEARISH	$17.25B	15.43	33.3%	12.5%	$6315.87
MGA Magna International Inc.	NEUTRAL	$17.08B	21.09	7.1%	2.0%	$61.78	Compare
APTV Aptiv PLC	NEUTRAL	$16.65B	58.82	3.3%	1.5%	$76.47	Compare
LULU lululemon athletica inc.	NEUTRAL	$17.96B	11.55	34.0%	14.2%	$153.1	Compare
IP International Paper Company	BEARISH	$18.01B	-	-24.7%	-14.9%	$34.02	Compare

NVR NVR, Inc.

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$17.3B

P/E

15.4

ROE

33.3%

Price

$6315.87

Compare with NVR

Compare with NVR

Compare with NVR

Compare with NVR

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-04-24	DEVITO MICHAEL J.	Director	Purchase	11	$73,694
2026-02-20	ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR	Director	Gift	5	-
2026-02-13	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Sale	200	$1,584,412
2026-02-13	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Option Exercise	200	$340,000
2026-02-10	KELPY MATTHEW B. CPA	Officer	Sale	500	$4,050,000
2026-02-10	KELPY MATTHEW B. CPA	Officer	Option Exercise	500	$2,237,765
2026-02-05	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Sale	200	$1,618,324
2026-02-05	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Option Exercise	200	$340,000
2026-02-04	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Sale	220	$1,760,000
2026-02-04	ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON	Director	Option Exercise	220	$374,000
2025-12-16	ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR	Director	Gift	50	-
2025-12-15	MALZAHN DANIEL DAVID	Chief Financial Officer	Gift	3	-
2025-12-12	PREISER DAVID A	Director	Gift	35	-
2025-11-03	DEVITO MICHAEL J.	Director	Purchase	14	$98,953

DEVITO MICHAEL J.

Director

Buy

2026-04-24

11 shares · $73,694

ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR

Director

Gift

2026-02-20

5 shares

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Sell

2026-02-13

200 shares · $1,584,412

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Option Exercise

2026-02-13

200 shares · $340,000

KELPY MATTHEW B. CPA

Officer

Sell

2026-02-10

500 shares · $4,050,000

KELPY MATTHEW B. CPA

Officer

Option Exercise

2026-02-10

500 shares · $2,237,765

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Sell

2026-02-05

200 shares · $1,618,324

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Option Exercise

2026-02-05

200 shares · $340,000

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Sell

2026-02-04

220 shares · $1,760,000

ROSS SUSAN WILLIAMSON

Director

Option Exercise

2026-02-04

220 shares · $374,000

ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR

Director

Gift

2025-12-16

50 shares

MALZAHN DANIEL DAVID

Chief Financial Officer

Gift

2025-12-15

3 shares

PREISER DAVID A

Director

Gift

2025-12-12

35 shares

DEVITO MICHAEL J.

Director

Buy

2025-11-03

14 shares · $98,953

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-04-22

NVR reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2026.

DEF 14A

2026-03-17

NVR filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 17, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its annual meeting.

10-K

2026-02-11

NVR filed its 10-K on February 11, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations, financial condition, and results of operations. The filing includes detailed sections on management's discussion and analysis as well as the primary risk factors facing the company.

8-K

2026-01-28

NVR reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q

2025-11-05

NVR filed its 10-Q on November 5, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-10-22

NVR filed an 8-K on October 22, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K

2025-10-01

NVR, Inc. filed an 8-K on October 1, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q

2025-08-06

NVR filed its 10-Q on August 6, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-07-23

NVR reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results.

8-K

2025-07-01

8-K

2025-05-07

10-Q

2025-05-05

8-K

2025-04-22

DEF 14A

2025-03-18

8-K

2025-03-12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

HOLD

6 analysts

UBS

2026-04-23

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Truist Securities

2026-04-23

Maintains

Hold Hold

B of A Securities

2026-04-20

Maintains

Buy Buy

Truist Securities

2026-04-16

Maintains

Hold Hold

Seaport Global

2026-04-07

down

Neutral Sell

Truist Securities

2026-03-04

init

Hold

Zelman & Assoc

2026-01-29

Sell Hold

UBS

2026-01-06

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NVR from our newsroom.

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NVR

NVR NVR, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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