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IP

BEARISH
$34.02 Live
International Paper Company · NYSE
Target $42.7 (+25.5%)
$32.13 52W Range $56.13

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$18.01B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-24.7%
Profit margin
-14.9%
Debt/Equity
0.71
Dividend yield
5.44%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
The deterministic health profile is severely compromised, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating weak financial health and deteriorating fundamentals. While revenue growth appears strong at 53.10%, this has not translated to the bottom line, as evidenced by a negative profit margin of -14.88% and a staggering -300% YoY EPS growth. The dividend is currently unsustainable with a payout ratio of 158.12%, signaling a high risk of a dividend cut. Technicals are completely bearish (0/100), and the stock is trading near its 52-week low despite optimistic analyst targets.

Key Strengths

Strong top-line revenue growth (53.10% YoY)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.76) suggesting potential asset undervaluation
Reasonable Debt/Equity ratio (0.71) compared to sector average
Positive Operating Margin (6.48%) despite negative net profit
Analyst consensus remains a 'Buy' with a target price of $42.70

Key Risks

Severe financial health deterioration (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (158.12%)
Consistent earnings misses (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Negative Return on Equity (-24.68%)
Strong bearish technical trend and price action (1Y Change -25.3%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$31.5
-7.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
45
Future
30
Past
20
Health
15
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Dividend Payout Ratio, EPS Growth, Technical Trend
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Trades at a low multiple of sales, but lacks the earnings to support a traditional value thesis.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • P/B near 1.2
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings make P/E irrelevant
  • Forward P/E relies on optimistic recovery
Future
30/100

Revenue growth is decoupled from profitability, suggesting inefficiency or rising costs.

Positives
  • High YoY revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • EPS growth is -300%
  • Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates
Past
20/100

Recent price performance shows a sharp decline from 52-week highs.

Positives
  • 3Y change was positive (+17.6%)
Watchpoints
  • 1Y return -25.3%
  • 6M return -26.2%
Health
15/100

Deterministic health scores indicate a company in a state of financial weakness.

Positives
  • Current ratio above 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Negative ROE
Dividend
20/100

Classic dividend trap characteristics.

Positives
  • High yield (5.44%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 158.12%
  • Earnings cannot cover dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$34.02
Analyst Target
$42.7
Upside/Downside
+25.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for IP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
IP
International Paper Company
Primary
5Y
-23.3%
3Y
+17.6%
1Y
-25.3%
6M
-26.2%
1M
-2.8%
1W
-4.0%
LUL
lululemon athletica inc.
Peer
5Y
-49.1%
3Y
-58.0%
1Y
-45.9%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-13.1%
1W
-4.9%
RIV
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-85.1%
3Y
-2.8%
1Y
+20.9%
6M
+2.5%
1M
+0.3%
1W
-6.5%
LI
Li Auto Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.4%
3Y
-28.5%
1Y
-29.2%
6M
-29.6%
1M
+1.5%
1W
+0.5%
BUR
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+18.0%
3Y
+32.7%
1Y
+2.1%
6M
+6.6%
1M
+3.4%
1W
-2.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
12.29
PEG Ratio
1.58
P/B Ratio
1.21
P/S Ratio
0.76
EV/Revenue
1.16
EV/EBITDA
6.94
Market Cap
$18.01B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -14.88%
Operating Margin 6.48%
Gross Margin 29.74%
ROE -24.68%
ROA 2.47%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +53.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +31.14%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.71
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.28
Good
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.16

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$6.0B
Gross Margin
31.4%
Op. Margin
0.9%
Net Margin
-39.7%
Total Assets
$38.0B
Liabilities
$23.1B
Equity
$14.8B
Debt/Equity
1.56x
Operating CF
$0.9B
CapEx
$-0.7B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
28%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-01-29
$-0.08
-131.9% surprise
2025-10-30
$-0.43
-173.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.14
-64.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing IP against 393 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 134 neutral, 236 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-24.68%
This Stock
vs
-43.68%
Sector Avg
-43.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-14.88%
This Stock
vs
-5.36%
Sector Avg
+177.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.71
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-52.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
53.1%
This Stock
vs
28.25%
Sector Avg
+88.0% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.28
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-47.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GUSTAFSSON PER ANDERS
Director
Buy
2026-03-12
26,092 shares · $1,000,036
HAMIC WILLIAM THOMAS
President
Stock Award
2026-02-09
43,225 shares · $2,013,420
GOUGHNOUR HOLLY G
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
6,335 shares · $295,084
SAAB JOSEPH R
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-09
24,314 shares · $1,132,546
NICHOLLS TIMOTHY S
President
Stock Award
2026-02-09
52,230 shares · $2,432,873
CONNOR CHRISTOPHER M
Director
Buy
2026-01-30
25,000 shares · $1,009,250
SILVERNAIL ANDREW K.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2026-01-30
50,000 shares · $1,998,965
FLORES MELISSA S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-05
24,845 shares
GOUGHNOUR HOLLY G
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-31
3,885 shares
ELLIS CLAYTON R
Officer
Sell
2025-11-18
18,819 shares · $693,480
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-27

IP filed its Definitive Proxy Statement on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the company's annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

International Paper's 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, outlines the company's operational results, liquidity, and capital resources. The filing identifies key risk factors including competition, raw material costs, government regulation, and the impacts of climate change.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

International Paper likely reported its annual financial results in this 8-K filing dated February 26, 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

IP filed an 8-K on January 29, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the preceding period.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-23

IP filed an 8-K on January 23, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

IP filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 6, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

International Paper likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-26
8-K
8-K
2025-08-21
8-K
8-K
2025-08-21
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-07-01
8-K
8-K
2025-05-14
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-04-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-04-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-04-10
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Deutsche Bank
2026-04-01
init
Sell Hold
Wells Fargo
2026-03-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Citigroup
2026-02-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-02-02
down
Buy Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-01-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-30
up
Underweight Equal-Weight
UBS
2026-01-12
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning IP from our newsroom.

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