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PAAS

BULLISH
$52.29 Live
Pan American Silver Corp. · NYSE
Target $74.38 (+42.2%)
$22.08 52W Range $69.99

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$22.06B
P/E
20.43
ROE
16.7%
Profit margin
27.0%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Dividend yield
1.03%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
PAAS exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an exceptionally clean balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.12). While the current price of $52.29 is well above the defensive Graham Number ($30.91), it remains significantly discounted relative to its growth-based intrinsic value of $75.52 and analyst targets. The company is experiencing explosive YoY earnings growth (258.6%) and maintains superior margins compared to sector averages. Despite a bearish short-term technical trend, the fundamental growth trajectory and low leverage provide a strong bullish case.

Key Strengths

Explosive earnings growth (YoY +258.6%) and revenue growth (+44.7%)
Pristine balance sheet with very low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.69
High profitability margins (Gross 51.87%, Operating 36.56%)
Significant upside potential relative to Intrinsic Value ($75.52) and Analyst Target ($74.38)

Key Risks

Extremely high PEG ratio (7.02) suggesting growth may be overpriced
Bearish short-term technical trend (0/100 score)
High volatility in quarterly earnings track record
Heavy dependency on commodity price fluctuations (Gold/Silver)
Low dividend yield (1.03%) providing little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$65.2
+24.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
66
Strong
Value
55
Future
92
Past
85
Health
70
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Strong Fundamental Growth with Technical Headwinds
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Low leverage, Intrinsic value gap
Confidence
80%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 10.00 is attractive
  • Trades below intrinsic value
Watchpoints
  • Price is 68% above Graham Number
  • PEG ratio is excessively high
Future
92/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Triple-digit earnings growth
  • Strong Q/Q revenue momentum
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of 250%+ growth is questionable
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 1Y return of +109.1%
  • Consistent long-term price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Erratic quarterly earnings surprises
Health
70/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.12)
  • Strong Current/Quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (17.97%) indicates safety
Watchpoints
  • Low yield (1.03%)
  • Low dividend strength score (25/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$52.29
Analyst Target
$74.38
Upside/Downside
+42.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PAAS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
PAA
Pan American Silver Corp.
Primary
5Y
+70.7%
3Y
+212.7%
1Y
+109.1%
6M
+47.6%
1M
-4.3%
1W
-5.1%
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
5Y
+13.7%
3Y
-25.1%
1Y
+115.4%
6M
+128.2%
1M
+27.6%
1W
+16.2%
RGL
Royal Gold, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.6%
3Y
+99.0%
1Y
+46.3%
6M
+38.9%
1M
+10.8%
1W
+0.5%
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Peer
5Y
-0.4%
3Y
-4.0%
1Y
+36.1%
6M
+63.4%
1M
-11.0%
1W
+1.8%
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+97.8%
3Y
+427.6%
1Y
+230.7%
6M
+3.5%
1M
+8.2%
1W
-5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
20.43
Forward P/E
10.0
PEG Ratio
7.02
P/B Ratio
3.15
P/S Ratio
6.1
EV/Revenue
5.97
EV/EBITDA
13.28
Market Cap
$22.06B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 27.02%
Operating Margin 36.56%
Gross Margin 51.87%
ROE 16.73%
ROA 8.48%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +44.7%
Earnings Growth +258.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +44.68%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +317.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.12
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.69
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.92
Excellent
Cash/Share
$3.13

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
48.2%
Op. Margin
38.4%
Net Margin
38.3%
Total Assets
$9.7B
Liabilities
$2.7B
Equity
$7.0B
Debt/Equity
0.39x
Operating CF
$0.6B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.5B
FCF Yield
83%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-18
$1.11
+24.4% surprise
2025-11-12
$0.44
-22.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.43
+7.7% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing PAAS against 181 companies in the Basic Materials sector (21 bullish, 69 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.43
This Stock
vs
37.42
Sector Avg
-45.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.73%
This Stock
vs
-5.13%
Sector Avg
-426.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
27.02%
This Stock
vs
-3.29%
Sector Avg
-921.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.12
This Stock
vs
1.08
Sector Avg
-88.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
44.7%
This Stock
vs
37.64%
Sector Avg
+18.7% (Growing)
Current Ratio
2.69
This Stock
vs
4.58
Sector Avg
-41.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
382,400 shares
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
287,100 shares · $14,822,398
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Buy
2026-03-30
95,300 shares · $4,917,384
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
39,800 shares
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-26
39,800 shares · $2,649,406
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
38,000 shares
Fisher, Delaney Joseph
Senior Officer of Issuer
Acquisi...
2026-02-25
10 shares · $653
Pan American Silver Corp.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-25
38,000 shares · $2,480,678
De Gelder (Neil)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-24
1,000 shares · $64,764
Emerson (Christopher)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-01-26
2,500 shares · $168,357
Fisekci (Siren)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Option Exercise
2026-01-26
1,000 shares · $16,744
Fisekci (Siren)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-01-26
1,000 shares · $67,383
Winckler (Gillian D)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-01-26
1,500 shares · $101,301
Emerson (Christopher)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-01-23
2,500 shares · $161,205
Wafforn (Martin G)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-01-23
10,000 shares · $653,200
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-04-28
reit
Outperform Outperform
Scotiabank
2026-01-26
Maintains
Sector Outperform Sector Outperform
Jefferies
2026-01-21
Maintains
Hold Hold
B of A Securities
2025-12-01
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PAAS from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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