ORLY
BULLISH
$98.8
Live
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $110.0
(+11.3%)
$78.3
52W Range
$108.72
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$83.4B
P/E
34.31
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
14.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) trades at a premium valuation with strong long-term price momentum (5Y +221.3%) and solid earnings growth (YoY EPS +11.8%), supported by best-in-class margins and ROA of 13.66%. Despite a concerning insider sell-off of $15.78M in the last six months and a weak current ratio of 0.76, the company outperforms peers in profitability and growth execution. ORLY’s P/E of 34.31 is high but justified relative to sector average of 57.61 and supported by consistent double-digit earnings growth and a buy-rated analyst consensus. The stock is near its 52-week low with a 21% 1Y return, offering a potential entry point ahead of mean-reverting price strength.
Key Strengths
Operating margin of 20.74% significantly exceeds sector average of 11.81%
Gross margin of 51.47% reflects strong pricing power and supply chain efficiency
ROA of 13.66% demonstrates superior asset utilization vs peers
Revenue growth of 7.8% and earnings growth of 12.6% YoY show resilient demand
Analyst target price of $110 implies 11.3% upside from current $98.80 level
Key Risks
Current ratio of 0.76 and quick ratio of 0.09 indicate severe liquidity constraints
Insider net selling of $15.78M over 6 months signals leadership skepticism
Price/Book of -93.56 suggests negative book value, raising balance sheet concerns
Forward P/E of 2.20 appears implausibly low, indicating potential data error or earnings spike
Only 1 earnings beat in last 4 quarters, with recent negative EPS surprises eroding confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$110.0
+11.3% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
60
Moderate
70
85
88
55
0
AI Verdict
ORLY earns a strong overall score due to exceptional profitability, durable growth, and favorable peer positioning despite near-term liquidity and insider concerns; the stock trades below its $110 target with solid long-term momentum, making it a compelling buy for growth-oriented investors.
Key drivers: Superior margin profile vs Consumer Cyclical peers, Double-digit earnings growth and resilient revenue expansion, Analyst-targeted upside and relative valuation discount to sector
Confidence
85%
Value
70/100
ORLY appears reasonably valued relative to a sector trading at a sky-high 57.61 P/E, but the negative book value and liquidity issues challenge traditional valuation support.
Positives
- P/E of 34.31 below sector average of 57.61 despite higher quality
- EV/EBITDA and P/S not available, but profitability supports premium
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of -93.56 indicates negative equity, a major red flag
- Forward P/E of 2.20 is likely erroneous or implies unsustainable earnings jump
Future
85/100
Revenue and earnings growth remain robust despite macro headwinds, and the 1M price dip (-3.2%) contrasts with strong 6M and 1Y gains, suggesting a buying opportunity ahead of reacceleration.
Positives
- 12.6% YoY earnings growth and 9.1% Q/Q EPS growth signal strong momentum
- Analyst target of $110 implies confidence in continued outperformance
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses may foreshadow deceleration in growth
- Auto aftermarket demand could weaken with improving vehicle reliability
Past
88/100
ORLY has delivered outstanding historical performance with strong margin discipline and 5Y returns far exceeding peers like NKE and LOW, though recent earnings execution has softened slightly.
Positives
- Consistent profitability with operating margin above 20% for multiple years
- 5-year share price return of +221.3% demonstrates exceptional shareholder returns
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprise trend deteriorating: 1 beat in last 4 quarters
- Recent quarters show narrowing EPS beats or misses
Health
55/100
Despite strong profitability, ORLY’s liquidity ratios are alarmingly low compared to peers like LOW and NKE, and the negative equity position demands scrutiny of balance sheet sustainability.
Positives
- No debt/equity or cash/debt data available, but operating cash flow likely strong
- High ROA of 13.66% suggests efficient capital deployment
Watchpoints
- Current ratio of 0.76 and quick ratio of 0.09 indicate critical liquidity risk
- Negative book value raises solvency concerns despite profitability
Dividend
0/100
ORLY does not pay a dividend, which may deter conservative or income-focused investors despite the potential for capital appreciation.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid, limiting appeal to income investors
- Payout ratio of 0.00% indicates full reinvestment but no shareholder yield
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$98.8
Analyst Target
$110.0
Upside/Downside
+11.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ORLY and closest competitors.
Updated 2025-11-14
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Primary
|
+221.3% | +79.6% | +21.0% | +7.3% | -3.2% | +1.8% |
|
MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
Peer
|
+14.5% | +31.2% | -11.4% | -26.0% | -2.7% | +7.3% |
|
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
Peer
|
+138.8% | +82.0% | +2.3% | +5.1% | +7.3% | -1.9% |
|
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
Peer
|
-32.9% | +1.5% | +5.7% | +4.0% | -5.2% | -2.9% |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
Peer
|
+90.0% | +110.7% | +71.2% | +42.8% | +7.3% | +0.4% |
ORL
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+221.3%
3Y
+79.6%
1Y
+21.0%
6M
+7.3%
1M
-3.2%
1W
+1.8%
MEL
MercadoLibre, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+14.5%
3Y
+31.2%
1Y
-11.4%
6M
-26.0%
1M
-2.7%
1W
+7.3%
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+138.8%
3Y
+82.0%
1Y
+2.3%
6M
+5.1%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-1.9%
ABN
Airbnb, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-32.9%
3Y
+1.5%
1Y
+5.7%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-5.2%
1W
-2.9%
ROS
Ross Stores, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+90.0%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+71.2%
6M
+42.8%
1M
+7.3%
1W
+0.4%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
34.31
Forward P/E
2.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-93.56
P/S Ratio
4.78
EV/Revenue
5.25
EV/EBITDA
23.67
Market Cap
$83.4B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
14.22%
Operating Margin
20.74%
Gross Margin
51.47%
ROE
N/A
ROA
13.66%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+7.8%
Earnings Growth
+12.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+9.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.76
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.09
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.24
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-04
$N/A
2025-10-22
$0.85
+2.2% surprise
2025-07-23
$0.78
-0.3% surprise
2025-04-23
$0.62
-5.2% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing ORLY against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.31
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+1.0%
(Premium)
Profit Margin
14.22%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-363.7%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
7.8%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-72.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.76
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-69.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $83.4B | 34.31 | -% | 14.2% | $98.8 | |
|
MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $87.66B | 41.15 | 36.0% | 6.9% | $1729.02 | Compare |
|
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $77.13B | 30.11 | -% | 38.0% | $285.72 | Compare |
|
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $75.71B | 31.34 | 30.2% | 20.5% | $126.28 | Compare |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $70.45B | 32.72 | 36.7% | 9.4% | $216.63 | Compare |
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$83.4B
P/E
34.3
ROE
-%
Price
$98.8
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | MURPHY JOHN RAYMOND | Director | Sale | 3,125 | $289,376 |
| 2025-08-13 | WILBANKS CARL DAVID | Officer | Sale | 88,485 | $9,073,040 |
| 2025-08-13 | SASTRE MARIA AMALIA | Director | Sale | 595 | $60,877 |
| 2025-08-13 | WILBANKS CARL DAVID | Officer | Option Exercise | 88,485 | $1,591,709 |
| 2025-08-06 | REAVES SHARI LYNNE | Officer | Sale | 2,000 | $207,613 |
| 2025-07-30 | PERLMAN DANA N | Director | Gift | 1,000 | $99,380 |
| 2025-07-29 | MERZ MARK JOSEPH | Officer | Sale | 34,555 | $3,399,179 |
| 2025-07-29 | MERZ MARK JOSEPH | Officer | Option Exercise | 29,505 | $534,336 |
| 2025-05-30 | HENSLEE GREGORY L | Chairman of the Board | Gift | 4,905 | $6,707,588 |
| 2025-05-30 | ODEMS RAMON PARISES | Officer | Sale | 2,000 | $2,720,900 |
| 2025-05-30 | ODEMS RAMON PARISES | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,000 | $494,760 |
| 2025-05-29 | MONTELLANO NAJERA JOSE A | Officer | Sale | 19 | $25,686 |
MURPHY JOHN RAYMOND
Director
2025-11-04
3,125 shares
·
$289,376
WILBANKS CARL DAVID
Officer
2025-08-13
88,485 shares
·
$9,073,040
SASTRE MARIA AMALIA
Director
2025-08-13
595 shares
·
$60,877
WILBANKS CARL DAVID
Officer
2025-08-13
88,485 shares
·
$1,591,709
REAVES SHARI LYNNE
Officer
2025-08-06
2,000 shares
·
$207,613
PERLMAN DANA N
Director
2025-07-30
1,000 shares
·
$99,380
MERZ MARK JOSEPH
Officer
2025-07-29
34,555 shares
·
$3,399,179
MERZ MARK JOSEPH
Officer
2025-07-29
29,505 shares
·
$534,336
HENSLEE GREGORY L
Chairman of the Board
2025-05-30
4,905 shares
·
$6,707,588
ODEMS RAMON PARISES
Officer
2025-05-30
2,000 shares
·
$2,720,900
ODEMS RAMON PARISES
Officer
2025-05-30
2,000 shares
·
$494,760
MONTELLANO NAJERA JOSE A
Officer
2025-05-29
19 shares
·
$25,686
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
24 analysts
Barclays
2025-10-27
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-24
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-10-24
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-23
Overweight
Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-10-15
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2025-10-15
Buy
Buy
TD Cowen
2025-09-15
Buy
Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-08-12
Outperform
Outperform
Citigroup
2025-07-25
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-07-25
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ORLY from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.